The School of College Oddsodds.college
Default modelInterquartile mean (Vetted List)
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San Francisco Dons v Gonzaga Bulldogs

Kickoff: 2026-05-10 20:00 UTC

Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →

Head to Head

7 sportsbooks (4 in analysis )

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: Interquartile mean (Vetted List)

San Francisco Dons (Local)

Prediction 19.98%5.00fair odd
EV -4.08%
Edge -0.850%
Kelly -1.07%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 4.80

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
19.33%19.98%19.98%20.74%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
4.504.664.704.8022.22%21.47%21.28%20.83%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Gonzaga Bulldogs (Visit)

Prediction 80.02%1.25fair odd
EV -5.58%
Edge -4.73%
Kelly -31.00%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 1.18

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
79.26%80.02%80.02%80.67%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.151.171.171.1886.96%85.37%85.47%84.75%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: San Francisco Dons (Local): 19.98%; Gonzaga Bulldogs (Visit): 80.02%. For San Francisco Dons (Local), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 5.00. No eligible bookmaker offered closing odds above that level: the best were 4.80, with an expected value of -4.08%; they did not produce positive expected value.

Sportsbook Odds (7 sportsbooks)

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BookmakerLocal ▼VisitMarginUpdated
theScore Bet🎯4.80I 20.83%NM 19.33%EV -4.08%E -0.850%K -1.07%G +0.000%1.15I 86.96%NM 80.67%EV -7.98%E -6.94%K -53.21%G +0.000%7.8%2026-05-10 06:19
BetMGM🎯4.75I 21.05%NM 19.90%EV -5.08%E -1.07%K -1.35%G +0.000%1.18I 84.75%NM 80.10%EV -5.58%E -4.73%K -31.00%G +0.000%5.8%2026-05-10 05:54
Bovada🎯4.75I 21.05%NM 19.76%EV -5.08%E -1.07%K -1.35%G +0.000%1.17I 85.47%NM 80.24%EV -6.38%E -5.45%K -37.53%G +0.000%6.5%2026-05-10 10:28
DraftKings🎯4.70I 21.28%NM 20.07%EV -6.08%E -1.29%K -1.64%G +0.000%1.18I 84.75%NM 79.93%EV -5.58%E -4.73%K -31.00%G +0.000%6.0%2026-05-10 04:09
MyBookie.ag🎯4.60I 21.74%NM 20.28%EV -8.08%E -1.76%K -2.24%G +0.000%1.17I 85.47%NM 79.72%EV -6.38%E -5.45%K -37.53%G +0.000%7.2%2026-05-10 14:08
1xBet🎯4.51I 22.17%NM 20.74%EV -9.87%E -2.19%K -2.81%G +0.000%1.18I 84.75%NM 79.26%EV -5.58%E -4.73%K -31.00%G +0.000%6.9%2026-05-10 17:00
Betway🎯4.50I 22.22%NM 20.63%EV -10.07%E -2.24%K -2.88%G +0.000%1.17I 85.47%NM 79.37%EV -6.38%E -5.45%K -37.53%G +0.000%7.7%2026-05-10 13:54
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.

Exchanges (1)

BookmakerLocalVisitMargin ▲Updated
Novig◎4.81I 20.79%NM 17.21%1.00I 100.00%NM 82.79%20.8%2026-05-10 19:49