Default modelInterquartile mean (Vetted List)

SE Louisiana Lions v Oklahoma Sooners

Kickoff: 2026-03-17 23:00 UTC

Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →

Head to Head

17 sportsbooks (8 in analysis )

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: Interquartile mean (Vetted List)

SE Louisiana Lions (Local)

Prediction 25.61%3.91fair odd
EV -1.41%
Edge -0.366%
Kelly -0.495%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 3.85

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
24.51%25.58%25.66%26.38%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
3.503.653.603.8528.57%27.38%27.78%25.97%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Oklahoma Sooners (Visit)

Prediction 74.39%1.34fair odd
EV -4.03%
Edge -3.13%
Kelly -13.91%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 1.29

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
73.62%74.42%74.34%75.49%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.241.261.251.2980.65%79.55%80.00%77.52%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: SE Louisiana Lions (Local): 25.61%; Oklahoma Sooners (Visit): 74.39%. For SE Louisiana Lions (Local), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 3.91. No eligible bookmaker offered closing odds above that level: the best were 3.85, with an expected value of -1.41%; they did not produce positive expected value.

Sportsbook Odds (17 sportsbooks)

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BookmakerLocal ▼VisitMarginUpdated
FanDuel🎯3.85I 25.97%NM 24.51%EV -1.41%E -0.366%K -0.495%G +0.000%1.25I 80.00%NM 75.49%EV -7.01%E -5.61%K -28.04%G +0.000%6.0%2026-03-17 18:45
888sport🎯3.75I 26.67%NM 25.00%EV -3.97%E -1.06%K -1.44%G +0.000%1.25I 80.00%NM 75.00%EV -7.01%E -5.61%K -28.04%G +0.000%6.7%2026-03-17 19:45
Mr Green (SE)🎯3.75I 26.67%NM 25.00%EV -3.97%E -1.06%K -1.44%G +0.000%1.25I 80.00%NM 75.00%EV -7.01%E -5.61%K -28.04%G +0.000%6.7%2026-03-17 19:45
888sport (SE)🎯3.75I 26.67%NM 25.00%EV -3.97%E -1.06%K -1.44%G +0.000%1.25I 80.00%NM 75.00%EV -7.01%E -5.61%K -28.04%G +0.000%6.7%2026-03-17 19:45
Caesars🎯3.70I 27.03%NM 25.85%EV -5.25%E -1.42%K -1.95%G +0.000%1.29I 77.52%NM 74.15%EV -4.03%E -3.13%K -13.91%G +0.000%4.5%2026-03-17 16:31
DraftKings🎯3.70I 27.03%NM 25.55%EV -5.25%E -1.42%K -1.95%G +0.000%1.27I 78.74%NM 74.45%EV -5.52%E -4.35%K -20.45%G +0.000%5.8%2026-03-17 21:30
Bovada🎯3.70I 27.03%NM 25.40%EV -5.25%E -1.42%K -1.95%G +0.000%1.26I 79.37%NM 74.60%EV -6.27%E -4.97%K -24.10%G +0.000%6.4%2026-03-17 21:30
theScore Bet🎯3.70I 27.03%NM 25.25%EV -5.25%E -1.42%K -1.95%G +0.000%1.25I 80.00%NM 74.75%EV -7.01%E -5.61%K -28.04%G +0.000%7.0%2026-03-17 18:45
BetMGM🎯3.60I 27.78%NM 26.38%EV -7.81%E -2.17%K -3.00%G +0.000%1.29I 77.52%NM 73.62%EV -4.03%E -3.13%K -13.91%G +0.000%5.3%2026-03-16 23:45
MyBookie.ag🎯3.60I 27.78%NM 25.93%EV -7.81%E -2.17%K -3.00%G +0.000%1.26I 79.37%NM 74.07%EV -6.27%E -4.97%K -24.10%G +0.000%7.1%2026-03-17 18:55
Hard Rock Bet🎯3.60I 27.78%NM 25.77%EV -7.81%E -2.17%K -3.00%G +0.000%1.25I 80.00%NM 74.23%EV -7.01%E -5.61%K -28.04%G +0.000%7.8%2026-03-17 18:45
BetRivers🎯3.60I 27.78%NM 25.77%EV -7.81%E -2.17%K -3.00%G +0.000%1.25I 80.00%NM 74.23%EV -7.01%E -5.61%K -28.04%G +0.000%7.8%2026-03-17 18:35
Bally Bet🎯3.60I 27.78%NM 25.77%EV -7.81%E -2.17%K -3.00%G +0.000%1.25I 80.00%NM 74.23%EV -7.01%E -5.61%K -28.04%G +0.000%7.8%2026-03-17 18:35
betPARX🎯3.60I 27.78%NM 25.77%EV -7.81%E -2.17%K -3.00%G +0.000%1.25I 80.00%NM 74.23%EV -7.01%E -5.61%K -28.04%G +0.000%7.8%2026-03-17 18:35
1xBet🎯3.59I 27.86%NM 25.98%EV -8.07%E -2.25%K -3.12%G +0.000%1.26I 79.37%NM 74.02%EV -6.27%E -4.97%K -24.10%G +0.000%7.2%2026-03-17 20:30
Betway🎯3.50I 28.57%NM 26.32%EV -10.37%E -2.96%K -4.15%G +0.000%1.25I 80.00%NM 73.68%EV -7.01%E -5.61%K -28.04%G +0.000%8.6%2026-03-17 18:34
Fliff🎯3.50I 28.57%NM 26.16%EV -10.37%E -2.96%K -4.15%G +0.000%1.24I 80.65%NM 73.84%EV -7.75%E -6.25%K -32.31%G +0.000%9.2%2026-03-17 18:35
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.

Exchanges (1)

BookmakerLocalVisitMargin ▲Updated
Novig3.89I 25.71%NM 24.32%1.25I 80.00%NM 75.68%5.7%2026-03-17 21:35