The School of College Oddsodds.college
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San Diego St Aztecs v Air Force Falcons

Kickoff: 2026-04-04 01:00 UTC

Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →

Head to Head

9 sportsbooks (4 in analysis )

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: Interquartile mean (Vetted List)

San Diego St Aztecs (Local)

Prediction 50.53%1.98fair odd
EV -1.96%
Edge -1.01%
Kelly -2.09%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 1.94

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
48.13%50.79%50.53%53.05%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.771.851.851.9456.50%54.02%54.05%51.55%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Air Force Falcons (Visit)

Prediction 49.47%2.02fair odd
EV -1.07%
Edge -0.535%
Kelly -1.07%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 2.00

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
46.95%49.21%49.47%51.87%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.801.881.832.0055.56%53.29%54.64%50.00%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: San Diego St Aztecs (Local): 50.53%; Air Force Falcons (Visit): 49.47%. For Air Force Falcons (Visit), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 2.02. No eligible bookmaker offered closing odds above that level: the best were 2.00, with an expected value of -1.07%; they did not produce positive expected value.

Sportsbook Odds (9 sportsbooks)

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BookmakerLocal ▼VisitMarginUpdated
1xBet🎯1.94I 51.55%NM 48.13%EV -1.96%E -1.01%K -2.09%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 51.87%EV -10.96%E -6.09%K -13.70%G +0.000%7.1%2026-04-03 23:25
BetRivers🎯1.89I 52.91%NM 49.06%EV -4.49%E -2.38%K -5.04%G +0.000%1.82I 54.95%NM 50.94%EV -9.97%E -5.48%K -12.16%G +0.000%7.9%2026-04-04 00:25
Bally Bet🎯1.89I 52.91%NM 49.06%EV -4.49%E -2.38%K -5.04%G +0.000%1.82I 54.95%NM 50.94%EV -9.97%E -5.48%K -12.16%G +0.000%7.9%2026-04-04 00:25
betPARX🎯1.89I 52.91%NM 49.06%EV -4.49%E -2.38%K -5.04%G +0.000%1.82I 54.95%NM 50.94%EV -9.97%E -5.48%K -12.16%G +0.000%7.9%2026-04-04 00:24
MyBookie.ag🎯1.85I 54.05%NM 50.53%EV -6.51%E -3.52%K -7.66%G +0.000%1.89I 52.91%NM 49.47%EV -6.51%E -3.44%K -7.32%G +0.000%7.0%2026-04-04 00:33
theScore Bet🎯1.83I 54.64%NM 51.07%EV -7.52%E -4.11%K -9.06%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 48.93%EV -5.52%E -2.89%K -6.07%G +0.000%7.0%2026-04-04 00:29
Betway🎯1.83I 54.64%NM 50.00%EV -7.52%E -4.11%K -9.06%G +0.000%1.83I 54.64%NM 50.00%EV -9.48%E -5.18%K -11.42%G +0.000%9.3%2026-04-04 00:14
DraftKings🎯1.77I 56.50%NM 53.05%EV -10.55%E -5.96%K -13.71%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 46.95%EV -1.07%E -0.535%K -1.07%G +0.000%6.5%2026-04-03 23:10
Bovada🎯1.77I 56.50%NM 53.05%EV -10.55%E -5.96%K -13.71%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 46.95%EV -1.07%E -0.535%K -1.07%G +0.000%6.5%2026-04-03 23:13
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.

Exchanges (1)

BookmakerLocalVisitMargin ▲Updated
Novig◎2.00I 50.00%NM 49.49%1.96I 51.02%NM 50.51%1.0%2026-04-04 00:55