Default modelInterquartile mean (Vetted List)

South Carolina Gamecocks v Arkansas Razorbacks

Kickoff: 2026-03-20 23:00 UTC

Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →

Head to Head

16 sportsbooks (7 in analysis )

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: Interquartile mean (Vetted List)

South Carolina Gamecocks (Local)

Prediction 32.58%3.07fair odd
EV -2.25%
Edge -0.749%
Kelly -1.12%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 3.00

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
31.58%32.63%32.56%33.89%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.752.852.823.0036.36%35.10%35.46%33.33%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Arkansas Razorbacks (Visit)

Prediction 67.42%1.48fair odd
EV -4.27%
Edge -3.01%
Kelly -10.17%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 1.42

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
66.11%67.37%67.44%68.42%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.361.401.401.4273.53%71.59%71.43%70.42%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: South Carolina Gamecocks (Local): 32.58%; Arkansas Razorbacks (Visit): 67.42%. For South Carolina Gamecocks (Local), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 3.07. No eligible bookmaker offered closing odds above that level: the best were 3.00, with an expected value of -2.25%; they did not produce positive expected value.

Sportsbook Odds (16 sportsbooks)

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BookmakerLocal ▼VisitMarginUpdated
Caesars🎯3.00I 33.33%NM 31.82%EV -2.25%E -0.749%K -1.12%G +0.000%1.40I 71.43%NM 68.18%EV -5.62%E -4.01%K -14.05%G +0.000%4.8%2026-03-20 22:19
LowVig.ag🎯2.99I 33.44%NM 31.58%EV -2.57%E -0.861%K -1.29%G +0.000%1.38I 72.46%NM 68.42%EV -6.97%E -5.05%K -18.33%G +0.000%5.9%2026-03-20 22:20
BetOnline.ag🎯2.99I 33.44%NM 31.58%EV -2.57%E -0.861%K -1.29%G +0.000%1.38I 72.46%NM 68.42%EV -6.97%E -5.05%K -18.33%G +0.000%5.9%2026-03-20 22:20
FanDuel🎯2.96I 33.78%NM 31.80%EV -3.55%E -1.20%K -1.81%G +0.000%1.38I 72.46%NM 68.20%EV -6.97%E -5.05%K -18.33%G +0.000%6.2%2026-03-20 16:55
BetMGM🎯2.90I 34.48%NM 32.56%EV -5.51%E -1.90%K -2.90%G +0.000%1.40I 71.43%NM 67.44%EV -5.62%E -4.01%K -14.05%G +0.000%5.9%2026-03-20 16:35
BetUS🎯2.90I 34.48%NM 32.24%EV -5.51%E -1.90%K -2.90%G +0.000%1.38I 72.46%NM 67.76%EV -6.97%E -5.05%K -18.33%G +0.000%6.9%2026-03-20 22:20
DraftKings🎯2.85I 35.09%NM 33.10%EV -7.13%E -2.50%K -3.86%G +0.000%1.41I 70.92%NM 66.90%EV -4.94%E -3.51%K -12.06%G +0.000%6.0%2026-03-20 16:50
MyBookie.ag🎯2.84I 35.21%NM 32.86%EV -7.46%E -2.63%K -4.05%G +0.000%1.39I 71.94%NM 67.14%EV -6.29%E -4.53%K -16.13%G +0.000%7.2%2026-03-20 21:45
theScore Bet🎯2.80I 35.71%NM 33.65%EV -8.76%E -3.13%K -4.87%G +0.000%1.42I 70.42%NM 66.35%EV -4.27%E -3.01%K -10.17%G +0.000%6.1%2026-03-20 09:54
Bovada🎯2.80I 35.71%NM 33.49%EV -8.76%E -3.13%K -4.87%G +0.000%1.41I 70.92%NM 66.51%EV -4.94%E -3.51%K -12.06%G +0.000%6.6%2026-03-20 17:00
Hard Rock Bet🎯2.80I 35.71%NM 33.33%EV -8.76%E -3.13%K -4.87%G +0.000%1.40I 71.43%NM 66.67%EV -5.62%E -4.01%K -14.05%G +0.000%7.1%2026-03-20 17:12
1xBet🎯2.76I 36.23%NM 33.81%EV -10.07%E -3.65%K -5.72%G +0.000%1.41I 70.92%NM 66.19%EV -4.94%E -3.51%K -12.06%G +0.000%7.2%2026-03-20 17:40
BetRivers🎯2.75I 36.36%NM 33.89%EV -10.39%E -3.78%K -5.94%G +0.000%1.41I 70.92%NM 66.11%EV -4.94%E -3.51%K -12.06%G +0.000%7.3%2026-03-20 16:30
betPARX🎯2.75I 36.36%NM 33.89%EV -10.39%E -3.78%K -5.94%G +0.000%1.41I 70.92%NM 66.11%EV -4.94%E -3.51%K -12.06%G +0.000%7.3%2026-03-20 16:30
Bally Bet🎯2.75I 36.36%NM 33.89%EV -10.39%E -3.78%K -5.94%G +0.000%1.41I 70.92%NM 66.11%EV -4.94%E -3.51%K -12.06%G +0.000%7.3%2026-03-20 16:30
Fliff🎯2.75I 36.36%NM 33.09%EV -10.39%E -3.78%K -5.94%G +0.000%1.36I 73.53%NM 66.91%EV -8.31%E -6.11%K -23.10%G +0.000%9.9%2026-03-20 19:39
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.

Exchanges (1)

BookmakerLocalVisitMargin ▲Updated
Novig2.94I 34.01%NM 32.41%1.41I 70.92%NM 67.59%4.9%2026-03-20 22:50