Default modelInterquartile mean (Vetted List)

South Florida Bulls v Wichita St Shockers

Kickoff: 2026-05-14 22:30 UTC

Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →

Head to Head

7 sportsbooks (4 in analysis )

59%

41%

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: Interquartile mean (Vetted List)

South Florida Bulls (Local)

Prediction 58.79%1.70fair odd

EV -4.77%

Edge -2.94%

Kelly -7.69%

Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 1.62

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution

58.03%58.89%58.79%59.95%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Odds’ distribution

1.571.601.611.6263.69%62.39%62.11%61.73%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Wichita St Shockers (Visit)

Prediction 41.21%2.43fair odd

EV -3.15%

Edge -1.34%

Kelly -2.33%

Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 2.35

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution

40.05%41.11%41.21%41.97%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Odds’ distribution

2.242.292.282.3544.64%43.75%43.86%42.55%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: South Florida Bulls (Local): 58.79%; Wichita St Shockers (Visit): 41.21%. For Wichita St Shockers (Visit), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 2.43. No eligible bookmaker offered closing odds above that level: the best were 2.35, with an expected value of -3.15%; they did not produce positive expected value.

Sportsbook Odds (7 sportsbooks)

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Bookmaker	Local ▼	Visit	Margin	Updated
1xBet🎯	1.62I 61.73%NM 58.99%EV -4.77%E -2.94%K -7.69%G +0.000%	2.33I 42.92%NM 41.01%EV -3.97%E -1.71%K -2.99%G +0.000%	4.6%	2026-05-14 07:04
Caesars🎯	1.62I 61.73%NM 58.67%EV -4.77%E -2.94%K -7.69%G +0.000%	2.30I 43.48%NM 41.33%EV -5.21%E -2.27%K -4.01%G +0.000%	5.2%	2026-05-14 18:35
DraftKings🎯	1.62I 61.73%NM 58.03%EV -4.77%E -2.94%K -7.69%G +0.000%	2.24I 44.64%NM 41.97%EV -7.68%E -3.43%K -6.20%G +0.000%	6.4%	2026-05-14 17:50
MyBookie.ag🎯	1.61I 62.11%NM 58.61%EV -5.35%E -3.32%K -8.78%G +0.000%	2.28I 43.86%NM 41.39%EV -6.03%E -2.65%K -4.71%G +0.000%	6.0%	2026-05-14 17:58
Bovada🎯	1.61I 62.11%NM 58.29%EV -5.35%E -3.32%K -8.78%G +0.000%	2.25I 44.44%NM 41.71%EV -7.27%E -3.23%K -5.82%G +0.000%	6.6%	2026-05-14 17:48
BetMGM🎯	1.57I 63.69%NM 59.95%EV -7.70%E -4.91%K -13.52%G +0.000%	2.35I 42.55%NM 40.05%EV -3.15%E -1.34%K -2.33%G +0.000%	6.2%	2026-05-13 22:20
Betway🎯	1.57I 63.69%NM 58.90%EV -7.70%E -4.91%K -13.52%G +0.000%	2.25I 44.44%NM 41.10%EV -7.27%E -3.23%K -5.82%G +0.000%	8.1%	2026-05-14 18:50

Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.