Default modelInterquartile mean (Vetted List)

South Carolina Gamecocks v Mississippi St Bulldogs

Kickoff: 2026-04-17 23:00 UTC

Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →

Head to Head

19 sportsbooks (9 in analysis )

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: Interquartile mean (Vetted List)

South Carolina Gamecocks (Local)

Prediction 23.61%4.24fair odd
EV +4.37%
Edge +0.988%
Kelly +1.28%
Growth +0.056%

assuming max odds 4.42

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
21.21%23.98%23.66%26.91%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
3.453.924.004.4228.99%25.54%25.00%22.62%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Mississippi St Bulldogs (Visit)

Prediction 76.39%1.31fair odd
EV -2.99%
Edge -2.35%
Kelly -11.07%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 1.27

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
73.09%76.02%76.34%78.79%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.191.231.231.2784.03%81.16%81.30%78.74%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: South Carolina Gamecocks (Local): 23.61%; Mississippi St Bulldogs (Visit): 76.39%. For South Carolina Gamecocks (Local), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 4.24. 1 bookmaker offered closing odds above that level; the best were 4.42, corresponding to a positive expected value of +4.37%.

Sportsbook Odds (19 sportsbooks)

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BookmakerLocal ▼VisitMarginUpdated
1xBet🎯4.42I 22.62%NM 21.21%EV +4.37%E +0.988%K +1.28%G +0.056%1.19I 84.03%NM 78.79%EV -9.10%E -7.65%K -47.89%G +0.000%6.7%2026-04-17 22:15
Bovada🎯4.15I 24.10%NM 22.57%EV -2.01%E -0.484%K -0.637%G +0.000%1.21I 82.64%NM 77.43%EV -7.57%E -6.26%K -36.05%G +0.000%6.7%2026-04-17 14:16
FanDuel🎯4.10I 24.39%NM 23.08%EV -3.19%E -0.778%K -1.03%G +0.000%1.23I 81.30%NM 76.92%EV -6.04%E -4.91%K -26.28%G +0.000%5.7%2026-04-17 22:50
Caesars🎯4.00I 25.00%NM 23.81%EV -5.55%E -1.39%K -1.85%G +0.000%1.25I 80.00%NM 76.19%EV -4.52%E -3.61%K -18.06%G +0.000%5.0%2026-04-17 07:05
DraftKings🎯4.00I 25.00%NM 23.66%EV -5.55%E -1.39%K -1.85%G +0.000%1.24I 80.65%NM 76.34%EV -5.28%E -4.26%K -22.00%G +0.000%5.6%2026-04-17 03:57
888sport🎯4.00I 25.00%NM 23.37%EV -5.55%E -1.39%K -1.85%G +0.000%1.22I 81.97%NM 76.63%EV -6.81%E -5.58%K -30.94%G +0.000%7.0%2026-04-17 05:04
888sport (SE)🎯4.00I 25.00%NM 23.37%EV -5.55%E -1.39%K -1.85%G +0.000%1.22I 81.97%NM 76.63%EV -6.81%E -5.58%K -30.94%G +0.000%7.0%2026-04-17 05:04
Mr Green (SE)🎯4.00I 25.00%NM 23.37%EV -5.55%E -1.39%K -1.85%G +0.000%1.22I 81.97%NM 76.63%EV -6.81%E -5.58%K -30.94%G +0.000%7.0%2026-04-17 05:04
Hard Rock Bet🎯4.00I 25.00%NM 23.37%EV -5.55%E -1.39%K -1.85%G +0.000%1.22I 81.97%NM 76.63%EV -6.81%E -5.58%K -30.94%G +0.000%7.0%2026-04-17 18:45
BetMGM🎯4.00I 25.00%NM 23.37%EV -5.55%E -1.39%K -1.85%G +0.000%1.22I 81.97%NM 76.63%EV -6.81%E -5.58%K -30.94%G +0.000%7.0%2026-04-17 12:34
theScore Bet🎯4.00I 25.00%NM 23.22%EV -5.55%E -1.39%K -1.85%G +0.000%1.21I 82.64%NM 76.78%EV -7.57%E -6.26%K -36.05%G +0.000%7.6%2026-04-17 20:45
BetOnline.ag🎯3.96I 25.25%NM 23.85%EV -6.49%E -1.64%K -2.19%G +0.000%1.24I 80.65%NM 76.15%EV -5.28%E -4.26%K -22.00%G +0.000%5.9%2026-04-17 21:00
LowVig.ag🎯3.96I 25.25%NM 23.85%EV -6.49%E -1.64%K -2.19%G +0.000%1.24I 80.65%NM 76.15%EV -5.28%E -4.26%K -22.00%G +0.000%5.9%2026-04-17 21:00
MyBookie.ag🎯3.90I 25.64%NM 23.98%EV -7.91%E -2.03%K -2.73%G +0.000%1.23I 81.30%NM 76.02%EV -6.04%E -4.91%K -26.28%G +0.000%6.9%2026-04-17 21:35
BetUS🎯3.80I 26.32%NM 24.60%EV -10.27%E -2.70%K -3.67%G +0.000%1.24I 80.65%NM 75.40%EV -5.28%E -4.26%K -22.00%G +0.000%7.0%2026-04-17 21:00
Betway🎯3.75I 26.67%NM 24.55%EV -11.45%E -3.05%K -4.16%G +0.000%1.22I 81.97%NM 75.45%EV -6.81%E -5.58%K -30.94%G +0.000%8.6%2026-04-17 18:54
BetRivers🎯3.45I 28.99%NM 26.91%EV -18.54%E -5.37%K -7.57%G +0.000%1.27I 78.74%NM 73.09%EV -2.99%E -2.35%K -11.07%G +0.000%7.7%2026-04-17 22:50
Bally Bet🎯3.45I 28.99%NM 26.91%EV -18.54%E -5.37%K -7.57%G +0.000%1.27I 78.74%NM 73.09%EV -2.99%E -2.35%K -11.07%G +0.000%7.7%2026-04-17 22:50
betPARX🎯3.45I 28.99%NM 26.91%EV -18.54%E -5.37%K -7.57%G +0.000%1.27I 78.74%NM 73.09%EV -2.99%E -2.35%K -11.07%G +0.000%7.7%2026-04-17 22:50
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.

Exchanges (1)

BookmakerLocalVisitMargin ▲Updated
Novig4.24I 23.58%NM 22.49%1.23I 81.30%NM 77.51%4.9%2026-04-17 22:50