Default modelInterquartile mean (Vetted List)

Sacramento St Hornets v Pacific Tigers

Kickoff: 2026-03-14 01:00 UTC

Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →

Head to Head

11 sportsbooks (5 in analysis )

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: Interquartile mean (Vetted List)

Sacramento St Hornets (Local)

Prediction 63.49%1.58fair odd
EV -2.86%
Edge -1.87%
Kelly -5.40%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 1.53

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
61.56%63.50%63.41%64.52%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.431.471.471.5369.93%68.15%68.03%65.36%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Pacific Tigers (Visit)

Prediction 36.51%2.74fair odd
EV -3.61%
Edge -1.37%
Kelly -2.20%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 2.64

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
35.48%36.50%36.59%38.44%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.452.562.602.6440.82%39.13%38.46%37.88%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Sacramento St Hornets (Local): 63.49%; Pacific Tigers (Visit): 36.51%. For Sacramento St Hornets (Local), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 1.58. No eligible bookmaker offered closing odds above that level: the best were 1.53, with an expected value of -2.86%; they did not produce positive expected value.

Sportsbook Odds (11 sportsbooks)

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BookmakerLocal ▼VisitMarginUpdated
Bovada🎯1.53I 65.36%NM 61.56%EV -2.86%E -1.87%K -5.40%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 38.44%EV -10.54%E -4.30%K -7.27%G +0.000%6.2%2026-03-13 16:54
theScore Bet🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 63.41%EV -4.77%E -3.18%K -9.54%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 36.59%EV -5.07%E -1.95%K -3.17%G +0.000%5.1%2026-03-13 22:30
BetMGM🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 62.50%EV -4.77%E -3.18%K -9.54%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.50%EV -8.72%E -3.49%K -5.81%G +0.000%6.7%2026-03-13 19:04
Betway🎯1.48I 67.57%NM 62.81%EV -6.04%E -4.08%K -12.58%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.19%EV -8.72%E -3.49%K -5.81%G +0.000%7.6%2026-03-13 22:29
FanDuel🎯1.47I 68.03%NM 64.23%EV -6.67%E -4.54%K -14.20%G +0.000%2.64I 37.88%NM 35.77%EV -3.61%E -1.37%K -2.20%G +0.000%5.9%2026-03-13 22:29
MyBookie.ag🎯1.47I 68.03%NM 63.52%EV -6.67%E -4.54%K -14.20%G +0.000%2.56I 39.06%NM 36.48%EV -6.53%E -2.55%K -4.18%G +0.000%7.1%2026-03-13 22:29
1xBet🎯1.46I 68.49%NM 64.13%EV -7.31%E -5.01%K -15.89%G +0.000%2.61I 38.31%NM 35.87%EV -4.70%E -1.80%K -2.92%G +0.000%6.8%2026-03-13 18:00
Fliff🎯1.44I 69.44%NM 62.98%EV -8.58%E -5.96%K -19.50%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 37.02%EV -10.54%E -4.30%K -7.27%G +0.000%10.3%2026-03-14 00:55
BetRivers🎯1.43I 69.93%NM 64.52%EV -9.21%E -6.44%K -21.43%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 35.48%EV -5.07%E -1.95%K -3.17%G +0.000%8.4%2026-03-13 22:30
betPARX🎯1.43I 69.93%NM 64.52%EV -9.21%E -6.44%K -21.43%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 35.48%EV -5.07%E -1.95%K -3.17%G +0.000%8.4%2026-03-13 22:30
Bally Bet🎯1.43I 69.93%NM 64.52%EV -9.21%E -6.44%K -21.43%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 35.48%EV -5.07%E -1.95%K -3.17%G +0.000%8.4%2026-03-13 22:30
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.

Exchanges (1)

BookmakerLocalVisitMargin ▲Updated
Novig1.42I 70.42%NM 64.68%2.60I 38.46%NM 35.32%8.9%2026-03-14 00:24