Default modelInterquartile mean (Vetted List)

South Carolina Gamecocks v Mississippi St Bulldogs

Kickoff: 2026-04-19 17:30 UTC

Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →

Head to Head

19 sportsbooks (9 in analysis )

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: Interquartile mean (Vetted List)

South Carolina Gamecocks (Local)

Prediction 26.47%3.78fair odd
EV +2.71%
Edge +0.697%
Kelly +0.939%
Growth +0.025%

assuming max odds 3.88

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
24.07%26.35%26.88%27.80%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
3.353.543.503.8829.85%28.27%28.57%25.77%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Mississippi St Bulldogs (Visit)

Prediction 73.53%1.36fair odd
EV -3.68%
Edge -2.81%
Kelly -11.86%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 1.31

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
72.20%73.65%73.13%75.93%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.231.281.291.3181.30%78.25%77.52%76.34%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: South Carolina Gamecocks (Local): 26.47%; Mississippi St Bulldogs (Visit): 73.53%. For South Carolina Gamecocks (Local), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 3.78. 2 bookmakers offered closing odds above that level; the best were 3.88, corresponding to a positive expected value of +2.71%.

Sportsbook Odds (19 sportsbooks)

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BookmakerLocal ▼VisitMarginUpdated
1xBet🎯3.88I 25.77%NM 24.07%EV +2.71%E +0.697%K +0.939%G +0.025%1.23I 81.30%NM 75.93%EV -9.56%E -7.77%K -41.56%G +0.000%7.1%2026-04-19 16:00
FanDuel🎯3.85I 25.97%NM 24.51%EV +1.91%E +0.496%K +0.670%G +0.013%1.25I 80.00%NM 75.49%EV -8.09%E -6.47%K -32.35%G +0.000%6.0%2026-04-19 12:15
BetMGM🎯3.75I 26.67%NM 25.30%EV -0.736%E -0.196%K -0.268%G +0.000%1.27I 78.74%NM 74.70%EV -6.62%E -5.21%K -24.51%G +0.000%5.4%2026-04-19 13:00
theScore Bet🎯3.70I 27.03%NM 25.25%EV -2.06%E -0.557%K -0.763%G +0.000%1.25I 80.00%NM 74.75%EV -8.09%E -6.47%K -32.35%G +0.000%7.0%2026-04-19 12:15
MyBookie.ag🎯3.55I 28.17%NM 26.35%EV -6.03%E -1.70%K -2.36%G +0.000%1.27I 78.74%NM 73.65%EV -6.62%E -5.21%K -24.51%G +0.000%6.9%2026-04-19 14:45
LowVig.ag🎯3.51I 28.49%NM 26.88%EV -7.09%E -2.02%K -2.82%G +0.000%1.29I 77.52%NM 73.13%EV -5.15%E -3.99%K -17.75%G +0.000%6.0%2026-04-19 12:55
BetOnline.ag🎯3.51I 28.49%NM 26.88%EV -7.09%E -2.02%K -2.82%G +0.000%1.29I 77.52%NM 73.13%EV -5.15%E -3.99%K -17.75%G +0.000%6.0%2026-04-19 12:55
Caesars🎯3.50I 28.57%NM 27.23%EV -7.35%E -2.10%K -2.94%G +0.000%1.31I 76.34%NM 72.77%EV -3.68%E -2.81%K -11.86%G +0.000%4.9%2026-04-19 12:55
DraftKings🎯3.50I 28.57%NM 26.93%EV -7.35%E -2.10%K -2.94%G +0.000%1.29I 77.52%NM 73.07%EV -5.15%E -3.99%K -17.75%G +0.000%6.1%2026-04-18 22:44
888sport🎯3.50I 28.57%NM 26.93%EV -7.35%E -2.10%K -2.94%G +0.000%1.29I 77.52%NM 73.07%EV -5.15%E -3.99%K -17.75%G +0.000%6.1%2026-04-19 00:10
888sport (SE)🎯3.50I 28.57%NM 26.93%EV -7.35%E -2.10%K -2.94%G +0.000%1.29I 77.52%NM 73.07%EV -5.15%E -3.99%K -17.75%G +0.000%6.1%2026-04-19 00:10
Mr Green (SE)🎯3.50I 28.57%NM 26.93%EV -7.35%E -2.10%K -2.94%G +0.000%1.29I 77.52%NM 73.07%EV -5.15%E -3.99%K -17.75%G +0.000%6.1%2026-04-19 00:10
Bovada🎯3.50I 28.57%NM 26.78%EV -7.35%E -2.10%K -2.94%G +0.000%1.28I 78.13%NM 73.22%EV -5.88%E -4.60%K -21.01%G +0.000%6.7%2026-04-19 00:04
Hard Rock Bet🎯3.50I 28.57%NM 26.62%EV -7.35%E -2.10%K -2.94%G +0.000%1.27I 78.74%NM 73.38%EV -6.62%E -5.21%K -24.51%G +0.000%7.3%2026-04-19 14:45
Betway🎯3.50I 28.57%NM 26.32%EV -7.35%E -2.10%K -2.94%G +0.000%1.25I 80.00%NM 73.68%EV -8.09%E -6.47%K -32.35%G +0.000%8.6%2026-04-19 12:10
BetUS🎯3.40I 29.41%NM 27.51%EV -10.00%E -2.94%K -4.17%G +0.000%1.29I 77.52%NM 72.49%EV -5.15%E -3.99%K -17.75%G +0.000%6.9%2026-04-19 13:35
BetRivers🎯3.35I 29.85%NM 27.80%EV -11.32%E -3.38%K -4.82%G +0.000%1.29I 77.52%NM 72.20%EV -5.15%E -3.99%K -17.75%G +0.000%7.4%2026-04-19 14:45
betPARX🎯3.35I 29.85%NM 27.80%EV -11.32%E -3.38%K -4.82%G +0.000%1.29I 77.52%NM 72.20%EV -5.15%E -3.99%K -17.75%G +0.000%7.4%2026-04-19 14:45
Bally Bet🎯3.35I 29.85%NM 27.80%EV -11.32%E -3.38%K -4.82%G +0.000%1.29I 77.52%NM 72.20%EV -5.15%E -3.99%K -17.75%G +0.000%7.4%2026-04-19 14:45
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.

Exchanges (1)

BookmakerLocalVisitMargin ▲Updated
Novig3.77I 26.53%NM 25.20%1.27I 78.74%NM 74.80%5.3%2026-04-19 17:10