Default modelInterquartile mean (Vetted List)

San Diego Toreros v Oregon St Beavers

Kickoff: 2026-03-15 20:00 UTC

Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →

Head to Head

19 sportsbooks (9 in analysis )

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: Interquartile mean (Vetted List)

San Diego Toreros (Local)

Prediction 24.35%4.11fair odd
EV -2.58%
Edge -0.645%
Kelly -0.861%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 4.00

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
23.52%24.40%24.42%27.39%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
3.423.773.754.0029.24%26.54%26.67%25.00%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Oregon St Beavers (Visit)

Prediction 75.65%1.32fair odd
EV -2.42%
Edge -1.87%
Kelly -8.34%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 1.29

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
72.61%75.60%75.58%76.48%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.221.241.251.2981.97%80.34%80.00%77.52%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: San Diego Toreros (Local): 24.35%; Oregon St Beavers (Visit): 75.65%. For Oregon St Beavers (Visit), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 1.32. No eligible bookmaker offered closing odds above that level: the best were 1.29, with an expected value of -2.42%; they did not produce positive expected value.

Sportsbook Odds (19 sportsbooks)

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BookmakerLocal ▼VisitMarginUpdated
FanDuel🎯4.00I 25.00%NM 23.52%EV -2.58%E -0.645%K -0.861%G +0.000%1.23I 81.30%NM 76.48%EV -6.96%E -5.66%K -30.24%G +0.000%6.3%2026-03-15 17:45
Caesars🎯3.90I 25.64%NM 24.42%EV -5.02%E -1.29%K -1.73%G +0.000%1.26I 79.37%NM 75.58%EV -4.69%E -3.72%K -18.03%G +0.000%5.0%2026-03-15 17:09
DraftKings🎯3.90I 25.64%NM 24.12%EV -5.02%E -1.29%K -1.73%G +0.000%1.24I 80.65%NM 75.88%EV -6.20%E -5.00%K -25.83%G +0.000%6.3%2026-03-15 17:10
BetMGM🎯3.90I 25.64%NM 24.12%EV -5.02%E -1.29%K -1.73%G +0.000%1.24I 80.65%NM 75.88%EV -6.20%E -5.00%K -25.83%G +0.000%6.3%2026-03-15 17:40
theScore Bet🎯3.90I 25.64%NM 23.83%EV -5.02%E -1.29%K -1.73%G +0.000%1.22I 81.97%NM 76.17%EV -7.71%E -6.32%K -35.06%G +0.000%7.6%2026-03-15 17:45
Bovada🎯3.85I 25.97%NM 24.36%EV -6.23%E -1.62%K -2.19%G +0.000%1.24I 80.65%NM 75.64%EV -6.20%E -5.00%K -25.83%G +0.000%6.6%2026-03-15 17:12
BetOnline.ag🎯3.84I 26.04%NM 24.56%EV -6.48%E -1.69%K -2.28%G +0.000%1.25I 80.00%NM 75.44%EV -5.44%E -4.35%K -21.77%G +0.000%6.0%2026-03-15 17:10
LowVig.ag🎯3.84I 26.04%NM 24.56%EV -6.48%E -1.69%K -2.28%G +0.000%1.25I 80.00%NM 75.44%EV -5.44%E -4.35%K -21.77%G +0.000%6.0%2026-03-15 17:10
888sport🎯3.75I 26.67%NM 25.00%EV -8.67%E -2.31%K -3.15%G +0.000%1.25I 80.00%NM 75.00%EV -5.44%E -4.35%K -21.77%G +0.000%6.7%2026-03-15 16:30
888sport (SE)🎯3.75I 26.67%NM 25.00%EV -8.67%E -2.31%K -3.15%G +0.000%1.25I 80.00%NM 75.00%EV -5.44%E -4.35%K -21.77%G +0.000%6.7%2026-03-15 16:30
Mr Green (SE)🎯3.75I 26.67%NM 25.00%EV -8.67%E -2.31%K -3.15%G +0.000%1.25I 80.00%NM 75.00%EV -5.44%E -4.35%K -21.77%G +0.000%6.7%2026-03-15 16:30
MyBookie.ag🎯3.75I 26.67%NM 24.85%EV -8.67%E -2.31%K -3.15%G +0.000%1.24I 80.65%NM 75.15%EV -6.20%E -5.00%K -25.83%G +0.000%7.3%2026-03-15 17:48
Betway🎯3.75I 26.67%NM 24.55%EV -8.67%E -2.31%K -3.15%G +0.000%1.22I 81.97%NM 75.45%EV -7.71%E -6.32%K -35.06%G +0.000%8.6%2026-03-15 17:44
BetUS🎯3.70I 27.03%NM 25.25%EV -9.89%E -2.67%K -3.66%G +0.000%1.25I 80.00%NM 74.75%EV -5.44%E -4.35%K -21.77%G +0.000%7.0%2026-03-15 17:09
BetRivers🎯3.65I 27.40%NM 25.51%EV -11.11%E -3.04%K -4.19%G +0.000%1.25I 80.00%NM 74.49%EV -5.44%E -4.35%K -21.77%G +0.000%7.4%2026-03-15 15:50
betPARX🎯3.65I 27.40%NM 25.51%EV -11.11%E -3.04%K -4.19%G +0.000%1.25I 80.00%NM 74.49%EV -5.44%E -4.35%K -21.77%G +0.000%7.4%2026-03-15 15:50
Bally Bet🎯3.65I 27.40%NM 25.51%EV -11.11%E -3.04%K -4.19%G +0.000%1.25I 80.00%NM 74.49%EV -5.44%E -4.35%K -21.77%G +0.000%7.4%2026-03-15 15:50
Fliff🎯3.65I 27.40%NM 25.05%EV -11.11%E -3.04%K -4.19%G +0.000%1.22I 81.97%NM 74.95%EV -7.71%E -6.32%K -35.06%G +0.000%9.4%2026-03-15 17:45
1xBet🎯3.42I 29.24%NM 27.39%EV -16.71%E -4.89%K -6.90%G +0.000%1.29I 77.52%NM 72.61%EV -2.42%E -1.87%K -8.34%G +0.000%6.8%2026-03-15 17:10
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.

Exchanges (1)

BookmakerLocalVisitMargin ▲Updated
Novig4.12I 24.27%NM 23.13%1.24I 80.65%NM 76.87%4.9%2026-03-15 19:50