The School of College Oddsodds.college
Default modelInterquartile mean (Vetted List)
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South Alabama Jaguars v SE Louisiana Lions

Kickoff: 2026-03-11 23:30 UTC

Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →

Head to Head

11 sportsbooks (6 in analysis )

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: Interquartile mean (Vetted List)

South Alabama Jaguars (Local)

Prediction 62.46%1.60fair odd
EV -2.56%
Edge -1.64%
Kelly -4.57%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 1.56

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
60.61%62.31%62.67%63.41%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.491.511.501.5667.11%66.39%66.67%64.10%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

SE Louisiana Lions (Visit)

Prediction 37.54%2.66fair odd
EV -2.40%
Edge -0.922%
Kelly -1.50%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 2.60

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
36.59%37.69%37.33%39.39%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.402.482.482.6041.67%40.29%40.32%38.46%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: South Alabama Jaguars (Local): 62.46%; SE Louisiana Lions (Visit): 37.54%. For SE Louisiana Lions (Visit), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 2.66. No eligible bookmaker offered closing odds above that level: the best were 2.60, with an expected value of -2.40%; they did not produce positive expected value.

Sportsbook Odds (11 sportsbooks)

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BookmakerLocal ▼VisitMarginUpdated
DraftKings🎯1.56I 64.10%NM 60.61%EV -2.56%E -1.64%K -4.57%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 39.39%EV -9.90%E -4.13%K -7.07%G +0.000%5.8%2026-03-11 16:15
1xBet🎯1.53I 65.36%NM 61.17%EV -4.44%E -2.90%K -8.37%G +0.000%2.41I 41.49%NM 38.83%EV -9.53%E -3.95%K -6.76%G +0.000%6.9%2026-03-11 21:55
MyBookie.ag🎯1.51I 66.23%NM 61.96%EV -5.68%E -3.76%K -11.15%G +0.000%2.46I 40.65%NM 38.04%EV -7.65%E -3.11%K -5.24%G +0.000%6.9%2026-03-11 18:24
theScore Bet🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 63.41%EV -6.31%E -4.21%K -12.62%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 36.59%EV -2.40%E -0.922%K -1.50%G +0.000%5.1%2026-03-11 22:10
BetMGM🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 62.96%EV -6.31%E -4.21%K -12.62%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 37.04%EV -4.27%E -1.68%K -2.76%G +0.000%5.9%2026-03-11 18:20
FanDuel🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 62.87%EV -6.31%E -4.21%K -12.62%G +0.000%2.54I 39.37%NM 37.13%EV -4.65%E -1.83%K -3.02%G +0.000%6.0%2026-03-11 18:20
Bovada🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 62.50%EV -6.31%E -4.21%K -12.62%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.50%EV -6.15%E -2.46%K -4.10%G +0.000%6.7%2026-03-11 16:20
Betway🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 61.54%EV -6.31%E -4.21%K -12.62%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 38.46%EV -9.90%E -4.13%K -7.07%G +0.000%8.3%2026-03-11 16:54
BetRivers🎯1.49I 67.11%NM 62.47%EV -6.93%E -4.65%K -14.15%G +0.000%2.48I 40.32%NM 37.53%EV -6.90%E -2.78%K -4.66%G +0.000%7.4%2026-03-11 18:20
Bally Bet🎯1.49I 67.11%NM 62.47%EV -6.93%E -4.65%K -14.15%G +0.000%2.48I 40.32%NM 37.53%EV -6.90%E -2.78%K -4.66%G +0.000%7.4%2026-03-11 18:20
betPARX🎯1.49I 67.11%NM 62.47%EV -6.93%E -4.65%K -14.15%G +0.000%2.48I 40.32%NM 37.53%EV -6.90%E -2.78%K -4.66%G +0.000%7.4%2026-03-11 18:20
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.

Exchanges (1)

BookmakerLocalVisitMargin ▲Updated
Novig◎1.53I 65.36%NM 62.13%2.51I 39.84%NM 37.87%5.2%2026-03-11 23:09