Default modelInterquartile mean (Vetted List)

San Diego Toreros v Oregon St Beavers

Kickoff: 2026-03-15 00:00 UTC

Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →

Head to Head

17 sportsbooks (7 in analysis )

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: Interquartile mean (Vetted List)

San Diego Toreros (Local)

Prediction 23.54%4.25fair odd
EV -5.86%
Edge -1.46%
Kelly -1.95%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 4.00

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
23.22%23.59%23.52%24.36%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
3.803.943.984.0026.32%25.38%25.13%25.00%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Oregon St Beavers (Visit)

Prediction 76.46%1.31fair odd
EV -5.18%
Edge -4.18%
Kelly -21.60%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 1.24

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
75.64%76.41%76.48%76.78%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.201.231.231.2483.33%81.53%81.30%80.65%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: San Diego Toreros (Local): 23.54%; Oregon St Beavers (Visit): 76.46%. For Oregon St Beavers (Visit), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 1.31. No eligible bookmaker offered closing odds above that level: the best were 1.24, with an expected value of -5.18%; they did not produce positive expected value.

Sportsbook Odds (17 sportsbooks)

We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.

BookmakerLocal ▼VisitMarginUpdated
DraftKings🎯4.00I 25.00%NM 23.66%EV -5.86%E -1.46%K -1.95%G +0.000%1.24I 80.65%NM 76.34%EV -5.18%E -4.18%K -21.60%G +0.000%5.6%2026-03-14 04:24
FanDuel🎯4.00I 25.00%NM 23.52%EV -5.86%E -1.46%K -1.95%G +0.000%1.23I 81.30%NM 76.48%EV -5.95%E -4.84%K -25.87%G +0.000%6.3%2026-03-14 12:49
Bovada🎯4.00I 25.00%NM 23.37%EV -5.86%E -1.46%K -1.95%G +0.000%1.22I 81.97%NM 76.63%EV -6.71%E -5.50%K -30.52%G +0.000%7.0%2026-03-14 05:08
BetMGM🎯4.00I 25.00%NM 23.37%EV -5.86%E -1.46%K -1.95%G +0.000%1.22I 81.97%NM 76.63%EV -6.71%E -5.50%K -30.52%G +0.000%7.0%2026-03-14 10:50
888sport🎯4.00I 25.00%NM 23.37%EV -5.86%E -1.46%K -1.95%G +0.000%1.22I 81.97%NM 76.63%EV -6.71%E -5.50%K -30.52%G +0.000%7.0%2026-03-14 08:40
888sport (SE)🎯4.00I 25.00%NM 23.37%EV -5.86%E -1.46%K -1.95%G +0.000%1.22I 81.97%NM 76.63%EV -6.71%E -5.50%K -30.52%G +0.000%7.0%2026-03-14 08:39
Mr Green (SE)🎯4.00I 25.00%NM 23.37%EV -5.86%E -1.46%K -1.95%G +0.000%1.22I 81.97%NM 76.63%EV -6.71%E -5.50%K -30.52%G +0.000%7.0%2026-03-14 08:39
theScore Bet🎯4.00I 25.00%NM 23.22%EV -5.86%E -1.46%K -1.95%G +0.000%1.21I 82.64%NM 76.78%EV -7.48%E -6.18%K -35.61%G +0.000%7.6%2026-03-14 13:00
LowVig.ag🎯3.98I 25.13%NM 23.75%EV -6.33%E -1.59%K -2.12%G +0.000%1.24I 80.65%NM 76.25%EV -5.18%E -4.18%K -21.60%G +0.000%5.8%2026-03-14 18:40
BetOnline.ag🎯3.98I 25.13%NM 23.75%EV -6.33%E -1.59%K -2.12%G +0.000%1.24I 80.65%NM 76.25%EV -5.18%E -4.18%K -21.60%G +0.000%5.8%2026-03-14 18:40
MyBookie.ag🎯3.95I 25.32%NM 23.75%EV -7.03%E -1.78%K -2.38%G +0.000%1.23I 81.30%NM 76.25%EV -5.95%E -4.84%K -25.87%G +0.000%6.6%2026-03-14 12:59
1xBet🎯3.88I 25.77%NM 24.07%EV -8.68%E -2.24%K -3.01%G +0.000%1.23I 81.30%NM 75.93%EV -5.95%E -4.84%K -25.87%G +0.000%7.1%2026-03-14 13:05
BetUS🎯3.85I 25.97%NM 24.36%EV -9.39%E -2.44%K -3.29%G +0.000%1.24I 80.65%NM 75.64%EV -5.18%E -4.18%K -21.60%G +0.000%6.6%2026-03-14 20:15
BetRivers🎯3.85I 25.97%NM 24.21%EV -9.39%E -2.44%K -3.29%G +0.000%1.23I 81.30%NM 75.79%EV -5.95%E -4.84%K -25.87%G +0.000%7.3%2026-03-14 14:19
Bally Bet🎯3.85I 25.97%NM 24.21%EV -9.39%E -2.44%K -3.29%G +0.000%1.23I 81.30%NM 75.79%EV -5.95%E -4.84%K -25.87%G +0.000%7.3%2026-03-14 14:20
betPARX🎯3.85I 25.97%NM 24.21%EV -9.39%E -2.44%K -3.29%G +0.000%1.23I 81.30%NM 75.79%EV -5.95%E -4.84%K -25.87%G +0.000%7.3%2026-03-14 14:20
Fliff🎯3.80I 26.32%NM 24.00%EV -10.56%E -2.78%K -3.77%G +0.000%1.20I 83.33%NM 76.00%EV -8.24%E -6.87%K -41.22%G +0.000%9.6%2026-03-14 22:15
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.

Exchanges (1)

BookmakerLocalVisitMargin ▲Updated
Novig4.15I 24.10%NM 22.86%1.23I 81.30%NM 77.14%5.4%2026-03-14 23:19