Default modelInterquartile mean (Vetted List)

Seattle Redhawks v Holy Cross Crusaders

Kickoff: 2026-03-02 23:00 UTC

Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →

Head to Head

9 sportsbooks (5 in analysis )

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: Interquartile mean (Vetted List)

Seattle Redhawks (Local)

Prediction 44.92%2.23fair odd
EV -1.18%
Edge -0.538%
Kelly -0.986%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 2.20

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
42.41%44.86%44.88%46.70%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.942.082.082.2051.55%48.00%48.08%45.45%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Holy Cross Crusaders (Visit)

Prediction 55.08%1.82fair odd
EV -2.50%
Edge -1.41%
Kelly -3.25%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 1.77

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
53.30%55.14%55.12%57.59%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.621.691.681.7761.73%59.29%59.52%56.50%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Seattle Redhawks (Local): 44.92%; Holy Cross Crusaders (Visit): 55.08%. For Seattle Redhawks (Local), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 2.23. No eligible bookmaker offered closing odds above that level: the best were 2.20, with an expected value of -1.18%; they did not produce positive expected value.

Sportsbook Odds (9 sportsbooks)

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BookmakerLocal ▼VisitMarginUpdated
DraftKings🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 42.86%EV -1.18%E -0.538%K -0.986%G +0.000%1.65I 60.61%NM 57.14%EV -9.11%E -5.52%K -14.02%G +0.000%6.1%2026-03-02 17:14
Bovada🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 42.41%EV -1.18%E -0.538%K -0.986%G +0.000%1.62I 61.73%NM 57.59%EV -10.76%E -6.65%K -17.36%G +0.000%7.2%2026-03-02 18:55
theScore Bet🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 44.88%EV -5.68%E -2.70%K -5.16%G +0.000%1.71I 58.48%NM 55.12%EV -5.81%E -3.40%K -8.18%G +0.000%6.1%2026-03-02 22:55
BetRivers🎯2.08I 48.08%NM 44.68%EV -6.57%E -3.16%K -6.09%G +0.000%1.68I 59.52%NM 55.32%EV -7.46%E -4.44%K -10.97%G +0.000%7.6%2026-03-02 22:55
Bally Bet🎯2.08I 48.08%NM 44.68%EV -6.57%E -3.16%K -6.09%G +0.000%1.68I 59.52%NM 55.32%EV -7.46%E -4.44%K -10.97%G +0.000%7.6%2026-03-02 22:55
betPARX🎯2.08I 48.08%NM 44.68%EV -6.57%E -3.16%K -6.09%G +0.000%1.68I 59.52%NM 55.32%EV -7.46%E -4.44%K -10.97%G +0.000%7.6%2026-03-02 22:55
Betway🎯2.05I 48.78%NM 45.19%EV -7.92%E -3.86%K -7.54%G +0.000%1.69I 59.17%NM 54.81%EV -6.91%E -4.09%K -10.01%G +0.000%8.0%2026-03-02 22:55
FanDuel🎯2.02I 49.50%NM 46.70%EV -9.27%E -4.59%K -9.09%G +0.000%1.77I 56.50%NM 53.30%EV -2.50%E -1.41%K -3.25%G +0.000%6.0%2026-03-02 22:55
1xBet🎯1.94I 51.55%NM 46.70%EV -12.86%E -6.63%K -13.68%G +0.000%1.70I 58.82%NM 53.30%EV -6.36%E -3.74%K -9.08%G +0.000%10.4%2026-03-02 19:34
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.