Default modelInterquartile mean (Vetted List)

San Diego Toreros v Oregon St Beavers

Kickoff: 2026-03-14 01:05 UTC

Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →

Head to Head

18 sportsbooks (8 in analysis )

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: Interquartile mean (Vetted List)

San Diego Toreros (Local)

Prediction 20.47%4.88fair odd
EV +2.37%
Edge +0.473%
Kelly +0.592%
Growth +0.014%

assuming max odds 5.00

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
18.57%20.31%20.42%22.16%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
4.204.564.505.0023.81%21.94%22.22%20.00%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Oregon St Beavers (Visit)

Prediction 79.53%1.26fair odd
EV -3.77%
Edge -3.12%
Kelly -17.97%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 1.21

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
77.84%79.69%79.58%81.43%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.141.181.171.2187.72%84.91%85.11%82.64%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: San Diego Toreros (Local): 20.47%; Oregon St Beavers (Visit): 79.53%. For San Diego Toreros (Local), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 4.88. 2 bookmakers offered closing odds above that level; the best were 5.00, corresponding to a positive expected value of +2.37%.

Sportsbook Odds (18 sportsbooks)

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BookmakerLocal ▼VisitMarginUpdated
FanDuel🎯5.00I 20.00%NM 18.83%EV +2.37%E +0.473%K +0.592%G +0.014%1.16I 86.21%NM 81.17%EV -7.75%E -6.68%K -48.43%G +0.000%6.2%2026-03-13 22:29
theScore Bet🎯5.00I 20.00%NM 18.57%EV +2.37%E +0.473%K +0.592%G +0.014%1.14I 87.72%NM 81.43%EV -9.34%E -8.19%K -66.71%G +0.000%7.7%2026-03-13 22:30
Bovada🎯4.75I 21.05%NM 19.76%EV -2.75%E -0.579%K -0.734%G +0.000%1.17I 85.47%NM 80.24%EV -6.95%E -5.94%K -40.90%G +0.000%6.5%2026-03-13 15:04
BetOnline.ag🎯4.66I 21.46%NM 20.21%EV -4.59%E -0.986%K -1.26%G +0.000%1.18I 84.75%NM 79.79%EV -6.16%E -5.22%K -34.21%G +0.000%6.2%2026-03-13 21:40
LowVig.ag🎯4.66I 21.46%NM 20.21%EV -4.59%E -0.986%K -1.26%G +0.000%1.18I 84.75%NM 79.79%EV -6.16%E -5.22%K -34.21%G +0.000%6.2%2026-03-13 21:40
BetRivers🎯4.60I 21.74%NM 20.14%EV -5.82%E -1.27%K -1.62%G +0.000%1.16I 86.21%NM 79.86%EV -7.75%E -6.68%K -48.43%G +0.000%7.9%2026-03-13 22:19
Bally Bet🎯4.60I 21.74%NM 20.14%EV -5.82%E -1.27%K -1.62%G +0.000%1.16I 86.21%NM 79.86%EV -7.75%E -6.68%K -48.43%G +0.000%7.9%2026-03-13 22:20
betPARX🎯4.60I 21.74%NM 20.14%EV -5.82%E -1.27%K -1.62%G +0.000%1.16I 86.21%NM 79.86%EV -7.75%E -6.68%K -48.43%G +0.000%7.9%2026-03-13 22:20
888sport🎯4.50I 22.22%NM 21.05%EV -7.87%E -1.75%K -2.25%G +0.000%1.20I 83.33%NM 78.95%EV -4.57%E -3.81%K -22.84%G +0.000%5.6%2026-03-13 23:39
888sport (SE)🎯4.50I 22.22%NM 21.05%EV -7.87%E -1.75%K -2.25%G +0.000%1.20I 83.33%NM 78.95%EV -4.57%E -3.81%K -22.84%G +0.000%5.6%2026-03-13 23:39
Mr Green (SE)🎯4.50I 22.22%NM 21.05%EV -7.87%E -1.75%K -2.25%G +0.000%1.20I 83.33%NM 78.95%EV -4.57%E -3.81%K -22.84%G +0.000%5.6%2026-03-13 23:40
DraftKings🎯4.50I 22.22%NM 20.91%EV -7.87%E -1.75%K -2.25%G +0.000%1.19I 84.03%NM 79.09%EV -5.36%E -4.51%K -28.23%G +0.000%6.3%2026-03-13 14:59
BetUS🎯4.50I 22.22%NM 20.77%EV -7.87%E -1.75%K -2.25%G +0.000%1.18I 84.75%NM 79.23%EV -6.16%E -5.22%K -34.21%G +0.000%7.0%2026-03-13 21:38
MyBookie.ag🎯4.50I 22.22%NM 20.63%EV -7.87%E -1.75%K -2.25%G +0.000%1.17I 85.47%NM 79.37%EV -6.95%E -5.94%K -40.90%G +0.000%7.7%2026-03-13 22:29
Betway🎯4.50I 22.22%NM 20.63%EV -7.87%E -1.75%K -2.25%G +0.000%1.17I 85.47%NM 79.37%EV -6.95%E -5.94%K -40.90%G +0.000%7.7%2026-03-13 22:29
BetMGM🎯4.25I 23.53%NM 22.16%EV -12.99%E -3.06%K -4.00%G +0.000%1.21I 82.64%NM 77.84%EV -3.77%E -3.12%K -17.97%G +0.000%6.2%2026-03-13 20:55
1xBet🎯4.23I 23.64%NM 22.10%EV -13.40%E -3.17%K -4.15%G +0.000%1.20I 83.33%NM 77.90%EV -4.57%E -3.81%K -22.84%G +0.000%7.0%2026-03-14 00:15
Fliff🎯4.20I 23.81%NM 21.79%EV -14.01%E -3.34%K -4.38%G +0.000%1.17I 85.47%NM 78.21%EV -6.95%E -5.94%K -40.90%G +0.000%9.3%2026-03-14 00:55
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.

Exchanges (1)

BookmakerLocalVisitMargin ▲Updated
Novig5.03I 19.88%NM 19.00%1.18I 84.75%NM 81.00%4.6%2026-03-14 00:54