Default modelInterquartile mean (Vetted List)

San Diego St Aztecs v Washington St Cougars

Kickoff: 2026-05-24 22:45 UTC

Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →

Head to Head

1 sportsbook (1 in analysis )

54%

46%

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: Interquartile mean (Vetted List)

San Diego St Aztecs (Local)

Prediction 54.09%1.85fair odd

EV -5.88%

Edge -3.38%

Kelly -7.95%

Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 1.74

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution

54.09%54.09%54.09%54.09%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Odds’ distribution

1.741.741.741.7457.47%57.47%57.47%57.47%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Washington St Cougars (Visit)

Prediction 45.91%2.18fair odd

EV -5.88%

Edge -2.87%

Kelly -5.60%

Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 2.05

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution

45.91%45.91%45.91%45.91%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Odds’ distribution

2.052.052.052.0548.78%48.78%48.78%48.78%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: San Diego St Aztecs (Local): 54.09%; Washington St Cougars (Visit): 45.91%. For Washington St Cougars (Visit), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 2.18. No eligible bookmaker offered closing odds above that level: the best were 2.05, with an expected value of -5.88%; they did not produce positive expected value.

Sportsbook Odds (1 sportsbook)

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Bookmaker	Local ▼	Visit	Margin	Updated
DraftKings🎯	1.74I 57.47%NM 54.09%EV -5.88%E -3.38%K -7.95%G +0.000%	2.05I 48.78%NM 45.91%EV -5.88%E -2.87%K -5.60%G +0.000%	6.3%	2026-05-24 22:00

Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.