Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →
assuming max odds 1.61
assuming max odds 2.36
At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Sacramento St Hornets (Local): 59.03%; Pacific Tigers (Visit): 40.97%. For Pacific Tigers (Visit), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 2.44. No eligible bookmaker offered closing odds above that level: the best were 2.36, with an expected value of -3.32%; they did not produce positive expected value.
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| Bookmaker | Local ▼ | Visit | Margin | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| BetMGM🎯 | 1.61I 62.11%NM 58.82%EV -4.96%E -3.08%K -8.13%G +0.000% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 41.18%EV -5.78%E -2.51%K -4.44%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-03-11 17:40 |
| theScore Bet🎯 | 1.61I 62.11%NM 58.82%EV -4.96%E -3.08%K -8.13%G +0.000% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 41.18%EV -5.78%E -2.51%K -4.44%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-03-11 21:45 |
| 1xBet🎯 | 1.61I 62.11%NM 57.96%EV -4.96%E -3.08%K -8.13%G +0.000% | 2.22I 45.05%NM 42.04%EV -9.05%E -4.08%K -7.42%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-03-11 17:40 |
| Bovada🎯 | 1.59I 62.89%NM 59.13%EV -6.14%E -3.86%K -10.40%G +0.000% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 40.87%EV -5.78%E -2.51%K -4.44%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-03-11 21:50 |
| MyBookie.ag🎯 | 1.58I 63.29%NM 59.07%EV -6.73%E -4.26%K -11.60%G +0.000% | 2.28I 43.86%NM 40.93%EV -6.60%E -2.89%K -5.15%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-03-11 21:50 |
| FanDuel🎯 | 1.57I 63.69%NM 60.05%EV -7.32%E -4.66%K -12.84%G +0.000% | 2.36I 42.37%NM 39.95%EV -3.32%E -1.41%K -2.44%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-03-11 21:45 |
| Betway🎯 | 1.57I 63.69%NM 58.90%EV -7.32%E -4.66%K -12.84%G +0.000% | 2.25I 44.44%NM 41.10%EV -7.82%E -3.48%K -6.26%G +0.000% | 8.1% | 2026-03-11 21:45 |
| BetRivers🎯 | 1.56I 64.10%NM 59.38%EV -7.91%E -5.07%K -14.12%G +0.000% | 2.28I 43.86%NM 40.63%EV -6.60%E -2.89%K -5.15%G +0.000% | 8.0% | 2026-03-11 21:45 |
| Bally Bet🎯 | 1.56I 64.10%NM 59.38%EV -7.91%E -5.07%K -14.12%G +0.000% | 2.28I 43.86%NM 40.63%EV -6.60%E -2.89%K -5.15%G +0.000% | 8.0% | 2026-03-11 21:45 |
| betPARX🎯 | 1.56I 64.10%NM 59.38%EV -7.91%E -5.07%K -14.12%G +0.000% | 2.28I 43.86%NM 40.63%EV -6.60%E -2.89%K -5.15%G +0.000% | 8.0% | 2026-03-11 21:45 |
Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit | Margin ▲ | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Novig◎ | 1.53I 65.36%NM 60.16% | 2.31I 43.29%NM 39.84% | 8.6% | 2026-03-12 00:54 |