The School of College Oddsodds.college
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Sam Houston St Bearkats v Houston Baptist Huskies

Kickoff: 2026-05-12 23:00 UTC

Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →

Head to Head

11 sportsbooks (5 in analysis )

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: Interquartile mean (Vetted List)

Sam Houston St Bearkats (Local)

Prediction 55.28%1.81fair odd
EV -2.70%
Edge -1.54%
Kelly -3.56%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 1.76

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
54.29%56.06%55.32%59.64%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.591.691.691.7662.89%59.20%59.17%56.82%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Houston Baptist Huskies (Visit)

Prediction 44.72%2.24fair odd
EV +5.09%
Edge +2.16%
Kelly +3.77%
Growth +0.192%

assuming max odds 2.35

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
40.36%43.94%44.68%45.71%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.052.112.092.3548.78%47.39%47.85%42.55%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Sam Houston St Bearkats (Local): 55.28%; Houston Baptist Huskies (Visit): 44.72%. For Houston Baptist Huskies (Visit), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 2.24. 1 bookmaker offered closing odds above that level; the best were 2.35, corresponding to a positive expected value of +5.09%.

Sportsbook Odds (11 sportsbooks)

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BookmakerLocalVisit ▼MarginUpdated
theScore Bet🎯1.59I 62.89%NM 59.64%EV -12.10%E -7.61%K -20.51%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 40.36%EV +5.09%E +2.16%K +3.77%G +0.192%5.4%2026-05-12 21:50
DraftKings🎯1.71I 58.48%NM 55.12%EV -5.47%E -3.20%K -7.70%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 44.88%EV -6.09%E -2.90%K -5.54%G +0.000%6.1%2026-05-12 00:34
Hard Rock Bet🎯1.71I 58.48%NM 55.12%EV -5.47%E -3.20%K -7.70%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 44.88%EV -6.09%E -2.90%K -5.54%G +0.000%6.1%2026-05-12 17:05
BetMGM🎯1.69I 59.17%NM 55.41%EV -6.57%E -3.89%K -9.53%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 44.59%EV -6.09%E -2.90%K -5.54%G +0.000%6.8%2026-05-12 00:53
Bovada🎯1.69I 59.17%NM 55.41%EV -6.57%E -3.89%K -9.53%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 44.59%EV -6.09%E -2.90%K -5.54%G +0.000%6.8%2026-05-12 03:09
1xBet🎯1.76I 56.82%NM 54.29%EV -2.70%E -1.54%K -3.56%G +0.000%2.09I 47.85%NM 45.71%EV -6.54%E -3.13%K -6.00%G +0.000%4.7%2026-05-12 02:25
MyBookie.ag🎯1.70I 58.82%NM 55.03%EV -6.02%E -3.54%K -8.60%G +0.000%2.08I 48.08%NM 44.97%EV -6.99%E -3.36%K -6.47%G +0.000%6.9%2026-05-12 17:08
BetRivers🎯1.68I 59.52%NM 55.32%EV -7.13%E -4.24%K -10.48%G +0.000%2.08I 48.08%NM 44.68%EV -6.99%E -3.36%K -6.47%G +0.000%7.6%2026-05-12 16:10
betPARX🎯1.68I 59.52%NM 55.32%EV -7.13%E -4.24%K -10.48%G +0.000%2.08I 48.08%NM 44.68%EV -6.99%E -3.36%K -6.47%G +0.000%7.6%2026-05-12 16:10
Bally Bet🎯1.68I 59.52%NM 55.32%EV -7.13%E -4.24%K -10.48%G +0.000%2.08I 48.08%NM 44.68%EV -6.99%E -3.36%K -6.47%G +0.000%7.6%2026-05-12 16:10
Betway🎯1.69I 59.17%NM 54.81%EV -6.57%E -3.89%K -9.53%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 45.19%EV -8.33%E -4.06%K -7.93%G +0.000%8.0%2026-05-12 16:15
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.

Exchanges (1)

BookmakerLocalVisitMargin ▲Updated
Novig◎1.65I 60.61%NM 56.92%2.18I 45.87%NM 43.08%6.5%2026-05-12 21:30