The School of College Oddsodds.college
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San Francisco Dons v San Diego Toreros

Kickoff: 2026-04-11 18:00 UTC

Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →

Head to Head

10 sportsbooks (5 in analysis )

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: Interquartile mean (Vetted List)

San Francisco Dons (Local)

Prediction 37.04%2.70fair odd
EV -2.22%
Edge -0.840%
Kelly -1.35%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 2.64

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
35.77%36.97%37.19%37.97%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.502.532.502.6440.00%39.56%40.00%37.88%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

San Diego Toreros (Visit)

Prediction 62.96%1.59fair odd
EV -3.67%
Edge -2.40%
Kelly -6.92%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 1.53

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
62.03%63.03%62.81%64.23%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.471.491.481.5368.03%67.11%67.57%65.36%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: San Francisco Dons (Local): 37.04%; San Diego Toreros (Visit): 62.96%. For San Francisco Dons (Local), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 2.70. No eligible bookmaker offered closing odds above that level: the best were 2.64, with an expected value of -2.22%; they did not produce positive expected value.

Sportsbook Odds (10 sportsbooks)

We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.

BookmakerLocal ▼VisitMarginUpdated
FanDuel🎯2.64I 37.88%NM 35.77%EV -2.22%E -0.840%K -1.35%G +0.000%1.47I 68.03%NM 64.23%EV -7.45%E -5.07%K -15.84%G +0.000%5.9%2026-04-11 12:59
BetMGM🎯2.60I 38.46%NM 36.27%EV -3.70%E -1.42%K -2.31%G +0.000%1.48I 67.57%NM 63.73%EV -6.82%E -4.61%K -14.20%G +0.000%6.0%2026-04-11 12:54
MyBookie.ag🎯2.54I 39.37%NM 36.82%EV -5.92%E -2.33%K -3.85%G +0.000%1.48I 67.57%NM 63.18%EV -6.82%E -4.61%K -14.20%G +0.000%6.9%2026-04-11 13:23
theScore Bet🎯2.50I 40.00%NM 37.97%EV -7.40%E -2.96%K -4.94%G +0.000%1.53I 65.36%NM 62.03%EV -3.67%E -2.40%K -6.92%G +0.000%5.4%2026-04-11 03:19
DraftKings🎯2.50I 40.00%NM 37.66%EV -7.40%E -2.96%K -4.94%G +0.000%1.51I 66.23%NM 62.34%EV -4.93%E -3.26%K -9.66%G +0.000%6.2%2026-04-11 02:55
Bovada🎯2.50I 40.00%NM 37.50%EV -7.40%E -2.96%K -4.94%G +0.000%1.50I 66.67%NM 62.50%EV -5.56%E -3.71%K -11.12%G +0.000%6.7%2026-04-11 04:18
1xBet🎯2.50I 40.00%NM 37.34%EV -7.40%E -2.96%K -4.94%G +0.000%1.49I 67.11%NM 62.66%EV -6.19%E -4.15%K -12.63%G +0.000%7.1%2026-04-11 17:44
BetRivers🎯2.50I 40.00%NM 37.19%EV -7.40%E -2.96%K -4.94%G +0.000%1.48I 67.57%NM 62.81%EV -6.82%E -4.61%K -14.20%G +0.000%7.6%2026-04-11 15:24
Bally Bet🎯2.50I 40.00%NM 37.19%EV -7.40%E -2.96%K -4.94%G +0.000%1.48I 67.57%NM 62.81%EV -6.82%E -4.61%K -14.20%G +0.000%7.6%2026-04-11 15:25
betPARX🎯2.50I 40.00%NM 37.19%EV -7.40%E -2.96%K -4.94%G +0.000%1.48I 67.57%NM 62.81%EV -6.82%E -4.61%K -14.20%G +0.000%7.6%2026-04-11 15:25
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.

Exchanges (1)

BookmakerLocalVisitMargin ▲Updated
Novig◎2.61I 38.31%NM 36.34%1.49I 67.11%NM 63.66%5.4%2026-04-11 17:25