Default modelInterquartile mean (Vetted List)

Southern Miss Golden Eagles v Troy Trojans

Kickoff: 2026-05-24 14:05 UTC

Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →

Head to Head

18 sportsbooks (8 in analysis )

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: Interquartile mean (Vetted List)

Southern Miss Golden Eagles (Local)

Prediction 63.73%1.57fair odd
EV -2.49%
Edge -1.63%
Kelly -4.70%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 1.53

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
62.03%63.65%63.73%64.89%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.441.471.481.5369.44%68.03%67.80%65.36%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Troy Trojans (Visit)

Prediction 36.27%2.76fair odd
EV -2.80%
Edge -1.05%
Kelly -1.67%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 2.68

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
35.11%36.35%36.27%37.97%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.502.582.602.6840.00%38.76%38.46%37.31%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Southern Miss Golden Eagles (Local): 63.73%; Troy Trojans (Visit): 36.27%. For Southern Miss Golden Eagles (Local), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 1.57. No eligible bookmaker offered closing odds above that level: the best were 1.53, with an expected value of -2.49%; they did not produce positive expected value.

Sportsbook Odds (18 sportsbooks)

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BookmakerLocal ▼VisitMarginUpdated
theScore Bet🎯1.53I 65.36%NM 62.03%EV -2.49%E -1.63%K -4.70%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.97%EV -9.33%E -3.73%K -6.22%G +0.000%5.4%2026-05-24 13:59
1xBet🎯1.52I 65.79%NM 62.84%EV -3.13%E -2.06%K -6.02%G +0.000%2.57I 38.91%NM 37.16%EV -6.79%E -2.64%K -4.33%G +0.000%4.7%2026-05-24 13:55
DraftKings🎯1.48I 67.57%NM 63.73%EV -5.68%E -3.84%K -11.83%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 36.27%EV -5.70%E -2.19%K -3.56%G +0.000%6.0%2026-05-24 14:00
LowVig.ag🎯1.48I 67.57%NM 63.73%EV -5.68%E -3.84%K -11.83%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 36.27%EV -5.70%E -2.19%K -3.56%G +0.000%6.0%2026-05-24 14:00
BetOnline.ag🎯1.48I 67.57%NM 63.73%EV -5.68%E -3.84%K -11.83%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 36.27%EV -5.70%E -2.19%K -3.56%G +0.000%6.0%2026-05-24 14:00
BetMGM🎯1.48I 67.57%NM 63.73%EV -5.68%E -3.84%K -11.83%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 36.27%EV -5.70%E -2.19%K -3.56%G +0.000%6.0%2026-05-24 13:59
Hard Rock Bet🎯1.48I 67.57%NM 63.73%EV -5.68%E -3.84%K -11.83%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 36.27%EV -5.70%E -2.19%K -3.56%G +0.000%6.0%2026-05-24 13:59
BetUS🎯1.48I 67.57%NM 63.28%EV -5.68%E -3.84%K -11.83%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 36.72%EV -7.52%E -2.95%K -4.85%G +0.000%6.8%2026-05-24 13:59
Betway🎯1.48I 67.57%NM 62.81%EV -5.68%E -3.84%K -11.83%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.19%EV -9.33%E -3.73%K -6.22%G +0.000%7.6%2026-05-24 13:59
Bovada🎯1.47I 68.03%NM 63.88%EV -6.31%E -4.30%K -13.44%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 36.12%EV -5.70%E -2.19%K -3.56%G +0.000%6.5%2026-05-24 13:59
MyBookie.ag🎯1.46I 68.49%NM 63.41%EV -6.95%E -4.76%K -15.11%G +0.000%2.53I 39.53%NM 36.59%EV -8.24%E -3.26%K -5.39%G +0.000%8.0%2026-05-24 13:59
FanDuel🎯1.45I 68.97%NM 64.89%EV -7.59%E -5.23%K -16.86%G +0.000%2.68I 37.31%NM 35.11%EV -2.80%E -1.05%K -1.67%G +0.000%6.3%2026-05-24 14:00
BetRivers🎯1.45I 68.97%NM 63.75%EV -7.59%E -5.23%K -16.86%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 36.25%EV -7.52%E -2.95%K -4.85%G +0.000%8.2%2026-05-24 13:59
betPARX🎯1.45I 68.97%NM 63.75%EV -7.59%E -5.23%K -16.86%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 36.25%EV -7.52%E -2.95%K -4.85%G +0.000%8.2%2026-05-24 13:58
Bally Bet🎯1.45I 68.97%NM 63.75%EV -7.59%E -5.23%K -16.86%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 36.25%EV -7.52%E -2.95%K -4.85%G +0.000%8.2%2026-05-24 13:59
888sport🎯1.44I 69.44%NM 64.53%EV -8.23%E -5.71%K -18.70%G +0.000%2.62I 38.17%NM 35.47%EV -4.98%E -1.90%K -3.07%G +0.000%7.6%2026-05-24 13:59
Mr Green (SE)🎯1.44I 69.44%NM 64.53%EV -8.23%E -5.71%K -18.70%G +0.000%2.62I 38.17%NM 35.47%EV -4.98%E -1.90%K -3.07%G +0.000%7.6%2026-05-24 13:59
888sport (SE)🎯1.44I 69.44%NM 64.53%EV -8.23%E -5.71%K -18.70%G +0.000%2.62I 38.17%NM 35.47%EV -4.98%E -1.90%K -3.07%G +0.000%7.6%2026-05-24 13:59
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.

Exchanges (1)

BookmakerLocalVisitMargin ▲Updated
Novig1.45I 68.97%NM 40.82%1.00I 100.00%NM 59.18%69.0%2026-05-24 14:00