The School of College Oddsodds.college
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Sacramento St Hornets v California Golden Bears

Kickoff: 2026-02-28 22:00 UTC

Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →

Head to Head

13 sportsbooks (7 in analysis )

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: Interquartile mean (Vetted List)

Sacramento St Hornets (Local)

Prediction 33.67%2.97fair odd
EV +1.02%
Edge +0.339%
Kelly +0.509%
Growth +0.005%

assuming max odds 3.00

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
31.19%33.53%33.73%35.77%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.552.732.753.0039.22%36.57%36.36%33.33%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

California Golden Bears (Visit)

Prediction 66.33%1.51fair odd
EV -5.15%
Edge -3.60%
Kelly -11.98%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 1.43

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
64.23%66.47%66.27%68.81%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.361.411.411.4373.53%71.00%70.92%69.93%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Sacramento St Hornets (Local): 33.67%; California Golden Bears (Visit): 66.33%. For Sacramento St Hornets (Local), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 2.97. 1 bookmaker offered closing odds above that level; the best were 3.00, corresponding to a positive expected value of +1.02%.

Sportsbook Odds (13 sportsbooks)

We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.

BookmakerLocal ▼VisitMarginUpdated
BetMGM🎯3.00I 33.33%NM 31.19%EV +1.02%E +0.339%K +0.509%G +0.005%1.36I 73.53%NM 68.81%EV -9.79%E -7.20%K -27.21%G +0.000%6.9%2026-02-28 19:39
FanDuel🎯2.90I 34.48%NM 32.56%EV -2.35%E -0.810%K -1.24%G +0.000%1.40I 71.43%NM 67.44%EV -7.14%E -5.10%K -17.85%G +0.000%5.9%2026-02-28 16:20
theScore Bet🎯2.80I 35.71%NM 33.65%EV -5.72%E -2.04%K -3.18%G +0.000%1.42I 70.42%NM 66.35%EV -5.82%E -4.10%K -13.85%G +0.000%6.1%2026-02-28 16:15
DraftKings🎯2.75I 36.36%NM 34.21%EV -7.40%E -2.69%K -4.23%G +0.000%1.43I 69.93%NM 65.79%EV -5.15%E -3.60%K -11.98%G +0.000%6.3%2026-02-28 15:10
Betway🎯2.75I 36.36%NM 34.21%EV -7.40%E -2.69%K -4.23%G +0.000%1.43I 69.93%NM 65.79%EV -5.15%E -3.60%K -11.98%G +0.000%6.3%2026-02-28 16:10
Bovada🎯2.75I 36.36%NM 34.05%EV -7.40%E -2.69%K -4.23%G +0.000%1.42I 70.42%NM 65.95%EV -5.82%E -4.10%K -13.85%G +0.000%6.8%2026-02-28 16:04
888sport🎯2.75I 36.36%NM 33.73%EV -7.40%E -2.69%K -4.23%G +0.000%1.40I 71.43%NM 66.27%EV -7.14%E -5.10%K -17.85%G +0.000%7.8%2026-02-28 16:10
Mr Green (SE)🎯2.75I 36.36%NM 33.73%EV -7.40%E -2.69%K -4.23%G +0.000%1.40I 71.43%NM 66.27%EV -7.14%E -5.10%K -17.85%G +0.000%7.8%2026-02-28 16:10
888sport (SE)🎯2.75I 36.36%NM 33.73%EV -7.40%E -2.69%K -4.23%G +0.000%1.40I 71.43%NM 66.27%EV -7.14%E -5.10%K -17.85%G +0.000%7.8%2026-02-28 16:10
BetRivers🎯2.60I 38.46%NM 35.16%EV -12.45%E -4.79%K -7.78%G +0.000%1.41I 70.92%NM 64.84%EV -6.48%E -4.59%K -15.80%G +0.000%9.4%2026-02-28 16:25
betPARX🎯2.60I 38.46%NM 35.16%EV -12.45%E -4.79%K -7.78%G +0.000%1.41I 70.92%NM 64.84%EV -6.48%E -4.59%K -15.80%G +0.000%9.4%2026-02-28 16:25
Bally Bet🎯2.60I 38.46%NM 35.16%EV -12.45%E -4.79%K -7.78%G +0.000%1.41I 70.92%NM 64.84%EV -6.48%E -4.59%K -15.80%G +0.000%9.4%2026-02-28 16:25
1xBet🎯2.55I 39.22%NM 35.77%EV -14.13%E -5.54%K -9.12%G +0.000%1.42I 70.42%NM 64.23%EV -5.82%E -4.10%K -13.85%G +0.000%9.6%2026-02-28 21:39
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.