Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →
assuming max odds 2.81
assuming max odds 1.56
At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: South Carolina Gamecocks (Local): 38.31%; Alabama Crimson Tide (Visit): 61.69%. For South Carolina Gamecocks (Local), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 2.61. 3 bookmakers offered closing odds above that level; the best were 2.81, corresponding to a positive expected value of +7.66%.
We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.
| Bookmaker | Local ▼ | Visit | Margin | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 2.81I 35.59%NM 33.57%EV +7.66%E +2.73%K +4.23%G +0.324% | 1.42I 70.42%NM 66.43%EV -12.40%E -8.74%K -29.53%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-05-08 21:29 |
| BetUS🎯 | 2.75I 36.36%NM 34.05%EV +5.36%E +1.95%K +3.06%G +0.164% | 1.42I 70.42%NM 65.95%EV -12.40%E -8.74%K -29.53%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-05-08 21:29 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 2.67I 37.45%NM 35.19%EV +2.30%E +0.860%K +1.37%G +0.032% | 1.45I 68.97%NM 64.81%EV -10.55%E -7.28%K -23.45%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-05-08 21:29 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 2.54I 39.37%NM 37.13%EV -2.69%E -1.06%K -1.74%G +0.000% | 1.50I 66.67%NM 62.87%EV -7.47%E -4.98%K -14.94%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-05-07 23:35 |
| Caesars🎯 | 2.50I 40.00%NM 38.42%EV -4.22%E -1.69%K -2.81%G +0.000% | 1.56I 64.10%NM 61.58%EV -3.77%E -2.42%K -6.73%G +0.000% | 4.1% | 2026-05-08 21:04 |
| Hard Rock Bet🎯 | 2.50I 40.00%NM 37.66%EV -4.22%E -1.69%K -2.81%G +0.000% | 1.51I 66.23%NM 62.34%EV -6.85%E -4.54%K -13.44%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-05-08 15:44 |
| BetMGM🎯 | 2.50I 40.00%NM 37.50%EV -4.22%E -1.69%K -2.81%G +0.000% | 1.50I 66.67%NM 62.50%EV -7.47%E -4.98%K -14.94%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-05-08 15:59 |
| Bovada🎯 | 2.50I 40.00%NM 37.50%EV -4.22%E -1.69%K -2.81%G +0.000% | 1.50I 66.67%NM 62.50%EV -7.47%E -4.98%K -14.94%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-05-08 03:23 |
| MyBookie.ag🎯 | 2.46I 40.65%NM 38.04%EV -5.75%E -2.34%K -3.94%G +0.000% | 1.51I 66.23%NM 61.96%EV -6.85%E -4.54%K -13.44%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-05-08 16:03 |
| BetRivers🎯 | 2.45I 40.82%NM 37.82%EV -6.13%E -2.50%K -4.23%G +0.000% | 1.49I 67.11%NM 62.18%EV -8.09%E -5.43%K -16.50%G +0.000% | 7.9% | 2026-05-08 15:49 |
| Bally Bet🎯 | 2.45I 40.82%NM 37.82%EV -6.13%E -2.50%K -4.23%G +0.000% | 1.49I 67.11%NM 62.18%EV -8.09%E -5.43%K -16.50%G +0.000% | 7.9% | 2026-05-08 15:49 |
| betPARX🎯 | 2.45I 40.82%NM 37.82%EV -6.13%E -2.50%K -4.23%G +0.000% | 1.49I 67.11%NM 62.18%EV -8.09%E -5.43%K -16.50%G +0.000% | 7.9% | 2026-05-08 15:49 |
| FanDuel🎯 | 2.44I 40.98%NM 38.69%EV -6.52%E -2.67%K -4.53%G +0.000% | 1.54I 64.94%NM 61.31%EV -5.00%E -3.25%K -9.26%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-05-08 15:49 |
| theScore Bet🎯 | 2.40I 41.67%NM 39.39%EV -8.05%E -3.35%K -5.75%G +0.000% | 1.56I 64.10%NM 60.61%EV -3.77%E -2.42%K -6.73%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-05-08 21:29 |
| 888sport🎯 | 2.38I 42.02%NM 39.13%EV -8.82%E -3.70%K -6.39%G +0.000% | 1.53I 65.36%NM 60.87%EV -5.62%E -3.67%K -10.60%G +0.000% | 7.4% | 2026-05-08 18:09 |
| 888sport (SE)🎯 | 2.38I 42.02%NM 39.13%EV -8.82%E -3.70%K -6.39%G +0.000% | 1.53I 65.36%NM 60.87%EV -5.62%E -3.67%K -10.60%G +0.000% | 7.4% | 2026-05-08 18:09 |
| Mr Green (SE)🎯 | 2.38I 42.02%NM 39.13%EV -8.82%E -3.70%K -6.39%G +0.000% | 1.53I 65.36%NM 60.87%EV -5.62%E -3.67%K -10.60%G +0.000% | 7.4% | 2026-05-08 18:09 |
| 1xBet🎯 | 2.36I 42.37%NM 39.64%EV -9.58%E -4.06%K -7.05%G +0.000% | 1.55I 64.52%NM 60.36%EV -4.39%E -2.83%K -7.97%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-05-08 18:20 |
| Betway🎯 | 2.35I 42.55%NM 39.43%EV -9.96%E -4.24%K -7.38%G +0.000% | 1.53I 65.36%NM 60.57%EV -5.62%E -3.67%K -10.60%G +0.000% | 7.9% | 2026-05-08 21:29 |
Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit | Margin ▲ | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Novig◎ | 2.55I 39.22%NM 37.80% | 1.55I 64.52%NM 62.20% | 3.7% | 2026-05-08 21:24 |