Default modelInterquartile mean (Vetted List)

San Diego St Aztecs v Washington St Cougars

Kickoff: 2026-05-23 20:05 UTC

Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →

Head to Head

11 sportsbooks (5 in analysis )

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: Interquartile mean (Vetted List)

San Diego St Aztecs (Local)

Prediction 52.95%1.89fair odd
EV -3.10%
Edge -1.69%
Kelly -3.73%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 1.83

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
51.07%53.07%52.96%55.41%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.691.761.751.8359.17%56.79%57.14%54.64%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Washington St Cougars (Visit)

Prediction 47.05%2.13fair odd
EV -0.727%
Edge -0.344%
Kelly -0.655%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 2.11

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
44.59%46.93%47.04%48.93%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.911.991.972.1152.36%50.32%50.76%47.39%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: San Diego St Aztecs (Local): 52.95%; Washington St Cougars (Visit): 47.05%. For Washington St Cougars (Visit), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 2.13. No eligible bookmaker offered closing odds above that level: the best were 2.11, with an expected value of -0.727%; they did not produce positive expected value.

Sportsbook Odds (11 sportsbooks)

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BookmakerLocal ▼VisitMarginUpdated
DraftKings🎯1.83I 54.64%NM 51.07%EV -3.10%E -1.69%K -3.73%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 48.93%EV -10.14%E -5.31%K -11.14%G +0.000%7.0%2026-05-23 17:40
Bovada🎯1.83I 54.64%NM 51.07%EV -3.10%E -1.69%K -3.73%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 48.93%EV -10.14%E -5.31%K -11.14%G +0.000%7.0%2026-05-23 17:48
Hard Rock Bet🎯1.77I 56.50%NM 53.05%EV -6.28%E -3.55%K -8.15%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 46.95%EV -5.90%E -2.95%K -5.90%G +0.000%6.5%2026-05-23 17:49
theScore Bet🎯1.77I 56.50%NM 53.05%EV -6.28%E -3.55%K -8.15%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 46.95%EV -5.90%E -2.95%K -5.90%G +0.000%6.5%2026-05-23 15:49
BetRivers🎯1.75I 57.14%NM 52.96%EV -7.34%E -4.19%K -9.78%G +0.000%1.97I 50.76%NM 47.04%EV -7.31%E -3.71%K -7.54%G +0.000%7.9%2026-05-23 19:09
Bally Bet🎯1.75I 57.14%NM 52.96%EV -7.34%E -4.19%K -9.78%G +0.000%1.97I 50.76%NM 47.04%EV -7.31%E -3.71%K -7.54%G +0.000%7.9%2026-05-23 19:09
betPARX🎯1.75I 57.14%NM 52.96%EV -7.34%E -4.19%K -9.78%G +0.000%1.97I 50.76%NM 47.04%EV -7.31%E -3.71%K -7.54%G +0.000%7.9%2026-05-23 19:09
MyBookie.ag🎯1.75I 57.14%NM 52.96%EV -7.34%E -4.19%K -9.78%G +0.000%1.97I 50.76%NM 47.04%EV -7.31%E -3.71%K -7.54%G +0.000%7.9%2026-05-23 17:49
1xBet🎯1.74I 57.47%NM 54.81%EV -7.87%E -4.52%K -10.63%G +0.000%2.11I 47.39%NM 45.19%EV -0.727%E -0.344%K -0.655%G +0.000%4.9%2026-05-23 19:29
Betway🎯1.74I 57.47%NM 52.85%EV -7.87%E -4.52%K -10.63%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 47.15%EV -8.25%E -4.23%K -8.69%G +0.000%8.8%2026-05-23 17:49
BetMGM🎯1.69I 59.17%NM 55.41%EV -10.51%E -6.22%K -15.24%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 44.59%EV -1.20%E -0.570%K -1.09%G +0.000%6.8%2026-05-23 17:19
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.

Exchanges (1)

BookmakerLocalVisitMargin ▲Updated
Novig1.78I 56.18%NM 51.76%1.91I 52.36%NM 48.24%8.5%2026-05-23 20:00