Default modelInterquartile mean (Vetted List)

South Carolina Gamecocks v Texas Longhorns

Kickoff: 2026-04-02 23:00 UTC

Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →

Head to Head

18 sportsbooks (8 in analysis )

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: Interquartile mean (Vetted List)

South Carolina Gamecocks (Local)

Prediction 17.20%5.81fair odd
EV +3.20%
Edge +0.533%
Kelly +0.640%
Growth +0.020%

assuming max odds 6.00

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
15.73%16.97%17.17%17.98%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
5.205.485.506.0019.23%18.24%18.18%16.67%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Texas Longhorns (Visit)

Prediction 82.80%1.21fair odd
EV -4.78%
Edge -4.16%
Kelly -31.87%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 1.15

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
82.02%83.03%82.83%84.27%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.111.131.131.1590.09%88.28%88.11%86.96%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: South Carolina Gamecocks (Local): 17.20%; Texas Longhorns (Visit): 82.80%. For South Carolina Gamecocks (Local), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 5.81. 1 bookmaker offered closing odds above that level; the best were 6.00, corresponding to a positive expected value of +3.20%.

Sportsbook Odds (18 sportsbooks)

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BookmakerLocal ▼VisitMarginUpdated
FanDuel🎯6.00I 16.67%NM 15.73%EV +3.20%E +0.533%K +0.640%G +0.020%1.12I 89.29%NM 84.27%EV -7.26%E -6.49%K -60.53%G +0.000%6.0%2026-04-02 17:39
Hard Rock Bet🎯5.75I 17.39%NM 16.30%EV -1.10%E -0.191%K -0.232%G +0.000%1.12I 89.29%NM 83.70%EV -7.26%E -6.49%K -60.53%G +0.000%6.7%2026-04-02 17:44
theScore Bet🎯5.75I 17.39%NM 16.18%EV -1.10%E -0.191%K -0.232%G +0.000%1.11I 90.09%NM 83.82%EV -8.09%E -7.29%K -73.56%G +0.000%7.5%2026-04-02 17:05
Caesars🎯5.50I 18.18%NM 17.29%EV -5.40%E -0.982%K -1.20%G +0.000%1.15I 86.96%NM 82.71%EV -4.78%E -4.16%K -31.87%G +0.000%5.1%2026-04-02 17:00
DraftKings🎯5.50I 18.18%NM 17.17%EV -5.40%E -0.982%K -1.20%G +0.000%1.14I 87.72%NM 82.83%EV -5.61%E -4.92%K -40.06%G +0.000%5.9%2026-04-02 17:05
BetMGM🎯5.50I 18.18%NM 17.17%EV -5.40%E -0.982%K -1.20%G +0.000%1.14I 87.72%NM 82.83%EV -5.61%E -4.92%K -40.06%G +0.000%5.9%2026-04-02 16:15
888sport🎯5.50I 18.18%NM 17.17%EV -5.40%E -0.982%K -1.20%G +0.000%1.14I 87.72%NM 82.83%EV -5.61%E -4.92%K -40.06%G +0.000%5.9%2026-04-02 09:55
888sport (SE)🎯5.50I 18.18%NM 17.17%EV -5.40%E -0.982%K -1.20%G +0.000%1.14I 87.72%NM 82.83%EV -5.61%E -4.92%K -40.06%G +0.000%5.9%2026-04-02 09:54
Mr Green (SE)🎯5.50I 18.18%NM 17.17%EV -5.40%E -0.982%K -1.20%G +0.000%1.14I 87.72%NM 82.83%EV -5.61%E -4.92%K -40.06%G +0.000%5.9%2026-04-02 09:55
Bovada🎯5.50I 18.18%NM 16.92%EV -5.40%E -0.982%K -1.20%G +0.000%1.12I 89.29%NM 83.08%EV -7.26%E -6.49%K -60.53%G +0.000%7.5%2026-04-02 17:07
MyBookie.ag🎯5.40I 18.52%NM 17.30%EV -7.12%E -1.32%K -1.62%G +0.000%1.13I 88.50%NM 82.70%EV -6.44%E -5.70%K -49.51%G +0.000%7.0%2026-04-02 20:14
BetOnline.ag🎯5.39I 18.55%NM 17.46%EV -7.29%E -1.35%K -1.66%G +0.000%1.14I 87.72%NM 82.54%EV -5.61%E -4.92%K -40.06%G +0.000%6.3%2026-04-02 17:05
LowVig.ag🎯5.39I 18.55%NM 17.46%EV -7.29%E -1.35%K -1.66%G +0.000%1.14I 87.72%NM 82.54%EV -5.61%E -4.92%K -40.06%G +0.000%6.3%2026-04-02 17:05
1xBet🎯5.39I 18.55%NM 17.33%EV -7.29%E -1.35%K -1.66%G +0.000%1.13I 88.50%NM 82.67%EV -6.44%E -5.70%K -49.51%G +0.000%7.0%2026-04-02 17:44
BetRivers🎯5.30I 18.87%NM 17.57%EV -8.84%E -1.67%K -2.06%G +0.000%1.13I 88.50%NM 82.43%EV -6.44%E -5.70%K -49.51%G +0.000%7.4%2026-04-02 17:40
betPARX🎯5.30I 18.87%NM 17.57%EV -8.84%E -1.67%K -2.06%G +0.000%1.13I 88.50%NM 82.43%EV -6.44%E -5.70%K -49.51%G +0.000%7.4%2026-04-02 17:39
Bally Bet🎯5.30I 18.87%NM 17.57%EV -8.84%E -1.67%K -2.06%G +0.000%1.13I 88.50%NM 82.43%EV -6.44%E -5.70%K -49.51%G +0.000%7.4%2026-04-02 17:39
BetUS🎯5.20I 19.23%NM 17.98%EV -10.56%E -2.03%K -2.51%G +0.000%1.14I 87.72%NM 82.02%EV -5.61%E -4.92%K -40.06%G +0.000%7.0%2026-04-02 17:00
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.

Exchanges (1)

BookmakerLocalVisitMargin ▲Updated
Novig6.13I 16.31%NM 15.56%1.13I 88.50%NM 84.44%4.8%2026-04-02 22:55