Default modelInterquartile mean (Vetted List)

San Diego St Aztecs v Utah Utes

Kickoff: 2026-02-22 01:00 UTC

Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →

Head to Head

10 sportsbooks (6 in analysis )

39%

61%

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: Interquartile mean (Vetted List)

San Diego St Aztecs (Local)

Prediction 39.38%2.54fair odd

EV -1.56%

Edge -0.625%

Kelly -1.04%

Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 2.50

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution

37.81%39.41%39.01%44.59%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Odds’ distribution

2.102.362.402.5047.62%42.44%41.67%40.00%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Utah Utes (Visit)

Prediction 60.62%1.65fair odd

EV +2.46%

Edge +1.45%

Kelly +3.56%

Growth +0.087%

assuming max odds 1.69

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution

55.41%60.59%60.99%62.19%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Odds’ distribution

1.491.551.521.6967.11%64.52%66.01%59.17%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: San Diego St Aztecs (Local): 39.38%; Utah Utes (Visit): 60.62%. For Utah Utes (Visit), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 1.65. 1 bookmaker offered closing odds above that level; the best were 1.69, corresponding to a positive expected value of +2.46%.

Sportsbook Odds (10 sportsbooks)

We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.

Bookmaker	Local	Visit ▼	Margin	Updated
Bovada🎯	2.10I 47.62%NM 44.59%EV -17.31%E -8.24%K -15.74%G +0.000%	1.69I 59.17%NM 55.41%EV +2.46%E +1.45%K +3.56%G +0.087%	6.8%	2026-02-21 17:59
BetMGM🎯	2.30I 43.48%NM 41.18%EV -9.44%E -4.10%K -7.26%G +0.000%	1.61I 62.11%NM 58.82%EV -2.39%E -1.49%K -3.92%G +0.000%	5.6%	2026-02-21 18:25
DraftKings🎯	2.30I 43.48%NM 41.03%EV -9.44%E -4.10%K -7.26%G +0.000%	1.60I 62.50%NM 58.97%EV -3.00%E -1.88%K -5.00%G +0.000%	6.0%	2026-02-21 14:40
theScore Bet🎯	2.40I 41.67%NM 39.39%EV -5.50%E -2.29%K -3.93%G +0.000%	1.56I 64.10%NM 60.61%EV -5.43%E -3.48%K -9.69%G +0.000%	5.8%	2026-02-21 14:45
FanDuel🎯	2.50I 40.00%NM 37.81%EV -1.56%E -0.625%K -1.04%G +0.000%	1.52I 65.79%NM 62.19%EV -7.85%E -5.16%K -15.10%G +0.000%	5.8%	2026-02-21 14:40
betPARX🎯	2.40I 41.67%NM 38.62%EV -5.50%E -2.29%K -3.93%G +0.000%	1.51I 66.23%NM 61.38%EV -8.46%E -5.60%K -16.58%G +0.000%	7.9%	2026-02-21 15:15
Bally Bet🎯	2.40I 41.67%NM 38.62%EV -5.50%E -2.29%K -3.93%G +0.000%	1.51I 66.23%NM 61.38%EV -8.46%E -5.60%K -16.58%G +0.000%	7.9%	2026-02-21 15:15
BetRivers🎯	2.40I 41.67%NM 38.62%EV -5.50%E -2.29%K -3.93%G +0.000%	1.51I 66.23%NM 61.38%EV -8.46%E -5.60%K -16.58%G +0.000%	7.9%	2026-02-21 15:20
Betway🎯	2.40I 41.67%NM 38.46%EV -5.50%E -2.29%K -3.93%G +0.000%	1.50I 66.67%NM 61.54%EV -9.06%E -6.04%K -18.13%G +0.000%	8.3%	2026-02-21 15:20
1xBet🎯	2.36I 42.37%NM 38.70%EV -7.07%E -3.00%K -5.20%G +0.000%	1.49I 67.11%NM 61.30%EV -9.67%E -6.49%K -19.73%G +0.000%	9.5%	2026-02-21 21:55

Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.