The School of College Oddsodds.college
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San Diego St Aztecs v UC San Diego Tritons

Kickoff: 2026-04-15 01:00 UTC

Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →

Head to Head

15 sportsbooks (8 in analysis )

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: Interquartile mean (Vetted List)

San Diego St Aztecs (Local)

Prediction 41.10%2.43fair odd
EV +2.75%
Edge +1.10%
Kelly +1.83%
Growth +0.050%

assuming max odds 2.50

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
38.42%40.80%41.10%42.41%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.202.292.282.5045.45%43.73%43.86%40.00%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

UC San Diego Tritons (Visit)

Prediction 58.90%1.70fair odd
EV -4.58%
Edge -2.83%
Kelly -7.39%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 1.62

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
57.59%59.20%58.90%61.58%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.561.591.591.6264.10%62.81%62.89%61.73%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: San Diego St Aztecs (Local): 41.10%; UC San Diego Tritons (Visit): 58.90%. For San Diego St Aztecs (Local), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 2.43. 1 bookmaker offered closing odds above that level; the best were 2.50, corresponding to a positive expected value of +2.75%.

Sportsbook Odds (15 sportsbooks)

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BookmakerLocal ▼VisitMarginUpdated
Caesars🎯2.50I 40.00%NM 38.42%EV +2.75%E +1.10%K +1.83%G +0.050%1.56I 64.10%NM 61.58%EV -8.12%E -5.20%K -14.49%G +0.000%4.1%2026-04-14 19:29
FanDuel🎯2.34I 42.74%NM 40.31%EV -3.83%E -1.63%K -2.85%G +0.000%1.58I 63.29%NM 59.69%EV -6.94%E -4.39%K -11.96%G +0.000%6.0%2026-04-14 21:39
theScore Bet🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 41.18%EV -5.47%E -2.38%K -4.21%G +0.000%1.61I 62.11%NM 58.82%EV -5.17%E -3.21%K -8.48%G +0.000%5.6%2026-04-14 21:39
DraftKings🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 41.03%EV -5.47%E -2.38%K -4.21%G +0.000%1.60I 62.50%NM 58.97%EV -5.76%E -3.60%K -9.60%G +0.000%6.0%2026-04-14 16:00
Bovada🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 40.87%EV -5.47%E -2.38%K -4.21%G +0.000%1.59I 62.89%NM 59.13%EV -6.35%E -3.99%K -10.76%G +0.000%6.4%2026-04-14 16:04
LowVig.ag🎯2.28I 43.86%NM 41.39%EV -6.29%E -2.76%K -4.92%G +0.000%1.61I 62.11%NM 58.61%EV -5.17%E -3.21%K -8.48%G +0.000%6.0%2026-04-14 19:30
BetOnline.ag🎯2.28I 43.86%NM 41.39%EV -6.29%E -2.76%K -4.92%G +0.000%1.61I 62.11%NM 58.61%EV -5.17%E -3.21%K -8.48%G +0.000%6.0%2026-04-14 19:30
BetUS🎯2.28I 43.86%NM 41.39%EV -6.29%E -2.76%K -4.92%G +0.000%1.61I 62.11%NM 58.61%EV -5.17%E -3.21%K -8.48%G +0.000%6.0%2026-04-14 19:30
MyBookie.ag🎯2.27I 44.05%NM 41.19%EV -6.70%E -2.95%K -5.28%G +0.000%1.59I 62.89%NM 58.81%EV -6.35%E -3.99%K -10.76%G +0.000%6.9%2026-04-14 21:45
BetMGM🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 41.86%EV -7.52%E -3.34%K -6.02%G +0.000%1.62I 61.73%NM 58.14%EV -4.58%E -2.83%K -7.39%G +0.000%6.2%2026-04-14 15:04
BetRivers🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 41.10%EV -7.52%E -3.34%K -6.02%G +0.000%1.57I 63.69%NM 58.90%EV -7.53%E -4.79%K -13.21%G +0.000%8.1%2026-04-14 21:39
betPARX🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 41.10%EV -7.52%E -3.34%K -6.02%G +0.000%1.57I 63.69%NM 58.90%EV -7.53%E -4.79%K -13.21%G +0.000%8.1%2026-04-14 21:40
Bally Bet🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 41.10%EV -7.52%E -3.34%K -6.02%G +0.000%1.57I 63.69%NM 58.90%EV -7.53%E -4.79%K -13.21%G +0.000%8.1%2026-04-14 21:40
Betway🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 41.10%EV -7.52%E -3.34%K -6.02%G +0.000%1.57I 63.69%NM 58.90%EV -7.53%E -4.79%K -13.21%G +0.000%8.1%2026-04-14 21:39
1xBet🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 42.41%EV -9.58%E -4.35%K -7.98%G +0.000%1.62I 61.73%NM 57.59%EV -4.58%E -2.83%K -7.39%G +0.000%7.2%2026-04-14 23:09
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.

Exchanges (1)

BookmakerLocalVisitMargin ▲Updated
Novig◎2.35I 42.55%NM 40.51%1.60I 62.50%NM 59.49%5.1%2026-04-15 00:44