Default modelInterquartile mean (Vetted List)

Santa Clara Broncos v Clemson Tigers

Kickoff: 2026-04-07 01:00 UTC

Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →

Head to Head

16 sportsbooks (8 in analysis )

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: Interquartile mean (Vetted List)

Santa Clara Broncos (Local)

Prediction 26.10%3.83fair odd
EV +1.26%
Edge +0.324%
Kelly +0.436%
Growth +0.005%

assuming max odds 3.88

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
24.07%26.43%26.15%28.41%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
3.253.533.603.8830.77%28.29%27.78%25.77%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Clemson Tigers (Visit)

Prediction 73.90%1.35fair odd
EV -4.67%
Edge -3.62%
Kelly -16.09%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 1.29

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
71.59%73.57%73.85%75.93%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.231.281.281.2981.30%78.32%78.13%77.52%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Santa Clara Broncos (Local): 26.10%; Clemson Tigers (Visit): 73.90%. For Santa Clara Broncos (Local), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 3.83. 1 bookmaker offered closing odds above that level; the best were 3.88, corresponding to a positive expected value of +1.26%.

Sportsbook Odds (16 sportsbooks)

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BookmakerLocal ▼VisitMarginUpdated
1xBet🎯3.88I 25.77%NM 24.07%EV +1.26%E +0.324%K +0.436%G +0.005%1.23I 81.30%NM 75.93%EV -9.10%E -7.40%K -39.56%G +0.000%7.1%2026-04-06 22:59
BetMGM🎯3.80I 26.32%NM 24.75%EV -0.831%E -0.219%K -0.297%G +0.000%1.25I 80.00%NM 75.25%EV -7.62%E -6.10%K -30.49%G +0.000%6.3%2026-04-06 16:00
Caesars🎯3.70I 27.03%NM 25.85%EV -3.44%E -0.930%K -1.27%G +0.000%1.29I 77.52%NM 74.15%EV -4.67%E -3.62%K -16.09%G +0.000%4.5%2026-04-06 13:09
FanDuel🎯3.65I 27.40%NM 25.81%EV -4.75%E -1.30%K -1.79%G +0.000%1.27I 78.74%NM 74.19%EV -6.14%E -4.84%K -22.75%G +0.000%6.1%2026-04-06 22:50
Bovada🎯3.65I 27.40%NM 25.66%EV -4.75%E -1.30%K -1.79%G +0.000%1.26I 79.37%NM 74.34%EV -6.88%E -5.46%K -26.47%G +0.000%6.8%2026-04-06 14:18
DraftKings🎯3.60I 27.78%NM 26.23%EV -6.05%E -1.68%K -2.33%G +0.000%1.28I 78.13%NM 73.77%EV -5.40%E -4.22%K -19.30%G +0.000%5.9%2026-04-05 23:35
LowVig.ag🎯3.60I 27.78%NM 26.23%EV -6.05%E -1.68%K -2.33%G +0.000%1.28I 78.13%NM 73.77%EV -5.40%E -4.22%K -19.30%G +0.000%5.9%2026-04-06 11:40
BetOnline.ag🎯3.60I 27.78%NM 26.23%EV -6.05%E -1.68%K -2.33%G +0.000%1.28I 78.13%NM 73.77%EV -5.40%E -4.22%K -19.30%G +0.000%5.9%2026-04-06 11:45
theScore Bet🎯3.60I 27.78%NM 26.08%EV -6.05%E -1.68%K -2.33%G +0.000%1.27I 78.74%NM 73.92%EV -6.14%E -4.84%K -22.75%G +0.000%6.5%2026-04-06 22:50
BetUS🎯3.48I 28.74%NM 26.89%EV -9.18%E -2.64%K -3.70%G +0.000%1.28I 78.13%NM 73.11%EV -5.40%E -4.22%K -19.30%G +0.000%6.9%2026-04-06 12:45
MyBookie.ag🎯3.44I 29.07%NM 27.27%EV -10.23%E -2.97%K -4.19%G +0.000%1.29I 77.52%NM 72.73%EV -4.67%E -3.62%K -16.09%G +0.000%6.6%2026-04-06 22:54
Hard Rock Bet🎯3.40I 29.41%NM 27.51%EV -11.27%E -3.31%K -4.70%G +0.000%1.29I 77.52%NM 72.49%EV -4.67%E -3.62%K -16.09%G +0.000%6.9%2026-04-06 22:50
BetRivers🎯3.30I 30.30%NM 28.10%EV -13.88%E -4.21%K -6.03%G +0.000%1.29I 77.52%NM 71.90%EV -4.67%E -3.62%K -16.09%G +0.000%7.8%2026-04-06 20:30
Bally Bet🎯3.30I 30.30%NM 28.10%EV -13.88%E -4.21%K -6.03%G +0.000%1.29I 77.52%NM 71.90%EV -4.67%E -3.62%K -16.09%G +0.000%7.8%2026-04-06 20:35
betPARX🎯3.30I 30.30%NM 28.10%EV -13.88%E -4.21%K -6.03%G +0.000%1.29I 77.52%NM 71.90%EV -4.67%E -3.62%K -16.09%G +0.000%7.8%2026-04-06 20:30
Betway🎯3.25I 30.77%NM 28.41%EV -15.18%E -4.67%K -6.75%G +0.000%1.29I 77.52%NM 71.59%EV -4.67%E -3.62%K -16.09%G +0.000%8.3%2026-04-06 22:49
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.

Exchanges (1)

BookmakerLocalVisitMargin ▲Updated
Novig3.68I 27.17%NM 25.81%1.28I 78.13%NM 74.19%5.3%2026-04-07 00:18