Default modelInterquartile mean (Vetted List)

Southern Miss Golden Eagles v Arkansas-Little Rock Trojans

Kickoff: 2026-05-29 17:05 UTC

Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →

Head to Head

19 sportsbooks (10 in analysis )

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: Interquartile mean (Vetted List)

Southern Miss Golden Eagles (Local)

Prediction 78.68%1.27fair odd
EV -4.01%
Edge -3.28%
Kelly -18.21%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 1.22

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
76.63%78.60%78.62%80.10%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.171.201.201.2285.47%83.63%83.33%81.97%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Arkansas-Little Rock Trojans (Visit)

Prediction 21.32%4.69fair odd
EV +1.26%
Edge +0.264%
Kelly +0.335%
Growth +0.004%

assuming max odds 4.75

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
19.90%21.40%21.38%23.37%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
4.004.414.504.7525.00%22.66%22.22%21.05%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Southern Miss Golden Eagles (Local): 78.68%; Arkansas-Little Rock Trojans (Visit): 21.32%. For Arkansas-Little Rock Trojans (Visit), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 4.69. 1 bookmaker offered closing odds above that level; the best were 4.75, corresponding to a positive expected value of +1.26%.

Sportsbook Odds (19 sportsbooks)

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BookmakerLocalVisit ▼MarginUpdated
BetMGM🎯1.18I 84.75%NM 80.10%EV -7.15%E -6.06%K -39.74%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 19.90%EV +1.26%E +0.264%K +0.335%G +0.004%5.8%2026-05-29 16:59
1xBet🎯1.20I 83.33%NM 79.45%EV -5.58%E -4.65%K -27.90%G +0.000%4.64I 21.55%NM 20.55%EV -1.09%E -0.235%K -0.299%G +0.000%4.9%2026-05-29 16:59
DraftKings🎯1.19I 84.03%NM 79.45%EV -6.37%E -5.35%K -33.51%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 20.55%EV -1.94%E -0.422%K -0.539%G +0.000%5.8%2026-05-29 17:00
FanDuel🎯1.19I 84.03%NM 79.45%EV -6.37%E -5.35%K -33.51%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 20.55%EV -1.94%E -0.422%K -0.539%G +0.000%5.8%2026-05-29 16:59
Bovada🎯1.17I 85.47%NM 79.72%EV -7.94%E -6.79%K -46.71%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 20.28%EV -1.94%E -0.422%K -0.539%G +0.000%7.2%2026-05-29 16:54
888sport🎯1.20I 83.33%NM 78.95%EV -5.58%E -4.65%K -27.90%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 21.05%EV -4.07%E -0.905%K -1.16%G +0.000%5.6%2026-05-29 16:59
888sport (SE)🎯1.20I 83.33%NM 78.95%EV -5.58%E -4.65%K -27.90%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 21.05%EV -4.07%E -0.905%K -1.16%G +0.000%5.6%2026-05-29 16:59
Mr Green (SE)🎯1.20I 83.33%NM 78.95%EV -5.58%E -4.65%K -27.90%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 21.05%EV -4.07%E -0.905%K -1.16%G +0.000%5.6%2026-05-29 16:59
BetRivers🎯1.17I 85.47%NM 79.37%EV -7.94%E -6.79%K -46.71%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.63%EV -4.07%E -0.905%K -1.16%G +0.000%7.7%2026-05-29 16:59
Bally Bet🎯1.17I 85.47%NM 79.37%EV -7.94%E -6.79%K -46.71%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.63%EV -4.07%E -0.905%K -1.16%G +0.000%7.7%2026-05-29 16:59
betPARX🎯1.17I 85.47%NM 79.37%EV -7.94%E -6.79%K -46.71%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.63%EV -4.07%E -0.905%K -1.16%G +0.000%7.7%2026-05-29 16:59
Caesars🎯1.22I 81.97%NM 78.29%EV -4.01%E -3.28%K -18.21%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.71%EV -6.21%E -1.41%K -1.83%G +0.000%4.7%2026-05-29 16:58
MyBookie.ag🎯1.20I 83.33%NM 78.57%EV -5.58%E -4.65%K -27.90%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.43%EV -6.21%E -1.41%K -1.83%G +0.000%6.1%2026-05-29 16:58
Betway🎯1.18I 84.75%NM 78.27%EV -7.15%E -6.06%K -39.74%G +0.000%4.25I 23.53%NM 21.73%EV -9.40%E -2.21%K -2.89%G +0.000%8.3%2026-05-29 17:00
theScore Bet🎯1.20I 83.33%NM 77.78%EV -5.58%E -4.65%K -27.90%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.22%EV -10.47%E -2.49%K -3.27%G +0.000%7.1%2026-05-29 16:59
BetOnline.ag🎯1.22I 81.97%NM 77.28%EV -4.01%E -3.28%K -18.21%G +0.000%4.15I 24.10%NM 22.72%EV -11.53%E -2.78%K -3.66%G +0.000%6.1%2026-05-29 17:00
LowVig.ag🎯1.22I 81.97%NM 77.28%EV -4.01%E -3.28%K -18.21%G +0.000%4.15I 24.10%NM 22.72%EV -11.53%E -2.78%K -3.66%G +0.000%6.1%2026-05-29 17:00
Pinnacle🎯1.22I 81.97%NM 77.11%EV -4.01%E -3.28%K -18.21%G +0.000%4.11I 24.33%NM 22.89%EV -12.39%E -3.01%K -3.98%G +0.000%6.3%2026-05-29 16:59
BetUS🎯1.22I 81.97%NM 76.63%EV -4.01%E -3.28%K -18.21%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.37%EV -14.73%E -3.68%K -4.91%G +0.000%7.0%2026-05-29 16:59
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.

Exchanges (1)

BookmakerLocalVisitMargin ▲Updated
Novig1.00I 100.00%NM 77.78%3.50I 28.57%NM 22.22%28.6%2026-05-29 17:00