The School of College Oddsodds.college
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San Francisco Dons v San Diego Toreros

Kickoff: 2026-04-10 21:00 UTC

Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →

Head to Head

10 sportsbooks (5 in analysis )

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: Interquartile mean (Vetted List)

San Francisco Dons (Local)

Prediction 37.71%2.65fair odd
EV -1.19%
Edge -0.455%
Kelly -0.737%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 2.62

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
35.64%37.63%38.44%40.87%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.302.502.482.6243.48%40.08%40.40%38.17%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

San Diego Toreros (Visit)

Prediction 62.29%1.61fair odd
EV -0.963%
Edge -0.606%
Kelly -1.63%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 1.59

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
59.13%62.37%61.56%64.36%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.441.501.511.5969.44%66.49%66.23%62.89%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: San Francisco Dons (Local): 37.71%; San Diego Toreros (Visit): 62.29%. For San Diego Toreros (Visit), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 1.61. No eligible bookmaker offered closing odds above that level: the best were 1.59, with an expected value of -0.963%; they did not produce positive expected value.

Sportsbook Odds (10 sportsbooks)

We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.

BookmakerLocal ▼VisitMarginUpdated
FanDuel🎯2.62I 38.17%NM 36.25%EV -1.19%E -0.455%K -0.737%G +0.000%1.49I 67.11%NM 63.75%EV -7.19%E -4.83%K -14.68%G +0.000%5.3%2026-04-10 18:10
BetRivers🎯2.60I 38.46%NM 35.64%EV -1.95%E -0.749%K -1.22%G +0.000%1.44I 69.44%NM 64.36%EV -10.31%E -7.16%K -23.42%G +0.000%7.9%2026-04-10 18:10
Bally Bet🎯2.60I 38.46%NM 35.64%EV -1.95%E -0.749%K -1.22%G +0.000%1.44I 69.44%NM 64.36%EV -10.31%E -7.16%K -23.42%G +0.000%7.9%2026-04-10 18:10
betPARX🎯2.60I 38.46%NM 35.64%EV -1.95%E -0.749%K -1.22%G +0.000%1.44I 69.44%NM 64.36%EV -10.31%E -7.16%K -23.42%G +0.000%7.9%2026-04-10 18:10
MyBookie.ag🎯2.50I 40.00%NM 37.50%EV -5.72%E -2.29%K -3.81%G +0.000%1.50I 66.67%NM 62.50%EV -6.57%E -4.38%K -13.14%G +0.000%6.7%2026-04-10 18:13
DraftKings🎯2.45I 40.82%NM 38.44%EV -7.60%E -3.10%K -5.24%G +0.000%1.53I 65.36%NM 61.56%EV -4.70%E -3.07%K -8.87%G +0.000%6.2%2026-04-10 05:00
BetMGM🎯2.45I 40.82%NM 38.44%EV -7.60%E -3.10%K -5.24%G +0.000%1.53I 65.36%NM 61.56%EV -4.70%E -3.07%K -8.87%G +0.000%6.2%2026-04-10 05:15
1xBet🎯2.43I 41.15%NM 38.48%EV -8.36%E -3.44%K -5.85%G +0.000%1.52I 65.79%NM 61.52%EV -5.32%E -3.50%K -10.24%G +0.000%6.9%2026-04-10 18:15
theScore Bet🎯2.40I 41.67%NM 39.39%EV -9.49%E -3.95%K -6.78%G +0.000%1.56I 64.10%NM 60.61%EV -2.83%E -1.82%K -5.06%G +0.000%5.8%2026-04-10 18:10
Bovada🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 40.87%EV -13.26%E -5.77%K -10.20%G +0.000%1.59I 62.89%NM 59.13%EV -0.963%E -0.606%K -1.63%G +0.000%6.4%2026-04-10 15:34
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.

Exchanges (1)

BookmakerLocalVisitMargin ▲Updated
Novig◎2.56I 39.06%NM 37.10%1.51I 66.23%NM 62.90%5.3%2026-04-10 20:40