Default modelInterquartile mean (Vetted List)

Southern Miss Golden Eagles v Georgia Southern Eagles

Kickoff: 2026-05-15 23:00 UTC

Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →

Head to Head

19 sportsbooks (9 in analysis )

89%

11%

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: Interquartile mean (Vetted List)

Southern Miss Golden Eagles (Local)

Prediction 88.65%1.13fair odd

EV -4.26%

Edge -3.95%

Kelly -53.29%

Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 1.08

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution

87.72%88.91%88.73%91.06%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Odds’ distribution

1.031.061.061.0897.09%94.53%94.34%92.59%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Georgia Southern Eagles (Visit)

Prediction 11.35%8.81fair odd

EV +21.50%

Edge +2.01%

Kelly +2.22%

Growth +0.476%

assuming max odds 10.70

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution

8.94%11.09%11.27%12.28%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Odds’ distribution

7.508.498.1310.7013.33%11.78%12.30%9.35%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Southern Miss Golden Eagles (Local): 88.65%; Georgia Southern Eagles (Visit): 11.35%. For Georgia Southern Eagles (Visit), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 8.81. 4 bookmakers offered closing odds above that level; the best were 10.70, corresponding to a positive expected value of +21.50%.

Sportsbook Odds (19 sportsbooks)

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Bookmaker	Local	Visit ▼	Margin	Updated
1xBet🎯	1.05I 95.24%NM 91.06%EV -6.92%E -6.59%K -138.45%G +0.000%	10.70I 9.35%NM 8.94%EV +21.50%E +2.01%K +2.22%G +0.476%	4.6%	2026-05-15 21:50
theScore Bet🎯	1.03I 97.09%NM 90.66%EV -8.70%E -8.44%K -289.85%G +0.000%	10.00I 10.00%NM 9.34%EV +13.55%E +1.35%K +1.51%G +0.204%	7.1%	2026-05-15 13:50
FanDuel🎯	1.04I 96.15%NM 90.32%EV -7.81%E -7.51%K -195.23%G +0.000%	9.70I 10.31%NM 9.68%EV +10.14%E +1.05%K +1.17%G +0.118%	6.5%	2026-05-15 13:50
Hard Rock Bet🎯	1.06I 94.34%NM 89.46%EV -6.04%E -5.69%K -100.60%G +0.000%	9.00I 11.11%NM 10.54%EV +2.19%E +0.244%K +0.274%G +0.006%	5.5%	2026-05-15 17:00
MyBookie.ag🎯	1.06I 94.34%NM 89.03%EV -6.04%E -5.69%K -100.60%G +0.000%	8.60I 11.63%NM 10.97%EV -2.35%E -0.273%K -0.309%G +0.000%	6.0%	2026-05-15 17:04
Caesars🎯	1.08I 92.59%NM 88.73%EV -4.26%E -3.95%K -53.29%G +0.000%	8.50I 11.76%NM 11.27%EV -3.48%E -0.410%K -0.464%G +0.000%	4.4%	2026-05-15 15:40
DraftKings🎯	1.07I 93.46%NM 88.82%EV -5.15%E -4.81%K -73.57%G +0.000%	8.50I 11.76%NM 11.18%EV -3.48%E -0.410%K -0.464%G +0.000%	5.2%	2026-05-15 04:08
BetMGM🎯	1.06I 94.34%NM 88.91%EV -6.04%E -5.69%K -100.60%G +0.000%	8.50I 11.76%NM 11.09%EV -3.48%E -0.410%K -0.464%G +0.000%	6.1%	2026-05-15 12:54
Bovada🎯	1.06I 94.34%NM 88.61%EV -6.04%E -5.69%K -100.60%G +0.000%	8.25I 12.12%NM 11.39%EV -6.32%E -0.766%K -0.872%G +0.000%	6.5%	2026-05-15 15:49
LowVig.ag🎯	1.07I 93.46%NM 88.37%EV -5.15%E -4.81%K -73.57%G +0.000%	8.13I 12.30%NM 11.63%EV -7.68%E -0.945%K -1.08%G +0.000%	5.8%	2026-05-15 13:45
BetOnline.ag🎯	1.07I 93.46%NM 88.37%EV -5.15%E -4.81%K -73.57%G +0.000%	8.13I 12.30%NM 11.63%EV -7.68%E -0.945%K -1.08%G +0.000%	5.8%	2026-05-15 13:50
888sport🎯	1.06I 94.34%NM 88.30%EV -6.04%E -5.69%K -100.60%G +0.000%	8.00I 12.50%NM 11.70%EV -9.16%E -1.15%K -1.31%G +0.000%	6.8%	2026-05-15 06:15
888sport (SE)🎯	1.06I 94.34%NM 88.30%EV -6.04%E -5.69%K -100.60%G +0.000%	8.00I 12.50%NM 11.70%EV -9.16%E -1.15%K -1.31%G +0.000%	6.8%	2026-05-15 06:15
Mr Green (SE)🎯	1.06I 94.34%NM 88.30%EV -6.04%E -5.69%K -100.60%G +0.000%	8.00I 12.50%NM 11.70%EV -9.16%E -1.15%K -1.31%G +0.000%	6.8%	2026-05-15 06:15
BetRivers🎯	1.05I 95.24%NM 88.40%EV -6.92%E -6.59%K -138.45%G +0.000%	8.00I 12.50%NM 11.60%EV -9.16%E -1.15%K -1.31%G +0.000%	7.7%	2026-05-15 17:20
betPARX🎯	1.05I 95.24%NM 88.40%EV -6.92%E -6.59%K -138.45%G +0.000%	8.00I 12.50%NM 11.60%EV -9.16%E -1.15%K -1.31%G +0.000%	7.7%	2026-05-15 17:20
Bally Bet🎯	1.05I 95.24%NM 88.40%EV -6.92%E -6.59%K -138.45%G +0.000%	8.00I 12.50%NM 11.60%EV -9.16%E -1.15%K -1.31%G +0.000%	7.7%	2026-05-15 17:20
BetUS🎯	1.07I 93.46%NM 87.87%EV -5.15%E -4.81%K -73.57%G +0.000%	7.75I 12.90%NM 12.13%EV -12.00%E -1.55%K -1.78%G +0.000%	6.4%	2026-05-15 13:50
Betway🎯	1.05I 95.24%NM 87.72%EV -6.92%E -6.59%K -138.45%G +0.000%	7.50I 13.33%NM 12.28%EV -14.84%E -1.98%K -2.28%G +0.000%	8.6%	2026-05-15 21:14

Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.

Exchanges (1)

Bookmaker	Local	Visit	Margin ▲	Updated
Novig◎	1.00I 100.00%NM 66.67%	2.00I 50.00%NM 33.33%	50.0%	2026-05-15 21:25