The School of College Oddsodds.college
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San Diego St Aztecs v Long Beach State Dirtbags

Kickoff: 2026-03-05 02:00 UTC

Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →

Head to Head

13 sportsbooks (7 in analysis )

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: Interquartile mean (Vetted List)

San Diego St Aztecs (Local)

Prediction 60.44%1.65fair odd
EV -2.70%
Edge -1.68%
Kelly -4.42%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 1.61

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
57.74%60.39%59.69%63.28%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.481.551.561.6167.57%64.36%64.10%62.11%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Long Beach State Dirtbags (Visit)

Prediction 39.56%2.53fair odd
EV +0.887%
Edge +0.348%
Kelly +0.572%
Growth +0.005%

assuming max odds 2.55

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
36.72%39.61%40.31%42.26%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.202.372.352.5545.45%42.18%42.55%39.22%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: San Diego St Aztecs (Local): 60.44%; Long Beach State Dirtbags (Visit): 39.56%. For Long Beach State Dirtbags (Visit), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 2.53. 3 bookmakers offered closing odds above that level; the best were 2.55, corresponding to a positive expected value of +0.887%.

Sportsbook Odds (13 sportsbooks)

We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.

BookmakerLocalVisit ▼MarginUpdated
Bovada🎯1.48I 67.57%NM 63.28%EV -10.55%E -7.13%K -21.99%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 36.72%EV +0.887%E +0.348%K +0.572%G +0.005%6.8%2026-03-05 01:54
LowVig.ag🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 62.78%EV -9.35%E -6.23%K -18.69%G +0.000%2.53I 39.53%NM 37.22%EV +0.096%E +0.038%K +0.063%G +0.000%6.2%2026-03-05 00:45
BetOnline.ag🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 62.78%EV -9.35%E -6.23%K -18.69%G +0.000%2.53I 39.53%NM 37.22%EV +0.096%E +0.038%K +0.063%G +0.000%6.2%2026-03-05 00:45
DraftKings🎯1.51I 66.23%NM 62.34%EV -8.74%E -5.79%K -17.14%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.66%EV -1.09%E -0.436%K -0.727%G +0.000%6.2%2026-03-05 01:54
BetUS🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 62.50%EV -9.35%E -6.23%K -18.69%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.50%EV -1.09%E -0.436%K -0.727%G +0.000%6.7%2026-03-05 00:45
BetMGM🎯1.54I 64.94%NM 60.91%EV -6.93%E -4.50%K -12.83%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 39.09%EV -5.05%E -2.10%K -3.61%G +0.000%6.6%2026-03-05 00:50
theScore Bet🎯1.59I 62.89%NM 59.64%EV -3.91%E -2.46%K -6.62%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 40.36%EV -7.03%E -2.99%K -5.20%G +0.000%5.4%2026-03-05 01:54
FanDuel🎯1.58I 63.29%NM 59.69%EV -4.51%E -2.85%K -7.78%G +0.000%2.34I 42.74%NM 40.31%EV -7.42%E -3.17%K -5.54%G +0.000%6.0%2026-03-05 01:50
Betway🎯1.56I 64.10%NM 59.59%EV -5.72%E -3.67%K -10.21%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 40.41%EV -9.00%E -3.91%K -6.93%G +0.000%7.6%2026-03-05 01:54
1xBet🎯1.61I 62.11%NM 57.96%EV -2.70%E -1.68%K -4.42%G +0.000%2.22I 45.05%NM 42.04%EV -12.17%E -5.48%K -9.97%G +0.000%7.2%2026-03-05 01:10
BetRivers🎯1.61I 62.11%NM 57.74%EV -2.70%E -1.68%K -4.42%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 42.26%EV -12.96%E -5.89%K -10.80%G +0.000%7.6%2026-03-05 01:50
betPARX🎯1.61I 62.11%NM 57.74%EV -2.70%E -1.68%K -4.42%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 42.26%EV -12.96%E -5.89%K -10.80%G +0.000%7.6%2026-03-05 01:50
Bally Bet🎯1.61I 62.11%NM 57.74%EV -2.70%E -1.68%K -4.42%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 42.26%EV -12.96%E -5.89%K -10.80%G +0.000%7.6%2026-03-05 01:50
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.