Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →
assuming max odds 3.10
assuming max odds 1.45
At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: South Carolina Gamecocks (Local): 31.24%; Arkansas Razorbacks (Visit): 68.76%. For Arkansas Razorbacks (Visit), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 1.454. No eligible bookmaker offered closing odds above that level: the best were 1.450, with an expected value of -0.303%; they did not produce positive expected value.
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| Bookmaker | Local ▼ | Visit | Margin | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Caesars🎯 | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.80%EV -3.15%E -1.01%K -1.50%G +0.000% | 1.38I 72.46%NM 69.20%EV -5.12%E -3.71%K -13.46%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-03-21 18:28 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.49%EV -3.15%E -1.01%K -1.50%G +0.000% | 1.36I 73.53%NM 69.51%EV -6.49%E -4.77%K -18.03%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-03-21 19:34 |
| Bovada🎯 | 3.05I 32.79%NM 30.84%EV -4.71%E -1.54%K -2.30%G +0.000% | 1.36I 73.53%NM 69.16%EV -6.49%E -4.77%K -18.03%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-03-21 19:42 |
| MyBookie.ag🎯 | 3.04I 32.89%NM 30.75%EV -5.02%E -1.65%K -2.46%G +0.000% | 1.35I 74.07%NM 69.25%EV -7.18%E -5.32%K -20.51%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-03-21 18:38 |
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 3.02I 33.11%NM 31.21%EV -5.64%E -1.87%K -2.79%G +0.000% | 1.37I 72.99%NM 68.79%EV -5.80%E -4.24%K -15.69%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-03-21 17:19 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 3.02I 33.11%NM 31.21%EV -5.64%E -1.87%K -2.79%G +0.000% | 1.37I 72.99%NM 68.79%EV -5.80%E -4.24%K -15.69%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-03-21 17:20 |
| theScore Bet🎯 | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.51%EV -6.27%E -2.09%K -3.13%G +0.000% | 1.38I 72.46%NM 68.49%EV -5.12%E -3.71%K -13.46%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-03-21 19:39 |
| FanDuel🎯 | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.51%EV -6.27%E -2.09%K -3.13%G +0.000% | 1.38I 72.46%NM 68.49%EV -5.12%E -3.71%K -13.46%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-03-21 19:39 |
| BetMGM🎯 | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.19%EV -6.27%E -2.09%K -3.13%G +0.000% | 1.36I 73.53%NM 68.81%EV -6.49%E -4.77%K -18.03%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-03-21 19:34 |
| Hard Rock Bet🎯 | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.19%EV -6.27%E -2.09%K -3.13%G +0.000% | 1.36I 73.53%NM 68.81%EV -6.49%E -4.77%K -18.03%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-03-21 19:36 |
| BetUS🎯 | 2.95I 33.90%NM 31.71%EV -7.83%E -2.65%K -4.02%G +0.000% | 1.37I 72.99%NM 68.29%EV -5.80%E -4.24%K -15.69%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-03-21 17:29 |
| 1xBet🎯 | 2.76I 36.23%NM 33.81%EV -13.77%E -4.99%K -7.82%G +0.000% | 1.41I 70.92%NM 66.19%EV -3.05%E -2.17%K -7.45%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-03-21 19:49 |
| Fliff🎯 | 2.75I 36.36%NM 33.25%EV -14.08%E -5.12%K -8.05%G +0.000% | 1.37I 72.99%NM 66.75%EV -5.80%E -4.24%K -15.69%G +0.000% | 9.4% | 2026-03-21 19:34 |
| BetRivers🎯 | 2.55I 39.22%NM 36.25%EV -20.33%E -7.97%K -13.12%G +0.000% | 1.45I 68.97%NM 63.75%EV -0.303%E -0.209%K -0.673%G +0.000% | 8.2% | 2026-03-21 15:49 |
| betPARX🎯 | 2.55I 39.22%NM 36.25%EV -20.33%E -7.97%K -13.12%G +0.000% | 1.45I 68.97%NM 63.75%EV -0.303%E -0.209%K -0.673%G +0.000% | 8.2% | 2026-03-21 15:49 |
| Bally Bet🎯 | 2.55I 39.22%NM 36.25%EV -20.33%E -7.97%K -13.12%G +0.000% | 1.45I 68.97%NM 63.75%EV -0.303%E -0.209%K -0.673%G +0.000% | 8.2% | 2026-03-21 15:49 |
Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit | Margin ▲ | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Novig◎ | 3.13I 31.95%NM 30.29% | 1.36I 73.53%NM 69.71% | 5.5% | 2026-03-21 19:39 |