Default modelInterquartile mean (Vetted List)

South Carolina Gamecocks v Texas Longhorns

Kickoff: 2026-04-04 18:05 UTC

Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →

Head to Head

19 sportsbooks (9 in analysis )

17%

83%

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: Interquartile mean (Vetted List)

South Carolina Gamecocks (Local)

Prediction 16.93%5.91fair odd

EV +5.81%

Edge +0.929%

Kelly +1.11%

Growth +0.064%

assuming max odds 6.25

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution

15.08%16.77%17.17%22.16%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Odds’ distribution

4.255.425.426.2523.53%18.45%18.45%16.00%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Texas Longhorns (Visit)

Prediction 83.07%1.20fair odd

EV +0.516%

Edge +0.426%

Kelly +2.46%

Growth +0.013%

assuming max odds 1.21

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution

77.84%83.23%82.83%84.92%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Odds’ distribution

1.111.131.131.2190.09%88.13%88.50%82.64%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: South Carolina Gamecocks (Local): 16.93%; Texas Longhorns (Visit): 83.07%. For South Carolina Gamecocks (Local), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 5.91. 2 bookmakers offered closing odds above that level; the best were 6.25, corresponding to a positive expected value of +5.81%.

Sportsbook Odds (19 sportsbooks)

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Bookmaker	Local ▼	Visit	Margin	Updated
BetMGM🎯	6.25I 16.00%NM 15.08%EV +5.81%E +0.929%K +1.11%G +0.064%	1.11I 90.09%NM 84.92%EV -7.79%E -7.02%K -70.83%G +0.000%	6.1%	2026-04-04 17:29
FanDuel🎯	6.20I 16.13%NM 15.18%EV +4.96%E +0.800%K +0.954%G +0.047%	1.11I 90.09%NM 84.82%EV -7.79%E -7.02%K -70.83%G +0.000%	6.2%	2026-04-04 17:40
theScore Bet🎯	5.75I 17.39%NM 16.18%EV -2.66%E -0.462%K -0.560%G +0.000%	1.11I 90.09%NM 83.82%EV -7.79%E -7.02%K -70.83%G +0.000%	7.5%	2026-04-04 17:39
DraftKings🎯	5.70I 17.54%NM 16.54%EV -3.50%E -0.615%K -0.746%G +0.000%	1.13I 88.50%NM 83.46%EV -6.13%E -5.42%K -47.15%G +0.000%	6.0%	2026-04-04 18:00
Caesars🎯	5.50I 18.18%NM 17.29%EV -6.89%E -1.25%K -1.53%G +0.000%	1.15I 86.96%NM 82.71%EV -4.47%E -3.89%K -29.79%G +0.000%	5.1%	2026-04-04 17:58
888sport🎯	5.50I 18.18%NM 17.17%EV -6.89%E -1.25%K -1.53%G +0.000%	1.14I 87.72%NM 82.83%EV -5.30%E -4.65%K -37.85%G +0.000%	5.9%	2026-04-04 14:29
Mr Green (SE)🎯	5.50I 18.18%NM 17.17%EV -6.89%E -1.25%K -1.53%G +0.000%	1.14I 87.72%NM 82.83%EV -5.30%E -4.65%K -37.85%G +0.000%	5.9%	2026-04-04 14:29
888sport (SE)🎯	5.50I 18.18%NM 17.17%EV -6.89%E -1.25%K -1.53%G +0.000%	1.14I 87.72%NM 82.83%EV -5.30%E -4.65%K -37.85%G +0.000%	5.9%	2026-04-04 14:29
Bovada🎯	5.50I 18.18%NM 16.92%EV -6.89%E -1.25%K -1.53%G +0.000%	1.12I 89.29%NM 83.08%EV -6.96%E -6.21%K -58.00%G +0.000%	7.5%	2026-04-04 14:33
1xBet🎯	5.42I 18.45%NM 17.25%EV -8.24%E -1.52%K -1.87%G +0.000%	1.13I 88.50%NM 82.75%EV -6.13%E -5.42%K -47.15%G +0.000%	6.9%	2026-04-04 17:44
LowVig.ag🎯	5.39I 18.55%NM 17.46%EV -8.75%E -1.62%K -1.99%G +0.000%	1.14I 87.72%NM 82.54%EV -5.30%E -4.65%K -37.85%G +0.000%	6.3%	2026-04-04 15:39
BetOnline.ag🎯	5.39I 18.55%NM 17.46%EV -8.75%E -1.62%K -1.99%G +0.000%	1.14I 87.72%NM 82.54%EV -5.30%E -4.65%K -37.85%G +0.000%	6.3%	2026-04-04 15:39
BetRivers🎯	5.25I 19.05%NM 17.71%EV -11.12%E -2.12%K -2.62%G +0.000%	1.13I 88.50%NM 82.29%EV -6.13%E -5.42%K -47.15%G +0.000%	7.5%	2026-04-04 16:08
betPARX🎯	5.25I 19.05%NM 17.71%EV -11.12%E -2.12%K -2.62%G +0.000%	1.13I 88.50%NM 82.29%EV -6.13%E -5.42%K -47.15%G +0.000%	7.5%	2026-04-04 16:09
Bally Bet🎯	5.25I 19.05%NM 17.71%EV -11.12%E -2.12%K -2.62%G +0.000%	1.13I 88.50%NM 82.29%EV -6.13%E -5.42%K -47.15%G +0.000%	7.5%	2026-04-04 16:09
MyBookie.ag🎯	5.20I 19.23%NM 17.98%EV -11.97%E -2.30%K -2.85%G +0.000%	1.14I 87.72%NM 82.02%EV -5.30%E -4.65%K -37.85%G +0.000%	7.0%	2026-04-04 17:54
BetUS🎯	5.20I 19.23%NM 17.98%EV -11.97%E -2.30%K -2.85%G +0.000%	1.14I 87.72%NM 82.02%EV -5.30%E -4.65%K -37.85%G +0.000%	7.0%	2026-04-04 15:39
Betway🎯	5.00I 20.00%NM 18.30%EV -15.35%E -3.07%K -3.84%G +0.000%	1.12I 89.29%NM 81.70%EV -6.96%E -6.21%K -58.00%G +0.000%	9.3%	2026-04-04 16:39
Hard Rock Bet🎯	4.25I 23.53%NM 22.16%EV -28.05%E -6.60%K -8.63%G +0.000%	1.21I 82.64%NM 77.84%EV +0.516%E +0.426%K +2.46%G +0.013%	6.2%	2026-04-04 17:39

Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.

Exchanges (1)

Bookmaker	Local	Visit	Margin ▲	Updated
Novig◎	5.78I 17.30%NM 16.47%	1.14I 87.72%NM 83.53%	5.0%	2026-04-04 18:00