The School of College Oddsodds.college
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San Diego St Aztecs v Nevada Wolf Pack

Kickoff: 2026-05-02 01:00 UTC

Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →

Head to Head

11 sportsbooks (6 in analysis )

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: Interquartile mean (Vetted List)

San Diego St Aztecs (Local)

Prediction 61.94%1.61fair odd
EV -1.52%
Edge -0.956%
Kelly -2.58%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 1.59

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
58.81%61.86%61.93%64.63%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.451.511.511.5968.97%66.03%66.23%62.89%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Nevada Wolf Pack (Visit)

Prediction 38.06%2.63fair odd
EV +0.866%
Edge +0.327%
Kelly +0.525%
Growth +0.005%

assuming max odds 2.65

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
35.37%38.14%38.07%41.19%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.272.462.432.6544.05%40.73%41.15%37.74%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: San Diego St Aztecs (Local): 61.94%; Nevada Wolf Pack (Visit): 38.06%. For Nevada Wolf Pack (Visit), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 2.63. 1 bookmaker offered closing odds above that level; the best were 2.65, corresponding to a positive expected value of +0.866%.

Sportsbook Odds (11 sportsbooks)

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BookmakerLocalVisit ▼MarginUpdated
Bovada🎯1.45I 68.97%NM 64.63%EV -10.19%E -7.03%K -22.65%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 35.37%EV +0.866%E +0.327%K +0.525%G +0.005%6.7%2026-05-01 21:13
Caesars🎯1.53I 65.36%NM 62.50%EV -5.24%E -3.42%K -9.88%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 37.50%EV -2.94%E -1.15%K -1.90%G +0.000%4.6%2026-05-02 00:53
theScore Bet🎯1.53I 65.36%NM 62.03%EV -5.24%E -3.42%K -9.88%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.97%EV -4.84%E -1.94%K -3.23%G +0.000%5.4%2026-05-01 23:00
DraftKings🎯1.51I 66.23%NM 62.34%EV -6.47%E -4.29%K -12.70%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.66%EV -4.84%E -1.94%K -3.23%G +0.000%6.2%2026-05-01 17:00
MyBookie.ag🎯1.51I 66.23%NM 61.87%EV -6.47%E -4.29%K -12.70%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 38.13%EV -6.75%E -2.75%K -4.65%G +0.000%7.0%2026-05-01 23:04
BetRivers🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 61.83%EV -7.09%E -4.73%K -14.19%G +0.000%2.43I 41.15%NM 38.17%EV -7.51%E -3.09%K -5.25%G +0.000%7.8%2026-05-01 18:34
Bally Bet🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 61.83%EV -7.09%E -4.73%K -14.19%G +0.000%2.43I 41.15%NM 38.17%EV -7.51%E -3.09%K -5.25%G +0.000%7.8%2026-05-01 18:35
betPARX🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 61.83%EV -7.09%E -4.73%K -14.19%G +0.000%2.43I 41.15%NM 38.17%EV -7.51%E -3.09%K -5.25%G +0.000%7.8%2026-05-01 18:35
BetMGM🎯1.54I 64.94%NM 60.91%EV -4.62%E -3.00%K -8.55%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 39.09%EV -8.65%E -3.60%K -6.18%G +0.000%6.6%2026-05-01 17:15
Betway🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 61.54%EV -7.09%E -4.73%K -14.19%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 38.46%EV -8.65%E -3.60%K -6.18%G +0.000%8.3%2026-05-01 22:59
1xBet🎯1.59I 62.89%NM 58.81%EV -1.52%E -0.956%K -2.58%G +0.000%2.27I 44.05%NM 41.19%EV -13.60%E -5.99%K -10.71%G +0.000%6.9%2026-05-02 00:40
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.

Exchanges (1)

BookmakerLocalVisitMargin ▲Updated
Novig◎1.48I 67.57%NM 62.53%2.47I 40.49%NM 37.47%8.1%2026-05-02 00:49