Default modelInterquartile mean (Vetted List)

Southern Miss Golden Eagles v Georgia Southern Eagles

Kickoff: 2026-05-16 18:00 UTC

Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →

Head to Head

15 sportsbooks (7 in analysis )

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: Interquartile mean (Vetted List)

Southern Miss Golden Eagles (Local)

Prediction 88.15%1.13fair odd
EV -4.80%
Edge -4.45%
Kelly -60.02%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 1.08

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
86.74%88.07%88.11%89.43%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.051.071.071.0895.24%93.63%93.46%92.59%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Georgia Southern Eagles (Visit)

Prediction 11.85%8.44fair odd
EV +7.27%
Edge +0.804%
Kelly +0.904%
Growth +0.066%

assuming max odds 9.05

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
10.57%11.93%11.89%13.26%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
7.007.948.009.0514.29%12.60%12.50%11.05%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Southern Miss Golden Eagles (Local): 88.15%; Georgia Southern Eagles (Visit): 11.85%. For Georgia Southern Eagles (Visit), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 8.44. 2 bookmakers offered closing odds above that level; the best were 9.05, corresponding to a positive expected value of +7.27%.

Sportsbook Odds (15 sportsbooks)

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BookmakerLocalVisit ▼MarginUpdated
1xBet🎯1.07I 93.46%NM 89.43%EV -5.68%E -5.31%K -81.19%G +0.000%9.05I 11.05%NM 10.57%EV +7.27%E +0.804%K +0.904%G +0.066%4.5%2026-05-16 14:45
theScore Bet🎯1.05I 95.24%NM 89.01%EV -7.45%E -7.09%K -148.92%G +0.000%8.50I 11.76%NM 10.99%EV +0.755%E +0.089%K +0.101%G +0.001%7.0%2026-05-16 15:00
DraftKings🎯1.08I 92.59%NM 88.11%EV -4.80%E -4.45%K -60.02%G +0.000%8.00I 12.50%NM 11.89%EV -5.17%E -0.646%K -0.739%G +0.000%5.1%2026-05-16 13:59
Caesars🎯1.08I 92.59%NM 88.11%EV -4.80%E -4.45%K -60.02%G +0.000%8.00I 12.50%NM 11.89%EV -5.17%E -0.646%K -0.739%G +0.000%5.1%2026-05-16 14:59
Hard Rock Bet🎯1.07I 93.46%NM 88.20%EV -5.68%E -5.31%K -81.19%G +0.000%8.00I 12.50%NM 11.80%EV -5.17%E -0.646%K -0.739%G +0.000%6.0%2026-05-16 15:35
BetMGM🎯1.07I 93.46%NM 88.20%EV -5.68%E -5.31%K -81.19%G +0.000%8.00I 12.50%NM 11.80%EV -5.17%E -0.646%K -0.739%G +0.000%6.0%2026-05-16 15:29
888sport🎯1.06I 94.34%NM 88.30%EV -6.56%E -6.19%K -109.41%G +0.000%8.00I 12.50%NM 11.70%EV -5.17%E -0.646%K -0.739%G +0.000%6.8%2026-05-16 14:10
Mr Green (SE)🎯1.06I 94.34%NM 88.30%EV -6.56%E -6.19%K -109.41%G +0.000%8.00I 12.50%NM 11.70%EV -5.17%E -0.646%K -0.739%G +0.000%6.8%2026-05-16 14:10
888sport (SE)🎯1.06I 94.34%NM 88.30%EV -6.56%E -6.19%K -109.41%G +0.000%8.00I 12.50%NM 11.70%EV -5.17%E -0.646%K -0.739%G +0.000%6.8%2026-05-16 14:09
BetOnline.ag🎯1.07I 93.46%NM 88.02%EV -5.68%E -5.31%K -81.19%G +0.000%7.86I 12.72%NM 11.98%EV -6.83%E -0.869%K -0.996%G +0.000%6.2%2026-05-16 15:00
LowVig.ag🎯1.07I 93.46%NM 88.02%EV -5.68%E -5.31%K -81.19%G +0.000%7.86I 12.72%NM 11.98%EV -6.83%E -0.869%K -0.996%G +0.000%6.2%2026-05-16 15:00
MyBookie.ag🎯1.07I 93.46%NM 87.94%EV -5.68%E -5.31%K -81.19%G +0.000%7.80I 12.82%NM 12.06%EV -7.54%E -0.967%K -1.11%G +0.000%6.3%2026-05-16 15:35
Bovada🎯1.07I 93.46%NM 87.51%EV -5.68%E -5.31%K -81.19%G +0.000%7.50I 13.33%NM 12.49%EV -11.10%E -1.48%K -1.71%G +0.000%6.8%2026-05-16 14:00
BetUS🎯1.07I 93.46%NM 87.51%EV -5.68%E -5.31%K -81.19%G +0.000%7.50I 13.33%NM 12.49%EV -11.10%E -1.48%K -1.71%G +0.000%6.8%2026-05-16 14:59
Betway🎯1.07I 93.46%NM 86.74%EV -5.68%E -5.31%K -81.19%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.26%EV -17.03%E -2.43%K -2.84%G +0.000%7.7%2026-05-16 11:10
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.