Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →
assuming max odds 5.00
assuming max odds 1.20
At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: South Carolina Gamecocks (Local): 20.55%; Texas Longhorns (Visit): 79.45%. For South Carolina Gamecocks (Local), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 4.87. 1 bookmaker offered closing odds above that level; the best were 5.00, corresponding to a positive expected value of +2.75%.
We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.
| Bookmaker | Local ▼ | Visit | Margin | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| FanDuel🎯 | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.83%EV +2.75%E +0.550%K +0.688%G +0.019% | 1.16I 86.21%NM 81.17%EV -7.84%E -6.76%K -48.99%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-04-03 22:59 |
| theScore Bet🎯 | 4.80I 20.83%NM 19.33%EV -1.36%E -0.283%K -0.357%G +0.000% | 1.15I 86.96%NM 80.67%EV -8.63%E -7.51%K -57.55%G +0.000% | 7.8% | 2026-04-03 23:00 |
| Caesars🎯 | 4.75I 21.05%NM 20.17%EV -2.39%E -0.502%K -0.636%G +0.000% | 1.20I 83.33%NM 79.83%EV -4.66%E -3.88%K -23.30%G +0.000% | 4.4% | 2026-04-03 22:59 |
| Hard Rock Bet🎯 | 4.75I 21.05%NM 19.90%EV -2.39%E -0.502%K -0.636%G +0.000% | 1.18I 84.75%NM 80.10%EV -6.25%E -5.30%K -34.72%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-04-03 23:00 |
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 4.66I 21.46%NM 20.21%EV -4.24%E -0.909%K -1.16%G +0.000% | 1.18I 84.75%NM 79.79%EV -6.25%E -5.30%K -34.72%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-04-03 22:59 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 4.66I 21.46%NM 20.21%EV -4.24%E -0.909%K -1.16%G +0.000% | 1.18I 84.75%NM 79.79%EV -6.25%E -5.30%K -34.72%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-04-03 23:00 |
| 1xBet🎯 | 4.63I 21.60%NM 20.17%EV -4.85%E -1.05%K -1.34%G +0.000% | 1.17I 85.47%NM 79.83%EV -7.04%E -6.02%K -41.43%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-04-03 22:59 |
| 888sport🎯 | 4.50I 22.22%NM 21.05%EV -7.52%E -1.67%K -2.15%G +0.000% | 1.20I 83.33%NM 78.95%EV -4.66%E -3.88%K -23.30%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-04-03 22:59 |
| 888sport (SE)🎯 | 4.50I 22.22%NM 21.05%EV -7.52%E -1.67%K -2.15%G +0.000% | 1.20I 83.33%NM 78.95%EV -4.66%E -3.88%K -23.30%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-04-03 22:59 |
| Mr Green (SE)🎯 | 4.50I 22.22%NM 21.05%EV -7.52%E -1.67%K -2.15%G +0.000% | 1.20I 83.33%NM 78.95%EV -4.66%E -3.88%K -23.30%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-04-03 22:59 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.91%EV -7.52%E -1.67%K -2.15%G +0.000% | 1.19I 84.03%NM 79.09%EV -5.45%E -4.58%K -28.71%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-04-03 23:00 |
| BetMGM🎯 | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.91%EV -7.52%E -1.67%K -2.15%G +0.000% | 1.19I 84.03%NM 79.09%EV -5.45%E -4.58%K -28.71%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-04-03 22:59 |
| BetUS🎯 | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.77%EV -7.52%E -1.67%K -2.15%G +0.000% | 1.18I 84.75%NM 79.23%EV -6.25%E -5.30%K -34.72%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-04-03 22:59 |
| MyBookie.ag🎯 | 4.40I 22.73%NM 21.29%EV -9.58%E -2.18%K -2.82%G +0.000% | 1.19I 84.03%NM 78.71%EV -5.45%E -4.58%K -28.71%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-04-03 22:59 |
| BetRivers🎯 | 4.40I 22.73%NM 21.15%EV -9.58%E -2.18%K -2.82%G +0.000% | 1.18I 84.75%NM 78.85%EV -6.25%E -5.30%K -34.72%G +0.000% | 7.5% | 2026-04-03 22:59 |
| betPARX🎯 | 4.40I 22.73%NM 21.15%EV -9.58%E -2.18%K -2.82%G +0.000% | 1.18I 84.75%NM 78.85%EV -6.25%E -5.30%K -34.72%G +0.000% | 7.5% | 2026-04-03 22:59 |
| Bally Bet🎯 | 4.40I 22.73%NM 21.15%EV -9.58%E -2.18%K -2.82%G +0.000% | 1.18I 84.75%NM 78.85%EV -6.25%E -5.30%K -34.72%G +0.000% | 7.5% | 2026-04-03 22:59 |
Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit | Margin ▲ | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Novig◎ | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.96% | 1.17I 85.47%NM 81.04% | 5.5% | 2026-04-03 22:58 |