The School of College Oddsodds.college
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SE Louisiana Lions v Nicholls St Colonels

Kickoff: 2026-05-07 23:00 UTC

Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →

Head to Head

10 sportsbooks (6 in analysis )

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: Interquartile mean (Vetted List)

SE Louisiana Lions (Local)

Prediction 69.31%1.44fair odd
EV -2.97%
Edge -2.12%
Kelly -7.42%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 1.40

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
67.44%69.14%69.40%70.16%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.331.351.351.4075.19%73.91%74.07%71.43%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Nicholls St Colonels (Visit)

Prediction 30.69%3.26fair odd
EV -3.32%
Edge -1.05%
Kelly -1.54%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 3.15

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
29.84%30.86%30.60%32.56%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.903.013.023.1534.48%33.19%33.06%31.75%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: SE Louisiana Lions (Local): 69.31%; Nicholls St Colonels (Visit): 30.69%. For SE Louisiana Lions (Local), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 1.44. No eligible bookmaker offered closing odds above that level: the best were 1.40, with an expected value of -2.97%; they did not produce positive expected value.

Sportsbook Odds (10 sportsbooks)

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BookmakerLocal ▼VisitMarginUpdated
DraftKings🎯1.40I 71.43%NM 67.44%EV -2.97%E -2.12%K -7.42%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 32.56%EV -10.99%E -3.79%K -5.79%G +0.000%5.9%2026-05-06 22:15
Bovada🎯1.38I 72.46%NM 67.76%EV -4.35%E -3.16%K -11.46%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 32.24%EV -10.99%E -3.79%K -5.79%G +0.000%6.9%2026-05-07 13:29
1xBet🎯1.37I 72.99%NM 68.14%EV -5.05%E -3.68%K -13.64%G +0.000%2.93I 34.13%NM 31.86%EV -10.07%E -3.44%K -5.22%G +0.000%7.1%2026-05-07 16:30
theScore Bet🎯1.36I 73.53%NM 69.51%EV -5.74%E -4.22%K -15.95%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.49%EV -4.86%E -1.57%K -2.31%G +0.000%5.8%2026-05-07 19:45
BetMGM🎯1.36I 73.53%NM 68.81%EV -5.74%E -4.22%K -15.95%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.19%EV -7.92%E -2.64%K -3.96%G +0.000%6.9%2026-05-07 16:20
FanDuel🎯1.34I 74.63%NM 70.16%EV -7.13%E -5.32%K -20.96%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.84%EV -3.32%E -1.05%K -1.54%G +0.000%6.4%2026-05-07 19:45
BetRivers🎯1.33I 75.19%NM 69.63%EV -7.82%E -5.88%K -23.70%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 30.37%EV -6.39%E -2.10%K -3.12%G +0.000%8.0%2026-05-07 22:14
Bally Bet🎯1.33I 75.19%NM 69.63%EV -7.82%E -5.88%K -23.70%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 30.37%EV -6.39%E -2.10%K -3.12%G +0.000%8.0%2026-05-07 22:15
betPARX🎯1.33I 75.19%NM 69.63%EV -7.82%E -5.88%K -23.70%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 30.37%EV -6.39%E -2.10%K -3.12%G +0.000%8.0%2026-05-07 22:14
Betway🎯1.33I 75.19%NM 69.28%EV -7.82%E -5.88%K -23.70%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.72%EV -7.92%E -2.64%K -3.96%G +0.000%8.5%2026-05-07 19:50
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.

Exchanges (1)

BookmakerLocalVisitMargin ▲Updated
Novig◎1.37I 72.99%NM 69.28%3.09I 32.36%NM 30.72%5.4%2026-05-07 22:00