The School of College Oddsodds.college
Default modelInterquartile mean (Vetted List)
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Samford Bulldogs v Auburn Tigers

Kickoff: 2026-04-21 23:00 UTC

Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →

Head to Head

16 sportsbooks (6 in analysis )

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: Interquartile mean (Vetted List)

Samford Bulldogs (Local)

Prediction 21.14%4.73fair odd
EV +0.433%
Edge +0.091%
Kelly +0.115%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 4.75

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
20.00%21.30%20.98%23.08%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
4.004.394.504.7525.00%22.76%22.22%21.05%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Auburn Tigers (Visit)

Prediction 78.86%1.27fair odd
EV -5.37%
Edge -4.48%
Kelly -26.86%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 1.20

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
76.92%78.70%79.02%80.00%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.171.191.191.2085.47%83.86%83.68%83.33%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Samford Bulldogs (Local): 21.14%; Auburn Tigers (Visit): 78.86%. For Samford Bulldogs (Local), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 4.73. 1 bookmaker offered closing odds above that level; the best were 4.75, corresponding to a positive expected value of +0.433%.

Sportsbook Odds (16 sportsbooks)

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BookmakerLocal ▼VisitMarginUpdated
Caesars🎯4.75I 21.05%NM 20.17%EV +0.433%E +0.091%K +0.115%G +0.000%1.20I 83.33%NM 79.83%EV -5.37%E -4.48%K -26.86%G +0.000%4.4%2026-04-21 16:50
1xBet🎯4.68I 21.37%NM 20.00%EV -1.05%E -0.224%K -0.285%G +0.000%1.17I 85.47%NM 80.00%EV -7.74%E -6.61%K -45.52%G +0.000%6.8%2026-04-21 22:10
LowVig.ag🎯4.51I 22.17%NM 20.88%EV -4.64%E -1.03%K -1.32%G +0.000%1.19I 84.03%NM 79.12%EV -6.16%E -5.18%K -32.43%G +0.000%6.2%2026-04-21 16:49
BetOnline.ag🎯4.51I 22.17%NM 20.88%EV -4.64%E -1.03%K -1.32%G +0.000%1.19I 84.03%NM 79.12%EV -6.16%E -5.18%K -32.43%G +0.000%6.2%2026-04-21 16:50
888sport🎯4.50I 22.22%NM 21.05%EV -4.85%E -1.08%K -1.39%G +0.000%1.20I 83.33%NM 78.95%EV -5.37%E -4.48%K -26.86%G +0.000%5.6%2026-04-21 16:55
Mr Green (SE)🎯4.50I 22.22%NM 21.05%EV -4.85%E -1.08%K -1.39%G +0.000%1.20I 83.33%NM 78.95%EV -5.37%E -4.48%K -26.86%G +0.000%5.6%2026-04-21 16:55
888sport (SE)🎯4.50I 22.22%NM 21.05%EV -4.85%E -1.08%K -1.39%G +0.000%1.20I 83.33%NM 78.95%EV -5.37%E -4.48%K -26.86%G +0.000%5.6%2026-04-21 16:55
Hard Rock Bet🎯4.50I 22.22%NM 21.05%EV -4.85%E -1.08%K -1.39%G +0.000%1.20I 83.33%NM 78.95%EV -5.37%E -4.48%K -26.86%G +0.000%5.6%2026-04-21 20:14
DraftKings🎯4.50I 22.22%NM 20.91%EV -4.85%E -1.08%K -1.39%G +0.000%1.19I 84.03%NM 79.09%EV -6.16%E -5.18%K -32.43%G +0.000%6.3%2026-04-21 16:45
Bovada🎯4.50I 22.22%NM 20.77%EV -4.85%E -1.08%K -1.39%G +0.000%1.18I 84.75%NM 79.23%EV -6.95%E -5.89%K -38.61%G +0.000%7.0%2026-04-21 17:25
MyBookie.ag🎯4.30I 23.26%NM 21.68%EV -9.08%E -2.11%K -2.75%G +0.000%1.19I 84.03%NM 78.32%EV -6.16%E -5.18%K -32.43%G +0.000%7.3%2026-04-21 18:49
BetUS🎯4.30I 23.26%NM 21.68%EV -9.08%E -2.11%K -2.75%G +0.000%1.19I 84.03%NM 78.32%EV -6.16%E -5.18%K -32.43%G +0.000%7.3%2026-04-21 17:15
Betway🎯4.25I 23.53%NM 21.73%EV -10.14%E -2.39%K -3.12%G +0.000%1.18I 84.75%NM 78.27%EV -6.95%E -5.89%K -38.61%G +0.000%8.3%2026-04-21 16:44
BetRivers🎯4.00I 25.00%NM 23.08%EV -15.43%E -3.86%K -5.14%G +0.000%1.20I 83.33%NM 76.92%EV -5.37%E -4.48%K -26.86%G +0.000%8.3%2026-04-21 18:44
betPARX🎯4.00I 25.00%NM 23.08%EV -15.43%E -3.86%K -5.14%G +0.000%1.20I 83.33%NM 76.92%EV -5.37%E -4.48%K -26.86%G +0.000%8.3%2026-04-21 18:45
Bally Bet🎯4.00I 25.00%NM 23.08%EV -15.43%E -3.86%K -5.14%G +0.000%1.20I 83.33%NM 76.92%EV -5.37%E -4.48%K -26.86%G +0.000%8.3%2026-04-21 18:45
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.

Exchanges (1)

BookmakerLocalVisitMargin ▲Updated
Novig◎4.59I 21.79%NM 20.45%1.18I 84.75%NM 79.55%6.5%2026-04-21 22:50