The School of College Oddsodds.college
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Saint Mary's Gaels v San José St Spartans

Kickoff: 2026-02-26 22:00 UTC

Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →

Head to Head

9 sportsbooks (6 in analysis )

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: Interquartile mean (Vetted List)

Saint Mary's Gaels (Local)

Prediction 69.05%1.45fair odd
EV -4.72%
Edge -3.42%
Kelly -12.41%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 1.38

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
67.07%69.03%69.05%69.51%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.321.351.361.3875.76%74.26%73.53%72.46%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

San José St Spartans (Visit)

Prediction 30.95%3.23fair odd
EV -4.04%
Edge -1.30%
Kelly -1.93%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 3.10

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
30.49%30.97%30.95%32.93%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.772.993.003.1036.10%33.49%33.33%32.26%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Saint Mary's Gaels (Local): 69.05%; San José St Spartans (Visit): 30.95%. For San José St Spartans (Visit), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 3.23. No eligible bookmaker offered closing odds above that level: the best were 3.10, with an expected value of -4.04%; they did not produce positive expected value.

Sportsbook Odds (9 sportsbooks)

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BookmakerLocal ▼VisitMarginUpdated
FanDuel🎯1.38I 72.46%NM 68.49%EV -4.72%E -3.42%K -12.41%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.51%EV -7.14%E -2.38%K -3.57%G +0.000%5.8%2026-02-26 13:25
DraftKings🎯1.37I 72.99%NM 68.65%EV -5.41%E -3.95%K -14.61%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.35%EV -7.14%E -2.38%K -3.57%G +0.000%6.3%2026-02-26 01:04
theScore Bet🎯1.36I 73.53%NM 69.51%EV -6.10%E -4.48%K -16.94%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.49%EV -4.04%E -1.30%K -1.93%G +0.000%5.8%2026-02-26 17:10
BetMGM🎯1.36I 73.53%NM 68.81%EV -6.10%E -4.48%K -16.94%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.19%EV -7.14%E -2.38%K -3.57%G +0.000%6.9%2026-02-26 03:29
1xBet🎯1.36I 73.53%NM 67.07%EV -6.10%E -4.48%K -16.94%G +0.000%2.77I 36.10%NM 32.93%EV -14.26%E -5.15%K -8.06%G +0.000%9.6%2026-02-26 14:05
Betway🎯1.33I 75.19%NM 69.28%EV -8.17%E -6.14%K -24.75%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.72%EV -7.14%E -2.38%K -3.57%G +0.000%8.5%2026-02-26 17:10
BetRivers🎯1.32I 75.76%NM 69.44%EV -8.86%E -6.71%K -27.68%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.56%EV -7.14%E -2.38%K -3.57%G +0.000%9.1%2026-02-26 17:10
Bally Bet🎯1.32I 75.76%NM 69.44%EV -8.86%E -6.71%K -27.68%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.56%EV -7.14%E -2.38%K -3.57%G +0.000%9.1%2026-02-26 17:10
betPARX🎯1.32I 75.76%NM 69.44%EV -8.86%E -6.71%K -27.68%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.56%EV -7.14%E -2.38%K -3.57%G +0.000%9.1%2026-02-26 17:10
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.