Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →
assuming max odds 2.05
assuming max odds 1.88
At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: San Diego Toreros (Local): 50.00%; Michigan Wolverines (Visit): 50.00%. For San Diego Toreros (Local), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 2.00. 3 bookmakers offered closing odds above that level; the best were 2.05, corresponding to a positive expected value of +2.50%.
We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.
| Bookmaker | Local ▼ | Visit | Margin | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 2.05I 48.78%NM 45.91%EV +2.50%E +1.22%K +2.38%G +0.060% | 1.74I 57.47%NM 54.09%EV -13.00%E -7.47%K -17.57%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-02-28 01:54 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 2.05I 48.78%NM 45.91%EV +2.50%E +1.22%K +2.38%G +0.060% | 1.74I 57.47%NM 54.09%EV -13.00%E -7.47%K -17.57%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-02-28 01:54 |
| BetUS🎯 | 2.05I 48.78%NM 45.91%EV +2.50%E +1.22%K +2.38%G +0.060% | 1.74I 57.47%NM 54.09%EV -13.00%E -7.47%K -17.57%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-02-28 01:54 |
| FanDuel🎯 | 1.88I 53.19%NM 50.00%EV -6.00%E -3.19%K -6.82%G +0.000% | 1.88I 53.19%NM 50.00%EV -6.00%E -3.19%K -6.82%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-02-27 22:39 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 1.87I 53.48%NM 50.00%EV -6.50%E -3.48%K -7.47%G +0.000% | 1.87I 53.48%NM 50.00%EV -6.50%E -3.48%K -7.47%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-02-26 19:25 |
| BetMGM🎯 | 1.87I 53.48%NM 50.00%EV -6.50%E -3.48%K -7.47%G +0.000% | 1.87I 53.48%NM 50.00%EV -6.50%E -3.48%K -7.47%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-02-26 20:08 |
| Bovada🎯 | 1.87I 53.48%NM 50.00%EV -6.50%E -3.48%K -7.47%G +0.000% | 1.87I 53.48%NM 50.00%EV -6.50%E -3.48%K -7.47%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-02-26 21:19 |
| theScore Bet🎯 | 1.87I 53.48%NM 50.00%EV -6.50%E -3.48%K -7.47%G +0.000% | 1.87I 53.48%NM 50.00%EV -6.50%E -3.48%K -7.47%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-02-27 12:19 |
| BetRivers🎯 | 1.87I 53.48%NM 49.73%EV -6.50%E -3.48%K -7.47%G +0.000% | 1.85I 54.05%NM 50.27%EV -7.50%E -4.05%K -8.82%G +0.000% | 7.5% | 2026-02-27 17:04 |
| betPARX🎯 | 1.87I 53.48%NM 49.73%EV -6.50%E -3.48%K -7.47%G +0.000% | 1.85I 54.05%NM 50.27%EV -7.50%E -4.05%K -8.82%G +0.000% | 7.5% | 2026-02-27 17:04 |
| Bally Bet🎯 | 1.87I 53.48%NM 49.73%EV -6.50%E -3.48%K -7.47%G +0.000% | 1.85I 54.05%NM 50.27%EV -7.50%E -4.05%K -8.82%G +0.000% | 7.5% | 2026-02-27 17:04 |
| 888sport🎯 | 1.85I 54.05%NM 50.00%EV -7.50%E -4.05%K -8.82%G +0.000% | 1.85I 54.05%NM 50.00%EV -7.50%E -4.05%K -8.82%G +0.000% | 8.1% | 2026-02-27 12:25 |
| 888sport (SE)🎯 | 1.85I 54.05%NM 50.00%EV -7.50%E -4.05%K -8.82%G +0.000% | 1.85I 54.05%NM 50.00%EV -7.50%E -4.05%K -8.82%G +0.000% | 8.1% | 2026-02-27 12:24 |
| Mr Green (SE)🎯 | 1.85I 54.05%NM 50.00%EV -7.50%E -4.05%K -8.82%G +0.000% | 1.85I 54.05%NM 50.00%EV -7.50%E -4.05%K -8.82%G +0.000% | 8.1% | 2026-02-27 12:25 |
| Betway🎯 | 1.83I 54.64%NM 50.00%EV -8.50%E -4.64%K -10.24%G +0.000% | 1.83I 54.64%NM 50.00%EV -8.50%E -4.64%K -10.24%G +0.000% | 9.3% | 2026-02-27 16:09 |
| 1xBet🎯 | 1.81I 55.25%NM 50.00%EV -9.50%E -5.25%K -11.73%G +0.000% | 1.81I 55.25%NM 50.00%EV -9.50%E -5.25%K -11.73%G +0.000% | 10.5% | 2026-02-27 14:54 |
Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.