The School of College Oddsodds.college
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South Carolina Gamecocks v Alabama Crimson Tide

Kickoff: 2026-05-09 17:05 UTC

Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →

Head to Head

19 sportsbooks (9 in analysis )

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: Interquartile mean (Vetted List)

South Carolina Gamecocks (Local)

Prediction 35.80%2.79fair odd
EV +2.04%
Edge +0.715%
Kelly +1.10%
Growth +0.022%

assuming max odds 2.85

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
33.10%35.56%35.77%37.25%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.502.642.602.8540.00%37.95%38.46%35.09%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Alabama Crimson Tide (Visit)

Prediction 64.20%1.56fair odd
EV -3.70%
Edge -2.47%
Kelly -7.41%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 1.50

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
62.75%64.44%64.23%66.90%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.411.461.471.5070.92%68.57%68.03%66.67%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: South Carolina Gamecocks (Local): 35.80%; Alabama Crimson Tide (Visit): 64.20%. For South Carolina Gamecocks (Local), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 2.79. 3 bookmakers offered closing odds above that level; the best were 2.85, corresponding to a positive expected value of +2.04%.

Sportsbook Odds (19 sportsbooks)

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BookmakerLocal ▼VisitMarginUpdated
LowVig.ag🎯2.85I 35.09%NM 33.10%EV +2.04%E +0.715%K +1.10%G +0.022%1.41I 70.92%NM 66.90%EV -9.48%E -6.73%K -23.13%G +0.000%6.0%2026-05-09 16:59
BetOnline.ag🎯2.85I 35.09%NM 33.10%EV +2.04%E +0.715%K +1.10%G +0.022%1.41I 70.92%NM 66.90%EV -9.48%E -6.73%K -23.13%G +0.000%6.0%2026-05-09 16:59
Caesars🎯2.80I 35.71%NM 34.12%EV +0.249%E +0.089%K +0.138%G +0.000%1.45I 68.97%NM 65.88%EV -6.91%E -4.77%K -15.37%G +0.000%4.7%2026-05-09 16:58
BetUS🎯2.77I 36.10%NM 33.73%EV -0.825%E -0.298%K -0.466%G +0.000%1.41I 70.92%NM 66.27%EV -9.48%E -6.73%K -23.13%G +0.000%7.0%2026-05-09 16:59
BetMGM🎯2.70I 37.04%NM 34.94%EV -3.33%E -1.23%K -1.96%G +0.000%1.45I 68.97%NM 65.06%EV -6.91%E -4.77%K -15.37%G +0.000%6.0%2026-05-09 16:59
FanDuel🎯2.64I 37.88%NM 35.77%EV -5.48%E -2.08%K -3.34%G +0.000%1.47I 68.03%NM 64.23%EV -5.63%E -3.83%K -11.98%G +0.000%5.9%2026-05-09 16:59
888sport🎯2.62I 38.17%NM 35.47%EV -6.20%E -2.36%K -3.82%G +0.000%1.44I 69.44%NM 64.53%EV -7.56%E -5.25%K -17.17%G +0.000%7.6%2026-05-09 16:59
Mr Green (SE)🎯2.62I 38.17%NM 35.47%EV -6.20%E -2.36%K -3.82%G +0.000%1.44I 69.44%NM 64.53%EV -7.56%E -5.25%K -17.17%G +0.000%7.6%2026-05-09 16:59
888sport (SE)🎯2.62I 38.17%NM 35.47%EV -6.20%E -2.36%K -3.82%G +0.000%1.44I 69.44%NM 64.53%EV -7.56%E -5.25%K -17.17%G +0.000%7.6%2026-05-09 16:59
theScore Bet🎯2.60I 38.46%NM 36.59%EV -6.91%E -2.66%K -4.32%G +0.000%1.50I 66.67%NM 63.41%EV -3.70%E -2.47%K -7.41%G +0.000%5.1%2026-05-09 16:59
DraftKings🎯2.60I 38.46%NM 36.27%EV -6.91%E -2.66%K -4.32%G +0.000%1.48I 67.57%NM 63.73%EV -4.99%E -3.37%K -10.39%G +0.000%6.0%2026-05-09 17:00
Hard Rock Bet🎯2.60I 38.46%NM 36.27%EV -6.91%E -2.66%K -4.32%G +0.000%1.48I 67.57%NM 63.73%EV -4.99%E -3.37%K -10.39%G +0.000%6.0%2026-05-09 17:00
Bovada🎯2.60I 38.46%NM 36.12%EV -6.91%E -2.66%K -4.32%G +0.000%1.47I 68.03%NM 63.88%EV -5.63%E -3.83%K -11.98%G +0.000%6.5%2026-05-09 16:53
BetRivers🎯2.55I 39.22%NM 36.57%EV -8.70%E -3.41%K -5.61%G +0.000%1.47I 68.03%NM 63.43%EV -5.63%E -3.83%K -11.98%G +0.000%7.2%2026-05-09 17:00
Bally Bet🎯2.55I 39.22%NM 36.57%EV -8.70%E -3.41%K -5.61%G +0.000%1.47I 68.03%NM 63.43%EV -5.63%E -3.83%K -11.98%G +0.000%7.2%2026-05-09 16:59
betPARX🎯2.55I 39.22%NM 36.57%EV -8.70%E -3.41%K -5.61%G +0.000%1.47I 68.03%NM 63.43%EV -5.63%E -3.83%K -11.98%G +0.000%7.2%2026-05-09 16:59
MyBookie.ag🎯2.54I 39.37%NM 36.82%EV -9.06%E -3.57%K -5.88%G +0.000%1.48I 67.57%NM 63.18%EV -4.99%E -3.37%K -10.39%G +0.000%6.9%2026-05-09 16:59
1xBet🎯2.51I 39.84%NM 37.25%EV -10.13%E -4.04%K -6.71%G +0.000%1.49I 67.11%NM 62.75%EV -4.35%E -2.92%K -8.87%G +0.000%7.0%2026-05-09 16:54
Betway🎯2.50I 40.00%NM 37.19%EV -10.49%E -4.20%K -6.99%G +0.000%1.48I 67.57%NM 62.81%EV -4.99%E -3.37%K -10.39%G +0.000%7.6%2026-05-09 17:00
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.

Exchanges (1)

BookmakerLocalVisitMargin ▲Updated
Novig◎2.70I 37.04%NM 35.25%1.47I 68.03%NM 64.75%5.1%2026-05-09 16:59