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SE Louisiana Lions v Louisiana Ragin' Cajuns

Kickoff: 2026-04-08 23:00 UTC

Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →

Head to Head

9 sportsbooks (5 in analysis )

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: Interquartile mean (Vetted List)

SE Louisiana Lions (Local)

Prediction 50.00%2.00fair odd
EV -6.00%
Edge -3.19%
Kelly -6.82%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 1.88

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
49.33%50.68%50.00%54.09%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.741.851.871.8857.47%53.92%53.48%53.19%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Louisiana Ragin' Cajuns (Visit)

Prediction 50.00%2.00fair odd
EV +2.50%
Edge +1.22%
Kelly +2.38%
Growth +0.060%

assuming max odds 2.05

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
45.91%49.32%50.00%50.67%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.831.871.872.0554.64%53.41%53.48%48.78%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: SE Louisiana Lions (Local): 50.00%; Louisiana Ragin' Cajuns (Visit): 50.00%. For Louisiana Ragin' Cajuns (Visit), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 2.00. 1 bookmaker offered closing odds above that level; the best were 2.05, corresponding to a positive expected value of +2.50%.

Sportsbook Odds (9 sportsbooks)

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BookmakerLocalVisit ▼MarginUpdated
theScore Bet🎯1.74I 57.47%NM 54.09%EV -13.00%E -7.47%K -17.57%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 45.91%EV +2.50%E +1.22%K +2.38%G +0.060%6.3%2026-04-08 20:40
DraftKings🎯1.87I 53.48%NM 50.00%EV -6.50%E -3.48%K -7.47%G +0.000%1.87I 53.48%NM 50.00%EV -6.50%E -3.48%K -7.47%G +0.000%7.0%2026-04-08 16:05
1xBet🎯1.87I 53.48%NM 50.00%EV -6.50%E -3.48%K -7.47%G +0.000%1.87I 53.48%NM 50.00%EV -6.50%E -3.48%K -7.47%G +0.000%7.0%2026-04-08 20:44
Bovada🎯1.87I 53.48%NM 50.00%EV -6.50%E -3.48%K -7.47%G +0.000%1.87I 53.48%NM 50.00%EV -6.50%E -3.48%K -7.47%G +0.000%7.0%2026-04-08 16:13
BetMGM🎯1.87I 53.48%NM 50.00%EV -6.50%E -3.48%K -7.47%G +0.000%1.87I 53.48%NM 50.00%EV -6.50%E -3.48%K -7.47%G +0.000%7.0%2026-04-08 17:00
BetRivers🎯1.88I 53.19%NM 49.33%EV -6.00%E -3.19%K -6.82%G +0.000%1.83I 54.64%NM 50.67%EV -8.50%E -4.64%K -10.24%G +0.000%7.8%2026-04-08 19:49
betPARX🎯1.88I 53.19%NM 49.33%EV -6.00%E -3.19%K -6.82%G +0.000%1.83I 54.64%NM 50.67%EV -8.50%E -4.64%K -10.24%G +0.000%7.8%2026-04-08 19:50
Bally Bet🎯1.88I 53.19%NM 49.33%EV -6.00%E -3.19%K -6.82%G +0.000%1.83I 54.64%NM 50.67%EV -8.50%E -4.64%K -10.24%G +0.000%7.8%2026-04-08 19:50
Betway🎯1.83I 54.64%NM 50.00%EV -8.50%E -4.64%K -10.24%G +0.000%1.83I 54.64%NM 50.00%EV -8.50%E -4.64%K -10.24%G +0.000%9.3%2026-04-08 20:40
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.