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San Diego St Aztecs v New Mexico Lobos
Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →
Head to Head
San Diego St Aztecs (Local)
assuming max odds 1.49
New Mexico Lobos (Visit)
assuming max odds 2.89
At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: San Diego St Aztecs (Local): 66.15%; New Mexico Lobos (Visit): 33.85%. For San Diego St Aztecs (Local), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 1.51. No eligible bookmaker offered closing odds above that level: the best were 1.49, with an expected value of -1.44%; they did not produce positive expected value.
Sportsbook Odds (15 sportsbooks)
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| Bookmaker | Local ▼ | Visit | Margin | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1xBet🎯 | 1.49I 67.11%NM 64.10%EV -1.44%E -0.967%K -2.94%G +0.000% | 2.66I 37.59%NM 35.90%EV -9.95%E -3.74%K -5.99%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-05-22 19:40 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 1.48I 67.57%NM 63.73%EV -2.10%E -1.42%K -4.38%G +0.000% | 2.60I 38.46%NM 36.27%EV -11.98%E -4.61%K -7.49%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-05-22 16:00 |
| Bovada🎯 | 1.47I 68.03%NM 63.88%EV -2.76%E -1.88%K -5.88%G +0.000% | 2.60I 38.46%NM 36.12%EV -11.98%E -4.61%K -7.49%G +0.000% | 6.5% | 2026-05-22 15:59 |
| Caesars🎯 | 1.45I 68.97%NM 65.88%EV -4.09%E -2.82%K -9.08%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 34.12%EV -5.21%E -1.86%K -2.90%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-05-22 18:00 |
| theScore Bet🎯 | 1.45I 68.97%NM 65.06%EV -4.09%E -2.82%K -9.08%G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 34.94%EV -8.60%E -3.18%K -5.06%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-05-22 17:00 |
| Hard Rock Bet🎯 | 1.44I 69.44%NM 65.22%EV -4.75%E -3.30%K -10.79%G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 34.78%EV -8.60%E -3.18%K -5.06%G +0.000% | 6.5% | 2026-05-22 16:10 |
| Betway🎯 | 1.43I 69.93%NM 64.95%EV -5.41%E -3.78%K -12.58%G +0.000% | 2.65I 37.74%NM 35.05%EV -10.29%E -3.88%K -6.24%G +0.000% | 7.7% | 2026-05-22 16:09 |
| FanDuel🎯 | 1.41I 70.92%NM 66.98%EV -6.73%E -4.77%K -16.42%G +0.000% | 2.86I 34.97%NM 33.02%EV -3.18%E -1.11%K -1.71%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-05-22 17:20 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 1.40I 71.43%NM 67.37%EV -7.39%E -5.28%K -18.49%G +0.000% | 2.89I 34.60%NM 32.63%EV -2.16%E -0.749%K -1.15%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-05-22 16:00 |
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 1.40I 71.43%NM 67.37%EV -7.39%E -5.28%K -18.49%G +0.000% | 2.89I 34.60%NM 32.63%EV -2.16%E -0.749%K -1.15%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-05-22 16:00 |
| BetUS🎯 | 1.40I 71.43%NM 66.67%EV -7.39%E -5.28%K -18.49%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 33.33%EV -5.21%E -1.86%K -2.90%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-05-22 16:00 |
| BetMGM🎯 | 1.40I 71.43%NM 66.67%EV -7.39%E -5.28%K -18.49%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 33.33%EV -5.21%E -1.86%K -2.90%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-05-22 19:00 |
| BetRivers🎯 | 1.36I 73.53%NM 67.31%EV -10.04%E -7.38%K -27.89%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 32.69%EV -5.21%E -1.86%K -2.90%G +0.000% | 9.2% | 2026-05-22 16:50 |
| betPARX🎯 | 1.36I 73.53%NM 67.31%EV -10.04%E -7.38%K -27.89%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 32.69%EV -5.21%E -1.86%K -2.90%G +0.000% | 9.2% | 2026-05-22 16:50 |
| Bally Bet🎯 | 1.36I 73.53%NM 67.31%EV -10.04%E -7.38%K -27.89%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 32.69%EV -5.21%E -1.86%K -2.90%G +0.000% | 9.2% | 2026-05-22 16:50 |
Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.
Exchanges (1)
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit | Margin ▲ | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Novig◎ | 1.40I 71.43%NM 68.18% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.82% | 4.8% | 2026-05-22 19:50 |