Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →
assuming max odds 1.29
assuming max odds 4.10
At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: San Diego St Aztecs (Local): 75.67%; Seattle Redhawks (Visit): 24.33%. For Seattle Redhawks (Visit), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 4.11. No eligible bookmaker offered closing odds above that level: the best were 4.10, with an expected value of -0.267%; they did not produce positive expected value.
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| Bookmaker | Local ▼ | Visit | Margin | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Caesars🎯 | 1.29I 77.52%NM 74.15%EV -2.38%E -1.84%K -8.20%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.85%EV -10.00%E -2.70%K -3.70%G +0.000% | 4.5% | 2026-04-20 16:54 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 1.27I 78.74%NM 74.45%EV -3.89%E -3.07%K -14.42%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.55%EV -10.00%E -2.70%K -3.70%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-04-19 21:49 |
| Bovada🎯 | 1.26I 79.37%NM 74.60%EV -4.65%E -3.69%K -17.88%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.40%EV -10.00%E -2.70%K -3.70%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-04-19 23:40 |
| 1xBet🎯 | 1.24I 80.65%NM 75.30%EV -6.16%E -4.97%K -25.68%G +0.000% | 3.78I 26.46%NM 24.70%EV -8.05%E -2.13%K -2.90%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-04-20 17:45 |
| FanDuel🎯 | 1.23I 81.30%NM 76.92%EV -6.92%E -5.63%K -30.09%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 23.08%EV -0.267%E -0.065%K -0.086%G +0.000% | 5.7% | 2026-04-20 17:45 |
| MyBookie.ag🎯 | 1.23I 81.30%NM 75.79%EV -6.92%E -5.63%K -30.09%G +0.000% | 3.85I 25.97%NM 24.21%EV -6.35%E -1.65%K -2.23%G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-04-20 17:50 |
| BetMGM🎯 | 1.22I 81.97%NM 76.63%EV -7.68%E -6.29%K -34.89%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.37%EV -2.70%E -0.675%K -0.900%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-04-20 17:40 |
| theScore Bet🎯 | 1.22I 81.97%NM 76.17%EV -7.68%E -6.29%K -34.89%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 23.83%EV -5.13%E -1.32%K -1.77%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-04-20 13:54 |
| Betway🎯 | 1.22I 81.97%NM 75.45%EV -7.68%E -6.29%K -34.89%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 24.55%EV -8.78%E -2.34%K -3.19%G +0.000% | 8.6% | 2026-04-20 13:55 |
Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.