The School of College Oddsodds.college
Default modelInterquartile mean (Vetted List)
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Samford Bulldogs v The Citadel Bulldogs

Kickoff: 2026-05-23 23:05 UTC

Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →

Head to Head

11 sportsbooks (5 in analysis )

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: Interquartile mean (Vetted List)

Samford Bulldogs (Local)

Prediction 44.14%2.27fair odd
EV -3.77%
Edge -1.73%
Kelly -3.19%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 2.18

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
43.54%44.11%44.13%44.59%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.102.142.142.1847.62%46.81%46.73%45.87%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

The Citadel Bulldogs (Visit)

Prediction 55.86%1.79fair odd
EV -5.05%
Edge -2.97%
Kelly -7.21%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 1.70

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
55.41%55.89%55.87%56.46%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.651.671.671.7060.61%59.85%59.88%58.82%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Samford Bulldogs (Local): 44.14%; The Citadel Bulldogs (Visit): 55.86%. For Samford Bulldogs (Local), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 2.27. No eligible bookmaker offered closing odds above that level: the best were 2.18, with an expected value of -3.77%; they did not produce positive expected value.

Sportsbook Odds (11 sportsbooks)

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BookmakerLocal ▼VisitMarginUpdated
1xBet🎯2.18I 45.87%NM 43.81%EV -3.77%E -1.73%K -3.19%G +0.000%1.70I 58.82%NM 56.19%EV -5.05%E -2.97%K -7.21%G +0.000%4.7%2026-05-23 22:59
theScore Bet🎯2.15I 46.51%NM 44.01%EV -5.09%E -2.37%K -4.43%G +0.000%1.69I 59.17%NM 55.99%EV -5.60%E -3.32%K -8.12%G +0.000%5.7%2026-05-23 22:59
Bovada🎯2.15I 46.51%NM 43.72%EV -5.09%E -2.37%K -4.43%G +0.000%1.67I 59.88%NM 56.28%EV -6.72%E -4.02%K -10.03%G +0.000%6.4%2026-05-23 22:59
Hard Rock Bet🎯2.15I 46.51%NM 43.72%EV -5.09%E -2.37%K -4.43%G +0.000%1.67I 59.88%NM 56.28%EV -6.72%E -4.02%K -10.03%G +0.000%6.4%2026-05-23 22:59
DraftKings🎯2.14I 46.73%NM 44.13%EV -5.53%E -2.58%K -4.85%G +0.000%1.69I 59.17%NM 55.87%EV -5.60%E -3.32%K -8.12%G +0.000%5.9%2026-05-23 22:59
BetRivers🎯2.14I 46.73%NM 43.54%EV -5.53%E -2.58%K -4.85%G +0.000%1.65I 60.61%NM 56.46%EV -7.84%E -4.75%K -12.06%G +0.000%7.3%2026-05-23 22:59
Bally Bet🎯2.14I 46.73%NM 43.54%EV -5.53%E -2.58%K -4.85%G +0.000%1.65I 60.61%NM 56.46%EV -7.84%E -4.75%K -12.06%G +0.000%7.3%2026-05-23 22:59
betPARX🎯2.14I 46.73%NM 43.54%EV -5.53%E -2.58%K -4.85%G +0.000%1.65I 60.61%NM 56.46%EV -7.84%E -4.75%K -12.06%G +0.000%7.3%2026-05-23 22:59
MyBookie.ag🎯2.11I 47.39%NM 43.88%EV -6.86%E -3.25%K -6.18%G +0.000%1.65I 60.61%NM 56.12%EV -7.84%E -4.75%K -12.06%G +0.000%8.0%2026-05-23 22:58
BetMGM🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 44.59%EV -7.30%E -3.47%K -6.63%G +0.000%1.69I 59.17%NM 55.41%EV -5.60%E -3.32%K -8.12%G +0.000%6.8%2026-05-23 22:58
Betway🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 44.30%EV -7.30%E -3.47%K -6.63%G +0.000%1.67I 59.88%NM 55.70%EV -6.72%E -4.02%K -10.03%G +0.000%7.5%2026-05-23 22:59
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.

Exchanges (1)

BookmakerLocalVisitMargin ▲Updated
Novig◎2.00I 50.00%NM 46.24%1.72I 58.14%NM 53.76%8.1%2026-05-23 22:59