Default modelInterquartile mean (Vetted List)

Saint Mary's Gaels v UCLA Bruins

Kickoff: 2026-05-31 20:00 UTC

Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →

Head to Head

18 sportsbooks (10 in analysis )

17%

83%

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: Interquartile mean (Vetted List)

Saint Mary's Gaels (Local)

Prediction 17.03%5.87fair odd

EV +3.90%

Edge +0.639%

Kelly +0.764%

Growth +0.030%

assuming max odds 6.10

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution

15.28%17.00%17.17%18.49%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Odds’ distribution

5.005.605.506.1020.00%17.87%18.18%16.39%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

UCLA Bruins (Visit)

Prediction 82.97%1.21fair odd

EV -4.59%

Edge -3.99%

Kelly -30.58%

Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 1.15

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution

81.51%83.00%82.83%84.72%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Odds’ distribution

1.101.131.141.1590.91%88.54%87.72%86.96%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Saint Mary's Gaels (Local): 17.03%; UCLA Bruins (Visit): 82.97%. For Saint Mary's Gaels (Local), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 5.87. 5 bookmakers offered closing odds above that level; the best were 6.10, corresponding to a positive expected value of +3.90%.

Sportsbook Odds (18 sportsbooks)

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Bookmaker	Local ▼	Visit	Margin	Updated
BetRivers🎯	6.10I 16.39%NM 15.28%EV +3.90%E +0.639%K +0.764%G +0.030%	1.10I 90.91%NM 84.72%EV -8.74%E -7.94%K -87.35%G +0.000%	7.3%	2026-05-31 17:50
Bally Bet🎯	6.10I 16.39%NM 15.28%EV +3.90%E +0.639%K +0.764%G +0.030%	1.10I 90.91%NM 84.72%EV -8.74%E -7.94%K -87.35%G +0.000%	7.3%	2026-05-31 17:50
betPARX🎯	6.10I 16.39%NM 15.28%EV +3.90%E +0.639%K +0.764%G +0.030%	1.10I 90.91%NM 84.72%EV -8.74%E -7.94%K -87.35%G +0.000%	7.3%	2026-05-31 17:49
1xBet🎯	6.07I 16.47%NM 15.69%EV +3.38%E +0.558%K +0.667%G +0.023%	1.13I 88.50%NM 84.31%EV -6.25%E -5.53%K -48.05%G +0.000%	5.0%	2026-05-31 19:20
BetMGM🎯	6.00I 16.67%NM 15.73%EV +2.19%E +0.365%K +0.438%G +0.010%	1.12I 89.29%NM 84.27%EV -7.08%E -6.32%K -58.97%G +0.000%	6.0%	2026-05-31 09:50
FanDuel🎯	5.80I 17.24%NM 16.18%EV -1.21%E -0.209%K -0.253%G +0.000%	1.12I 89.29%NM 83.82%EV -7.08%E -6.32%K -58.97%G +0.000%	6.5%	2026-05-31 19:30
Caesars🎯	5.50I 18.18%NM 17.29%EV -6.32%E -1.15%K -1.41%G +0.000%	1.15I 86.96%NM 82.71%EV -4.59%E -3.99%K -30.58%G +0.000%	5.1%	2026-05-31 15:20
DraftKings🎯	5.50I 18.18%NM 17.17%EV -6.32%E -1.15%K -1.41%G +0.000%	1.14I 87.72%NM 82.83%EV -5.42%E -4.75%K -38.69%G +0.000%	5.9%	2026-05-31 19:30
MyBookie.ag🎯	5.50I 18.18%NM 17.17%EV -6.32%E -1.15%K -1.41%G +0.000%	1.14I 87.72%NM 82.83%EV -5.42%E -4.75%K -38.69%G +0.000%	5.9%	2026-05-31 19:40
888sport🎯	5.50I 18.18%NM 17.17%EV -6.32%E -1.15%K -1.41%G +0.000%	1.14I 87.72%NM 82.83%EV -5.42%E -4.75%K -38.69%G +0.000%	5.9%	2026-05-31 13:49
888sport (SE)🎯	5.50I 18.18%NM 17.17%EV -6.32%E -1.15%K -1.41%G +0.000%	1.14I 87.72%NM 82.83%EV -5.42%E -4.75%K -38.69%G +0.000%	5.9%	2026-05-31 13:50
Mr Green (SE)🎯	5.50I 18.18%NM 17.17%EV -6.32%E -1.15%K -1.41%G +0.000%	1.14I 87.72%NM 82.83%EV -5.42%E -4.75%K -38.69%G +0.000%	5.9%	2026-05-31 13:50
theScore Bet🎯	5.50I 18.18%NM 16.92%EV -6.32%E -1.15%K -1.41%G +0.000%	1.12I 89.29%NM 83.08%EV -7.08%E -6.32%K -58.97%G +0.000%	7.5%	2026-05-31 19:30
LowVig.ag🎯	5.39I 18.55%NM 17.46%EV -8.20%E -1.52%K -1.87%G +0.000%	1.14I 87.72%NM 82.54%EV -5.42%E -4.75%K -38.69%G +0.000%	6.3%	2026-05-31 14:10
BetOnline.ag🎯	5.39I 18.55%NM 17.46%EV -8.20%E -1.52%K -1.87%G +0.000%	1.14I 87.72%NM 82.54%EV -5.42%E -4.75%K -38.69%G +0.000%	6.3%	2026-05-31 14:09
BetUS🎯	5.20I 19.23%NM 17.98%EV -11.43%E -2.20%K -2.72%G +0.000%	1.14I 87.72%NM 82.02%EV -5.42%E -4.75%K -38.69%G +0.000%	7.0%	2026-05-31 14:09
Pinnacle🎯	5.07I 19.72%NM 18.49%EV -13.65%E -2.69%K -3.35%G +0.000%	1.15I 86.96%NM 81.51%EV -4.59%E -3.99%K -30.58%G +0.000%	6.7%	2026-05-31 14:10
Betway🎯	5.00I 20.00%NM 18.30%EV -14.84%E -2.97%K -3.71%G +0.000%	1.12I 89.29%NM 81.70%EV -7.08%E -6.32%K -58.97%G +0.000%	9.3%	2026-05-31 14:00

Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.