Default modelInterquartile mean (Vetted List)

Southern Illinois Salukis v UNLV Rebels

Kickoff: 2026-03-07 17:00 UTC

Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →

Head to Head

13 sportsbooks (6 in analysis )

39%

61%

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: Interquartile mean (Vetted List)

Southern Illinois Salukis (Local)

Prediction 38.61%2.59fair odd

EV +3.10%

Edge +1.16%

Kelly +1.86%

Growth +0.057%

assuming max odds 2.67

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution

35.19%38.28%39.41%40.46%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Odds’ distribution

2.312.452.352.6743.29%40.74%42.55%37.45%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

UNLV Rebels (Visit)

Prediction 61.39%1.63fair odd

EV -3.62%

Edge -2.31%

Kelly -6.36%

Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 1.57

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution

59.54%61.72%60.59%64.81%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Odds’ distribution

1.451.521.551.5768.97%65.89%64.52%63.69%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Southern Illinois Salukis (Local): 38.61%; UNLV Rebels (Visit): 61.39%. For Southern Illinois Salukis (Local), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 2.59. 5 bookmakers offered closing odds above that level; the best were 2.67, corresponding to a positive expected value of +3.10%.

Sportsbook Odds (13 sportsbooks)

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Bookmaker	Local ▼	Visit	Margin	Updated
LowVig.ag🎯	2.67I 37.45%NM 35.19%EV +3.10%E +1.16%K +1.86%G +0.057%	1.45I 68.97%NM 64.81%EV -10.99%E -7.58%K -24.42%G +0.000%	6.4%	2026-03-07 15:59
BetOnline.ag🎯	2.67I 37.45%NM 35.19%EV +3.10%E +1.16%K +1.86%G +0.057%	1.45I 68.97%NM 64.81%EV -10.99%E -7.58%K -24.42%G +0.000%	6.4%	2026-03-07 15:59
DraftKings🎯	2.65I 37.74%NM 35.68%EV +2.33%E +0.878%K +1.41%G +0.033%	1.47I 68.03%NM 64.32%EV -9.76%E -6.64%K -20.77%G +0.000%	5.8%	2026-03-07 16:44
Bovada🎯	2.60I 38.46%NM 36.12%EV +0.396%E +0.152%K +0.247%G +0.001%	1.47I 68.03%NM 63.88%EV -9.76%E -6.64%K -20.77%G +0.000%	6.5%	2026-03-07 16:47
BetUS🎯	2.60I 38.46%NM 35.80%EV +0.396%E +0.152%K +0.247%G +0.001%	1.45I 68.97%NM 64.20%EV -10.99%E -7.58%K -24.42%G +0.000%	7.4%	2026-03-07 16:00
theScore Bet🎯	2.40I 41.67%NM 39.39%EV -7.33%E -3.05%K -5.23%G +0.000%	1.56I 64.10%NM 60.61%EV -4.24%E -2.72%K -7.57%G +0.000%	5.8%	2026-03-07 04:00
BetMGM🎯	2.35I 42.55%NM 40.05%EV -9.26%E -3.94%K -6.86%G +0.000%	1.57I 63.69%NM 59.95%EV -3.62%E -2.31%K -6.36%G +0.000%	6.2%	2026-03-07 12:04
Betway🎯	2.35I 42.55%NM 39.43%EV -9.26%E -3.94%K -6.86%G +0.000%	1.53I 65.36%NM 60.57%EV -6.08%E -3.97%K -11.47%G +0.000%	7.9%	2026-03-07 07:34
Bally Bet🎯	2.33I 42.92%NM 39.95%EV -10.03%E -4.30%K -7.54%G +0.000%	1.55I 64.52%NM 60.05%EV -4.85%E -3.13%K -8.82%G +0.000%	7.4%	2026-03-07 14:29
BetRivers🎯	2.33I 42.92%NM 39.95%EV -10.03%E -4.30%K -7.54%G +0.000%	1.55I 64.52%NM 60.05%EV -4.85%E -3.13%K -8.82%G +0.000%	7.4%	2026-03-07 14:34
betPARX🎯	2.33I 42.92%NM 39.95%EV -10.03%E -4.30%K -7.54%G +0.000%	1.55I 64.52%NM 60.05%EV -4.85%E -3.13%K -8.82%G +0.000%	7.4%	2026-03-07 14:34
MyBookie.ag🎯	2.32I 43.10%NM 40.21%EV -10.42%E -4.49%K -7.89%G +0.000%	1.56I 64.10%NM 59.79%EV -4.24%E -2.72%K -7.57%G +0.000%	7.2%	2026-03-07 14:28
1xBet🎯	2.31I 43.29%NM 40.46%EV -10.80%E -4.68%K -8.25%G +0.000%	1.57I 63.69%NM 59.54%EV -3.62%E -2.31%K -6.36%G +0.000%	7.0%	2026-03-07 13:29

Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.

Exchanges (1)

Bookmaker	Local	Visit	Margin ▲	Updated
Novig◎	2.62I 38.17%NM 35.15%	1.42I 70.42%NM 64.85%	8.6%	2026-03-07 16:44