Default modelInterquartile mean (Vetted List)

Rutgers Scarlet Knights v Maryland Terrapins

Kickoff: 2026-05-10 18:00 UTC

Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →

Head to Head

14 sportsbooks (7 in analysis )

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: Interquartile mean (Vetted List)

Rutgers Scarlet Knights (Local)

Prediction 55.09%1.82fair odd
EV +0.810%
Edge +0.443%
Kelly +0.976%
Growth +0.008%

assuming max odds 1.83

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
51.59%54.90%55.87%57.36%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.651.721.691.8360.61%58.16%59.17%54.64%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Maryland Terrapins (Visit)

Prediction 44.91%2.23fair odd
EV -0.295%
Edge -0.133%
Kelly -0.242%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 2.22

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
42.64%45.10%44.13%48.41%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.932.082.122.2251.81%48.13%47.28%45.05%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Rutgers Scarlet Knights (Local): 55.09%; Maryland Terrapins (Visit): 44.91%. For Rutgers Scarlet Knights (Local), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 1.82. 1 bookmaker offered closing odds above that level; the best were 1.83, corresponding to a positive expected value of +0.810%.

Sportsbook Odds (14 sportsbooks)

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BookmakerLocal ▼VisitMarginUpdated
BetMGM🎯1.83I 54.64%NM 51.59%EV +0.810%E +0.443%K +0.976%G +0.008%1.95I 51.28%NM 48.41%EV -12.42%E -6.37%K -13.07%G +0.000%5.9%2026-05-10 17:04
BetRivers🎯1.79I 55.87%NM 51.88%EV -1.39%E -0.778%K -1.76%G +0.000%1.93I 51.81%NM 48.12%EV -13.32%E -6.90%K -14.32%G +0.000%7.7%2026-05-10 16:59
betPARX🎯1.79I 55.87%NM 51.88%EV -1.39%E -0.778%K -1.76%G +0.000%1.93I 51.81%NM 48.12%EV -13.32%E -6.90%K -14.32%G +0.000%7.7%2026-05-10 17:00
Bally Bet🎯1.79I 55.87%NM 51.88%EV -1.39%E -0.778%K -1.76%G +0.000%1.93I 51.81%NM 48.12%EV -13.32%E -6.90%K -14.32%G +0.000%7.7%2026-05-10 16:59
1xBet🎯1.77I 56.50%NM 52.93%EV -2.49%E -1.41%K -3.24%G +0.000%1.99I 50.25%NM 47.07%EV -10.62%E -5.34%K -10.73%G +0.000%6.7%2026-05-10 17:44
Bovada🎯1.74I 57.47%NM 54.09%EV -4.15%E -2.38%K -5.60%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 45.91%EV -7.93%E -3.87%K -7.55%G +0.000%6.3%2026-05-10 17:10
theScore Bet🎯1.69I 59.17%NM 55.99%EV -6.90%E -4.08%K -10.00%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 44.01%EV -3.44%E -1.60%K -2.99%G +0.000%5.7%2026-05-10 16:59
Caesars🎯1.69I 59.17%NM 55.99%EV -6.90%E -4.08%K -10.00%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 44.01%EV -3.44%E -1.60%K -2.99%G +0.000%5.7%2026-05-10 16:54
DraftKings🎯1.69I 59.17%NM 55.87%EV -6.90%E -4.08%K -10.00%G +0.000%2.14I 46.73%NM 44.13%EV -3.89%E -1.82%K -3.41%G +0.000%5.9%2026-05-10 16:54
MyBookie.ag🎯1.67I 59.88%NM 56.05%EV -8.00%E -4.79%K -11.95%G +0.000%2.13I 46.95%NM 43.95%EV -4.34%E -2.04%K -3.84%G +0.000%6.8%2026-05-10 17:54
Betway🎯1.67I 59.88%NM 55.70%EV -8.00%E -4.79%K -11.95%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 44.30%EV -5.68%E -2.71%K -5.17%G +0.000%7.5%2026-05-10 17:00
BetUS🎯1.65I 60.61%NM 57.36%EV -9.11%E -5.52%K -14.01%G +0.000%2.22I 45.05%NM 42.64%EV -0.295%E -0.133%K -0.242%G +0.000%5.7%2026-05-10 16:59
LowVig.ag🎯1.65I 60.61%NM 57.25%EV -9.11%E -5.52%K -14.01%G +0.000%2.21I 45.25%NM 42.75%EV -0.744%E -0.337%K -0.615%G +0.000%5.9%2026-05-10 16:54
BetOnline.ag🎯1.65I 60.61%NM 57.25%EV -9.11%E -5.52%K -14.01%G +0.000%2.21I 45.25%NM 42.75%EV -0.744%E -0.337%K -0.615%G +0.000%5.9%2026-05-10 16:54
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.

Exchanges (1)

BookmakerLocalVisitMargin ▲Updated
Novig1.77I 56.50%NM 54.26%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.74%4.1%2026-05-10 17:34