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Sam Houston St Bearkats v Liberty Flames
Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →
Head to Head
Sam Houston St Bearkats (Local)
assuming max odds 3.90
Liberty Flames (Visit)
assuming max odds 1.29
At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Sam Houston St Bearkats (Local): 25.46%; Liberty Flames (Visit): 74.54%. For Sam Houston St Bearkats (Local), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 3.93. No eligible bookmaker offered closing odds above that level: the best were 3.90, with an expected value of -0.724%; they did not produce positive expected value.
Sportsbook Odds (15 sportsbooks)
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| Bookmaker | Local ▼ | Visit | Margin | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1xBet🎯 | 3.90I 25.64%NM 24.42%EV -0.724%E -0.186%K -0.250%G +0.000% | 1.26I 79.37%NM 75.58%EV -6.07%E -4.82%K -23.36%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-05-21 13:40 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.75%EV -3.27%E -0.860%K -1.17%G +0.000% | 1.25I 80.00%NM 75.25%EV -6.82%E -5.46%K -27.28%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-05-21 01:59 |
| BetMGM🎯 | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.75%EV -3.27%E -0.860%K -1.17%G +0.000% | 1.25I 80.00%NM 75.25%EV -6.82%E -5.46%K -27.28%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-05-21 04:29 |
| theScore Bet🎯 | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.60%EV -3.27%E -0.860%K -1.17%G +0.000% | 1.24I 80.65%NM 75.40%EV -7.56%E -6.10%K -31.52%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-05-21 13:20 |
| Bovada🎯 | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.60%EV -3.27%E -0.860%K -1.17%G +0.000% | 1.24I 80.65%NM 75.40%EV -7.56%E -6.10%K -31.52%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-05-21 05:19 |
| Caesars🎯 | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.85%EV -5.81%E -1.57%K -2.15%G +0.000% | 1.29I 77.52%NM 74.15%EV -3.84%E -2.97%K -13.23%G +0.000% | 4.5% | 2026-05-21 13:19 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 3.69I 27.10%NM 25.60%EV -6.07%E -1.64%K -2.26%G +0.000% | 1.27I 78.74%NM 74.40%EV -5.33%E -4.20%K -19.73%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-05-21 13:20 |
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 3.69I 27.10%NM 25.60%EV -6.07%E -1.64%K -2.26%G +0.000% | 1.27I 78.74%NM 74.40%EV -5.33%E -4.20%K -19.73%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-05-21 13:19 |
| Hard Rock Bet🎯 | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.77%EV -8.36%E -2.32%K -3.22%G +0.000% | 1.25I 80.00%NM 74.23%EV -6.82%E -5.46%K -27.28%G +0.000% | 7.8% | 2026-05-21 13:19 |
| MyBookie.ag🎯 | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.62%EV -8.36%E -2.32%K -3.22%G +0.000% | 1.24I 80.65%NM 74.38%EV -7.56%E -6.10%K -31.52%G +0.000% | 8.4% | 2026-05-21 13:20 |
| BetUS🎯 | 3.59I 27.86%NM 26.13%EV -8.61%E -2.40%K -3.33%G +0.000% | 1.27I 78.74%NM 73.87%EV -5.33%E -4.20%K -19.73%G +0.000% | 6.6% | 2026-05-21 13:19 |
| Betway🎯 | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.32%EV -10.91%E -3.12%K -4.36%G +0.000% | 1.25I 80.00%NM 73.68%EV -6.82%E -5.46%K -27.28%G +0.000% | 8.6% | 2026-05-21 04:30 |
| BetRivers🎯 | 3.45I 28.99%NM 26.91%EV -12.18%E -3.53%K -4.97%G +0.000% | 1.27I 78.74%NM 73.09%EV -5.33%E -4.20%K -19.73%G +0.000% | 7.7% | 2026-05-21 13:30 |
| betPARX🎯 | 3.45I 28.99%NM 26.91%EV -12.18%E -3.53%K -4.97%G +0.000% | 1.27I 78.74%NM 73.09%EV -5.33%E -4.20%K -19.73%G +0.000% | 7.7% | 2026-05-21 13:40 |
| Bally Bet🎯 | 3.45I 28.99%NM 26.91%EV -12.18%E -3.53%K -4.97%G +0.000% | 1.27I 78.74%NM 73.09%EV -5.33%E -4.20%K -19.73%G +0.000% | 7.7% | 2026-05-21 13:40 |
Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.
Exchanges (1)
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit | Margin ▲ | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Novig◎ | 4.00I 25.00%NM 20.00% | 1.00I 100.00%NM 80.00% | 25.0% | 2026-05-21 13:30 |