The School of College Oddsodds.college
Default modelInterquartile mean (Vetted List)
+ New modelAll models

South Alabama Jaguars v Alabama Crimson Tide

Kickoff: 2026-03-17 23:30 UTC

Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →

Head to Head

17 sportsbooks (8 in analysis )

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: Interquartile mean (Vetted List)

South Alabama Jaguars (Local)

Prediction 40.19%2.49fair odd
EV -3.54%
Edge -1.47%
Kelly -2.53%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 2.40

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
39.59%40.29%40.20%41.10%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.252.322.302.4044.44%43.13%43.48%41.67%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Alabama Crimson Tide (Visit)

Prediction 59.81%1.67fair odd
EV -4.31%
Edge -2.69%
Kelly -7.18%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 1.60

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
58.90%59.71%59.80%60.41%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.531.571.571.6065.36%63.58%63.69%62.50%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: South Alabama Jaguars (Local): 40.19%; Alabama Crimson Tide (Visit): 59.81%. For South Alabama Jaguars (Local), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 2.49. No eligible bookmaker offered closing odds above that level: the best were 2.40, with an expected value of -3.54%; they did not produce positive expected value.

Sportsbook Odds (17 sportsbooks)

We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.

BookmakerLocal ▼VisitMarginUpdated
Caesars🎯2.40I 41.67%NM 39.85%EV -3.54%E -1.47%K -2.53%G +0.000%1.59I 62.89%NM 60.15%EV -4.91%E -3.09%K -8.32%G +0.000%4.6%2026-03-17 19:05
FanDuel🎯2.38I 42.02%NM 39.59%EV -4.34%E -1.82%K -3.15%G +0.000%1.56I 64.10%NM 60.41%EV -6.70%E -4.30%K -11.96%G +0.000%6.1%2026-03-17 08:28
LowVig.ag🎯2.36I 42.37%NM 39.95%EV -5.15%E -2.18%K -3.78%G +0.000%1.57I 63.69%NM 60.05%EV -6.10%E -3.89%K -10.71%G +0.000%6.1%2026-03-17 19:00
BetOnline.ag🎯2.36I 42.37%NM 39.95%EV -5.15%E -2.18%K -3.78%G +0.000%1.57I 63.69%NM 60.05%EV -6.10%E -3.89%K -10.71%G +0.000%6.1%2026-03-17 19:00
theScore Bet🎯2.35I 42.55%NM 40.36%EV -5.55%E -2.36%K -4.11%G +0.000%1.59I 62.89%NM 59.64%EV -4.91%E -3.09%K -8.32%G +0.000%5.4%2026-03-17 16:30
BetMGM🎯2.35I 42.55%NM 40.05%EV -5.55%E -2.36%K -4.11%G +0.000%1.57I 63.69%NM 59.95%EV -6.10%E -3.89%K -10.71%G +0.000%6.2%2026-03-16 23:50
BetUS🎯2.35I 42.55%NM 40.05%EV -5.55%E -2.36%K -4.11%G +0.000%1.57I 63.69%NM 59.95%EV -6.10%E -3.89%K -10.71%G +0.000%6.2%2026-03-17 19:00
DraftKings🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 41.03%EV -7.56%E -3.29%K -5.81%G +0.000%1.60I 62.50%NM 58.97%EV -4.31%E -2.69%K -7.18%G +0.000%6.0%2026-03-17 03:00
Bovada🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 40.87%EV -7.56%E -3.29%K -5.81%G +0.000%1.59I 62.89%NM 59.13%EV -4.91%E -3.09%K -8.32%G +0.000%6.4%2026-03-17 03:08
Hard Rock Bet🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 40.87%EV -7.56%E -3.29%K -5.81%G +0.000%1.59I 62.89%NM 59.13%EV -4.91%E -3.09%K -8.32%G +0.000%6.4%2026-03-17 17:33
BetRivers🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 40.41%EV -7.56%E -3.29%K -5.81%G +0.000%1.56I 64.10%NM 59.59%EV -6.70%E -4.30%K -11.96%G +0.000%7.6%2026-03-17 18:40
Bally Bet🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 40.41%EV -7.56%E -3.29%K -5.81%G +0.000%1.56I 64.10%NM 59.59%EV -6.70%E -4.30%K -11.96%G +0.000%7.6%2026-03-17 18:40
betPARX🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 40.41%EV -7.56%E -3.29%K -5.81%G +0.000%1.56I 64.10%NM 59.59%EV -6.70%E -4.30%K -11.96%G +0.000%7.6%2026-03-17 18:40
1xBet🎯2.29I 43.67%NM 40.83%EV -7.96%E -3.48%K -6.17%G +0.000%1.58I 63.29%NM 59.17%EV -5.50%E -3.48%K -9.49%G +0.000%7.0%2026-03-17 20:00
MyBookie.ag🎯2.28I 43.86%NM 40.93%EV -8.36%E -3.67%K -6.53%G +0.000%1.58I 63.29%NM 59.07%EV -5.50%E -3.48%K -9.49%G +0.000%7.2%2026-03-17 18:55
Betway🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 41.10%EV -9.57%E -4.25%K -7.65%G +0.000%1.57I 63.69%NM 58.90%EV -6.10%E -3.89%K -10.71%G +0.000%8.1%2026-03-17 18:20
Fliff🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 40.48%EV -9.57%E -4.25%K -7.65%G +0.000%1.53I 65.36%NM 59.52%EV -8.49%E -5.55%K -16.03%G +0.000%9.8%2026-03-17 18:45
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.

Exchanges (1)

BookmakerLocalVisitMargin ▲Updated
Novig◎2.55I 39.22%NM 38.26%1.58I 63.29%NM 61.74%2.5%2026-03-17 22:45