The School of College Oddsodds.college
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San Francisco Dons v Gonzaga Bulldogs

Kickoff: 2026-05-09 20:00 UTC

Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →

Head to Head

10 sportsbooks (5 in analysis )

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: Interquartile mean (Vetted List)

San Francisco Dons (Local)

Prediction 21.53%4.64fair odd
EV -5.27%
Edge -1.20%
Kelly -1.55%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 4.40

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
21.29%21.63%21.43%24.07%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
3.884.294.354.4025.77%23.32%22.99%22.73%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Gonzaga Bulldogs (Visit)

Prediction 78.47%1.27fair odd
EV -3.48%
Edge -2.83%
Kelly -15.14%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 1.23

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
75.93%78.37%78.57%78.71%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.181.191.191.2384.75%83.82%84.03%81.30%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: San Francisco Dons (Local): 21.53%; Gonzaga Bulldogs (Visit): 78.47%. For Gonzaga Bulldogs (Visit), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 1.27. No eligible bookmaker offered closing odds above that level: the best were 1.23, with an expected value of -3.48%; they did not produce positive expected value.

Sportsbook Odds (10 sportsbooks)

We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.

BookmakerLocal ▼VisitMarginUpdated
DraftKings🎯4.40I 22.73%NM 21.43%EV -5.27%E -1.20%K -1.55%G +0.000%1.20I 83.33%NM 78.57%EV -5.84%E -4.86%K -29.18%G +0.000%6.1%2026-05-09 13:23
BetMGM🎯4.40I 22.73%NM 21.43%EV -5.27%E -1.20%K -1.55%G +0.000%1.20I 83.33%NM 78.57%EV -5.84%E -4.86%K -29.18%G +0.000%6.1%2026-05-09 14:05
Bovada🎯4.40I 22.73%NM 21.29%EV -5.27%E -1.20%K -1.55%G +0.000%1.19I 84.03%NM 78.71%EV -6.62%E -5.56%K -34.84%G +0.000%6.8%2026-05-09 13:24
BetRivers🎯4.35I 22.99%NM 21.34%EV -6.35%E -1.46%K -1.89%G +0.000%1.18I 84.75%NM 78.66%EV -7.40%E -6.28%K -41.14%G +0.000%7.7%2026-05-09 15:39
betPARX🎯4.35I 22.99%NM 21.34%EV -6.35%E -1.46%K -1.89%G +0.000%1.18I 84.75%NM 78.66%EV -7.40%E -6.28%K -41.14%G +0.000%7.7%2026-05-09 15:39
Bally Bet🎯4.35I 22.99%NM 21.34%EV -6.35%E -1.46%K -1.89%G +0.000%1.18I 84.75%NM 78.66%EV -7.40%E -6.28%K -41.14%G +0.000%7.7%2026-05-09 15:39
MyBookie.ag🎯4.30I 23.26%NM 21.68%EV -7.42%E -1.73%K -2.25%G +0.000%1.19I 84.03%NM 78.32%EV -6.62%E -5.56%K -34.84%G +0.000%7.3%2026-05-09 14:13
Betway🎯4.25I 23.53%NM 21.73%EV -8.50%E -2.00%K -2.62%G +0.000%1.18I 84.75%NM 78.27%EV -7.40%E -6.28%K -41.14%G +0.000%8.3%2026-05-09 15:39
theScore Bet🎯4.20I 23.81%NM 22.22%EV -9.58%E -2.28%K -2.99%G +0.000%1.20I 83.33%NM 77.78%EV -5.84%E -4.86%K -29.18%G +0.000%7.1%2026-05-09 17:14
1xBet🎯3.88I 25.77%NM 24.07%EV -16.47%E -4.24%K -5.72%G +0.000%1.23I 81.30%NM 75.93%EV -3.48%E -2.83%K -15.14%G +0.000%7.1%2026-05-09 13:09
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.

Exchanges (1)

BookmakerLocalVisitMargin ▲Updated
Novig◎4.48I 22.32%NM 18.25%1.00I 100.00%NM 81.75%22.3%2026-05-09 19:14