Default modelInterquartile mean (Vetted List)

South Carolina Gamecocks v Winthrop Eagles

Kickoff: 2026-05-12 22:30 UTC

Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →

Head to Head

16 sportsbooks (8 in analysis )

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: Interquartile mean (Vetted List)

South Carolina Gamecocks (Local)

Prediction 62.86%1.59fair odd
EV -3.82%
Edge -2.50%
Kelly -7.21%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 1.53

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
61.56%62.83%62.80%63.86%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.481.501.501.5367.57%66.53%66.67%65.36%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Winthrop Eagles (Visit)

Prediction 37.14%2.69fair odd
EV -1.59%
Edge -0.599%
Kelly -0.962%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 2.65

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
36.14%37.17%37.20%38.44%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.452.522.502.6540.82%39.74%40.00%37.74%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: South Carolina Gamecocks (Local): 62.86%; Winthrop Eagles (Visit): 37.14%. For Winthrop Eagles (Visit), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 2.69. No eligible bookmaker offered closing odds above that level: the best were 2.65, with an expected value of -1.59%; they did not produce positive expected value.

Sportsbook Odds (16 sportsbooks)

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BookmakerLocal ▼VisitMarginUpdated
1xBet🎯1.53I 65.36%NM 62.41%EV -3.82%E -2.50%K -7.21%G +0.000%2.54I 39.37%NM 37.59%EV -5.67%E -2.23%K -3.68%G +0.000%4.7%2026-05-12 20:45
theScore Bet🎯1.53I 65.36%NM 62.03%EV -3.82%E -2.50%K -7.21%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.97%EV -7.16%E -2.86%K -4.77%G +0.000%5.4%2026-05-12 15:55
DraftKings🎯1.53I 65.36%NM 61.56%EV -3.82%E -2.50%K -7.21%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 38.44%EV -9.01%E -3.68%K -6.22%G +0.000%6.2%2026-05-12 00:04
Bovada🎯1.53I 65.36%NM 61.56%EV -3.82%E -2.50%K -7.21%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 38.44%EV -9.01%E -3.68%K -6.22%G +0.000%6.2%2026-05-12 03:09
Hard Rock Bet🎯1.51I 66.23%NM 62.34%EV -5.08%E -3.36%K -9.95%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.66%EV -7.16%E -2.86%K -4.77%G +0.000%6.2%2026-05-12 16:30
Caesars🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 63.86%EV -5.71%E -3.80%K -11.41%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 36.14%EV -1.59%E -0.599%K -0.962%G +0.000%4.4%2026-05-12 20:33
LowVig.ag🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 62.78%EV -5.71%E -3.80%K -11.41%G +0.000%2.53I 39.53%NM 37.22%EV -6.04%E -2.39%K -3.95%G +0.000%6.2%2026-05-12 16:25
BetOnline.ag🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 62.78%EV -5.71%E -3.80%K -11.41%G +0.000%2.53I 39.53%NM 37.22%EV -6.04%E -2.39%K -3.95%G +0.000%6.2%2026-05-12 16:25
BetUS🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 62.50%EV -5.71%E -3.80%K -11.41%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.50%EV -7.16%E -2.86%K -4.77%G +0.000%6.7%2026-05-12 16:30
MyBookie.ag🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 62.41%EV -5.71%E -3.80%K -11.41%G +0.000%2.49I 40.16%NM 37.59%EV -7.53%E -3.02%K -5.05%G +0.000%6.8%2026-05-12 20:35
FanDuel🎯1.49I 67.11%NM 63.39%EV -6.33%E -4.25%K -12.93%G +0.000%2.58I 38.76%NM 36.61%EV -4.19%E -1.62%K -2.65%G +0.000%5.9%2026-05-12 20:35
BetRivers🎯1.49I 67.11%NM 62.47%EV -6.33%E -4.25%K -12.93%G +0.000%2.48I 40.32%NM 37.53%EV -7.90%E -3.19%K -5.34%G +0.000%7.4%2026-05-12 15:55
betPARX🎯1.49I 67.11%NM 62.47%EV -6.33%E -4.25%K -12.93%G +0.000%2.48I 40.32%NM 37.53%EV -7.90%E -3.19%K -5.34%G +0.000%7.4%2026-05-12 15:55
Bally Bet🎯1.49I 67.11%NM 62.47%EV -6.33%E -4.25%K -12.93%G +0.000%2.48I 40.32%NM 37.53%EV -7.90%E -3.19%K -5.34%G +0.000%7.4%2026-05-12 15:55
BetMGM🎯1.48I 67.57%NM 63.73%EV -6.96%E -4.70%K -14.51%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 36.27%EV -3.44%E -1.32%K -2.15%G +0.000%6.0%2026-05-12 20:30
Betway🎯1.48I 67.57%NM 62.81%EV -6.96%E -4.70%K -14.51%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.19%EV -7.16%E -2.86%K -4.77%G +0.000%7.6%2026-05-12 20:35
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.

Exchanges (1)

BookmakerLocalVisitMargin ▲Updated
Novig1.50I 66.67%NM 62.96%2.55I 39.22%NM 37.04%5.9%2026-05-12 21:25